Mount Fuji from Fujinomiya, Shizuoka
Photo: Mount Fuji from Fujinomiya, Shizuoka · Aditya Anjagi / Unsplash

Japan Housing Market 2026: Booming Condos, Shrinking Towns

Data updated 2026-11-11 · Source: MLIT transaction price survey, 2005 Q3–2026 Q2 · Transactions in 2025: 254,666

In short

  1. 1
    Two markets moving in opposite directions

    Japan's population fell 2.5% between 2020 and 2025, yet the median price per m² of a used condo rose about a third over the same period and has nearly doubled since 2013.

  2. 2
    Land tells the quieter story

    On the government's fixed benchmark sites, which are valued the same way every year, residential land rose 2.1% on average in the year to January 2026 and about 9% over five years.

  3. 3
    Households are growing even as people decline

    The number of households rose 2.3% while the population fell, because more people live alone or in couples.

  4. 4
    One in seven homes is empty

    In 2023, 13.8% of Japan's homes were vacant.

  5. 5
    Risk is part of the price

    On the national seismic model, the average Japanese resident lives somewhere with a 38% chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or stronger in the next 30 years, and 43% of the official benchmark sites fall somewhere inside a worst-case flood zone (most of them shallow).

The answers, compared

What does a home cost?

¥26.0M

median used condo · ¥558k/m²

prefectures with 100+ condo sales

Are prices rising?

+33.4%

over 5 years

prefectures with 100+ condo sales

Can local earners afford it?

6.6× income

median price ÷ average taxable income

prefectures with 100+ condo sales

Rent or buy?

38years of rent

median price ÷ a year of median rent

prefectures with 100+ condo sales

Are people moving in?

-2.5%

population, 2020–25

How risky is it?

38%

chance of strong shaking (6-lower+) in 30 years

Rent in Japan

The average private rental costs ¥65k a month (2023), +5.7% since 2018.

Floor areaAverage rent / month
under 30 m²
studio / 1K
¥53k
vs 2018 +5.0%
30–49 m²
1LDK / 2DK
¥64k
vs 2018 +6.6%
50–69 m²
2LDK / 3DK
¥75k
vs 2018 +6.6%
70–99 m²
3LDK / family
¥88k
vs 2018 +7.6%
100–149 m²
mostly houses
¥84k
vs 2018 +6.4%
150 m² +
mostly houses
¥91k
vs 2018 +18.8%
Rent per m²
¥1,598
median, per month
The median used condo (¥26.0M, 60 m²) costs about 29 years of average rent for a similar-sized home (¥75k a month).
Excludes management fees, repair reserve, property tax and mortgage interest.

Source: Statistics Bureau of Japan, Housing and Land Survey 2023. Privately owned rentals (excluding rent-free homes), monthly rent without management fees. These averages include older homes, so they run below asking rents for newly listed units. 15,639,600 rented homes.

Two markets moving in opposite directions

Japan's population fell 2.5% between 2020 and 2025, yet the median price per m² of a used condo rose about a third over the same period and has nearly doubled since 2013. Both trends are real, and they are happening in different places. Demand is concentrating in big cities and well-connected suburbs, while much of the country is emptying out. In 2025, for the first time in the data, the median used condo sold for more than the median house with its land.

Land tells the quieter story

On the government's fixed benchmark sites, which are valued the same way every year, residential land rose 2.1% on average in the year to January 2026 and about 9% over five years. That is far less than condo prices. Nationally, residential land is still about half its 1991 bubble level. Most of the condo boom is about scarce, convenient city-center locations and the cost of building, not a broad rise in land values.

Households are growing even as people decline

The number of households rose 2.3% while the population fell, because more people live alone or in couples. That supports demand for small, central homes, and it explains why studio and one-bedroom condos trade so actively in the big cities.

One in seven homes is empty

In 2023, 13.8% of Japan's homes were vacant. About half of those were rentals between tenants. Most of the rest were second homes or homes for sale; 5.9% of all homes were genuinely unused houses (akiya), mostly in rural areas. Akiya are the reason houses in declining towns sell for little more than their land.

Risk is part of the price

On the national seismic model, the average Japanese resident lives somewhere with a 38% chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or stronger in the next 30 years, and 43% of the official benchmark sites fall somewhere inside a worst-case flood zone (most of them shallow). Buyers increasingly check hazard maps, and the city pages below show how exposure varies from place to place.

Rents vs prices

A median used condo now costs about 38 years of the national median rent. That ratio is high, so in most of Japan buying is a bet on stability and long-term use rather than on rental income.

How to use these reports

Start with a prefecture, then open the city or ward. Each page combines transaction prices with population, vacancy, hazard and official land-price data so you can see not just what homes cost, but why.

