Taishi Town, Minamikawachi County Housing Market Report 2026
Data updated 2026-11-11 · Source: MLIT transaction price survey, 2005 Q3–2026 Q2 · Transactions in 2025: 30
In short
- 1What a typical purchase costs
Half of all house sales last year were between ¥5.8M and ¥24.0M.
- 2A shrinking population
The population fell 7.3% between 2020 and 2025 (−0.8% for the wider area).
- 3Lower earthquake risk
The government's seismic model gives a 15% chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or stronger in the next 30 years (43% for the wider area).
- 4Local incomes are close to average
Taxpayers here reported an average taxable income of ¥3.6m in 2023 (¥3.9m for the wider area).
The answers, compared
What does a home cost?
¥11.0M
median house · ¥86k/m²
63% below the Osaka median
7 of 13 areas in Osaka, highest first
Can local earners afford it?
3.1× income
median price ÷ average taxable income
Easier than Osaka (5.6×)
58 of 68 areas in Osaka, highest first
Are people moving in?
-7.3%
population, 2020–25
Shrinking faster than Osaka (-0.8%)
64 of 68 areas in Osaka, highest first
How risky is it?
15%
chance of strong shaking (6-lower+) in 30 years
Lower than Osaka (43%)
62 of 68 areas in Osaka, highest first
What the data says
What a typical purchase costs
Half of all house sales last year were between ¥5.8M and ¥24.0M. Listings outside that range are either unusual properties or worth a closer look.
A shrinking population
The population fell 7.3% between 2020 and 2025 (−0.8% for the wider area). Moves in and out roughly balanced in 2025.
Lower earthquake risk
The government's seismic model gives a 15% chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or stronger in the next 30 years (43% for the wider area). This is low by Japanese standards, although no part of Japan is free of earthquake risk.
Local incomes are close to average
Taxpayers here reported an average taxable income of ¥3.6m in 2023 (¥3.9m for the wider area). That is +12% since 2014. Averages are pulled up by a few very high earners, so a typical household earns less than this.
Official land prices are still falling
On the government's fixed benchmark sites, which are valued the same way every year, residential land prices changed 0% in the year to January 2026 and -2% over five years. Because these sites don't change, this is the cleanest measure of land value trends.
Little exposure to flooding
Very few of the official benchmark sites here fall in flood, tsunami or landslide zones, so most typical neighbourhoods are outside mapped hazard areas.
Living in Taishi Town, Minamikawachi County: people, homes and risks
- Population 2025
- 12,062
- -7.3% since 2020
- Osaka: -0.8%
- Net moves in 2025
- -2
- -0.17 per 1,000 residents
- Osaka: +1.79
- Strong earthquake risk
- 14.8%
- chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or more within 30 years
- Osaka: 43.3%
- Average income per taxpayer
- ¥3.6M
- taxable income in 2023
- Osaka: ¥3.9M
- Daytime population
- 78
- people here by day per 100 residents (2020 census)
- Foreign residents
- 1.2%
- 153 registered residents in 2024
- Osaka: 3.7%
- Clinics
- 7.5
- per 10,000 residents; 0 hospitals, 3 dental clinics (2020)
- Osaka: 9.8
- Official land price 2026
- ¥52k/m²
- -0.1% in a year · -2.0% in 5 years
- Osaka: ¥145k/m²
- Flood exposure
- 0.0%
- of 6 benchmark sites in a worst-case flood zone (0.0% 3 m or deeper)
- Osaka: 42.5%
- Landslide exposure
- 0.0%
- of 6 benchmark sites in a landslide warning area
- Osaka: 1.4%
Check flood, landslide and tsunami zones for a specific address on the government hazard map ↗
Sources: 2025 Census (preliminary), 2025 Internal Migration Report, 2023 Housing and Land Survey (Statistics Bureau of Japan); J-SHIS seismic hazard model (NIED, 2024); Land Price Publication (MLIT); recorded crime: Tokyo Metropolitan Police Department (Tokyo only); incomes: Ministry of Internal Affairs taxation survey via the Statistics Bureau's municipal indicators; foreign residents: Basic Resident Register; medical facilities and station passengers: MLIT National Land Numerical Information. Earthquake probability is measured at the municipal center.
Example sales in Taishi Town, Minamikawachi County
Real transactions from the last four quarters, picked near the lower (20th percentile), middle and upper (80th percentile) price points. Locations are shown at district level, as published by MLIT.
House
¥5.3M
¥66k/m²
- Oaza Kasuga
- Kishi(Osaka)
- Land 65 m² · floor 80 m²
- Built 1983 (42 yrs) · Wood
¥6.0M
¥71k/m²
- Oaza Yamada
- Kaminotaishi
- Land 100 m² · floor 85 m²
- Built 1994 (32 yrs) · Wood
¥28.0M
¥76k/m²
- Oaza Kasuga
- Kaminotaishi · 9 min walk
- Land 185 m² · floor 370 m²
- Built 1988 (37 yrs) · RC
Show data table
| Year | House |
|---|---|
| 2008 | ¥18.0M |
| 2010 | ¥15.5M |
| 2012 | ¥12.0M |
| 2013 | ¥10.0M |
| 2025 | ¥11.0M |
Show data table
| Year | House |
|---|---|
| 2008 | ¥180k/m² |
| 2010 | ¥129k/m² |
| 2012 | ¥108k/m² |
| 2013 | ¥106k/m² |
| 2025 | ¥86k/m² |
Prices near train stations in Taishi Town, Minamikawachi County
Sales from 2023–2025, grouped by nearest station.
| Station | Median used condo price | Condo price per m² | Median house price (land + building) | Walk (min) | Sales | Daily passengers (2023) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaminotaishi (上ノ太子) | – | – | ¥10.0M | 14 | 30 | 3,678-19% vs 2019 |
How much does a house cost in Taishi Town, Minamikawachi County?
The median house sale, including the land, was ¥11.0M in 2025 across 20 sales.
About this data
Figures are medians of real transactions reported to Japan's Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism (MLIT) through its quarterly price survey. House prices per m² divide the total price (land and building) by the floor area. Medians based on fewer than 20 sales are not shown. The latest quarters are preliminary and are revised as more survey responses arrive.
Information only, not investment advice.