Living in Japan: people, homes and risks

Population 2025
123,049,524
-2.5% since 2020
Vacant homes (2023)
13.8%
5.9% empty and not for rent or sale
Median rent (2023)
¥57k
per month, all rented homes
Strong earthquake risk
38.4%
chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or more within 30 years
Average income per taxpayer
¥3.9M
taxable income in 2023
Foreign residents
3.0%
3,677,463 registered residents in 2024
Clinics
8.5
per 10,000 residents; 8,269 hospitals, 68,860 dental clinics (2020)
Official land price 2026
¥74k/m²
+2.1% in a year · +9.2% in 5 years
Flood exposure
42.6%
of 24399 benchmark sites in a worst-case flood zone (8.9% 3 m or deeper)
Tsunami exposure
7.8%
of 24399 benchmark sites in a tsunami inundation zone
Landslide exposure
2.6%
of 24399 benchmark sites in a landslide warning area

Check flood, landslide and tsunami zones for a specific address on the government hazard map ↗

Sources: 2025 Census (preliminary), 2025 Internal Migration Report, 2023 Housing and Land Survey (Statistics Bureau of Japan); J-SHIS seismic hazard model (NIED, 2024); Land Price Publication (MLIT); recorded crime: Tokyo Metropolitan Police Department (Tokyo only); incomes: Ministry of Internal Affairs taxation survey via the Statistics Bureau's municipal indicators; foreign residents: Basic Resident Register; medical facilities and station passengers: MLIT National Land Numerical Information. Earthquake probability is measured at the municipal center.

Example sales in Japan

Real transactions from the last four quarters, picked near the lower (20th percentile), middle and upper (80th percentile) price points. Locations are shown at district level, as published by MLIT.

Condo

Lower-priced2026 Q2

¥14.0M

¥215k/m²

  • Minami7jonishi, Chuo Ward, Sapporo City
  • Nishi Juitchome · 16 min walk
  • 1LDK · 65 m²
  • Built 1974 (52 yrs) · RC
Typical2026 Q2

¥27.0M

¥450k/m²

  • Minami9jonishi, Chuo Ward, Sapporo City
  • Yamahana Ku Jo · 5 min walk
  • 3LDK · 60 m²
  • Built 2007 (19 yrs) · RC
Higher-priced2026 Q2

¥49.0M

¥516k/m²

  • Minami3jonishi, Chuo Ward, Sapporo City
  • Nishi Juitchome · 7 min walk
  • 3LDK · 95 m²
  • Built 2005 (21 yrs) · SRC

House

Lower-priced2026 Q2

¥6.5M

¥45k/m²

  • Ishiyama1jo, Minami Ward, Sapporo City
  • Makomanai
  • Land 195 m² · floor 145 m²
  • Built 1994 (32 yrs) · Wood
Typical2026 Q2

¥25.0M

¥132k/m²

  • Kita19johigashi, Higashi Ward, Sapporo City
  • Kanjo Dori Higashi · 10 min walk
  • Land 160 m² · floor 190 m²
  • Built 1987 (39 yrs) · Wood
Higher-priced2026 Q2

¥50.0M

¥294k/m²

  • Kita18johigashi, Higashi Ward, Sapporo City
  • Kita Juhachi Jo · 11 min walk
  • Land 110 m² · floor 170 m²
  • Built 2019 (7 yrs) · Wood
Median transaction price by yearCondos now cost more than houses — Since 2025, the median used condo has sold for more than the median house with its land, reversing the earlier pattern. Since then condo prices have moved +4% while house prices moved 0%. Condo demand is concentrated in central, well-connected locations, while many houses sold are older homes in outlying areas where prices are flat or falling. Buyers are paying for convenience over space.
¥0¥10.0M¥20.0M¥30.0M¥40.0M20052008201120142017202020232026
Show data table
YearCondoHouse
2005¥19.0M¥40.0M
2006¥18.0M¥35.0M
2007¥17.0M¥27.0M
2008¥17.0M¥24.0M
2009¥17.0M¥23.0M
2010¥18.0M¥23.0M
2011¥17.0M¥23.0M
2012¥17.0M¥23.0M
2013¥17.0M¥23.0M
2014¥18.0M¥23.0M
2015¥19.0M¥24.0M
2016¥19.0M¥24.0M
2017¥20.0M¥24.0M
2018¥21.0M¥24.0M
2019¥22.0M¥24.0M
2020¥22.0M¥25.0M
2021¥23.0M¥26.0M
2022¥23.0M¥25.0M
2023¥24.0M¥25.0M
2024¥25.0M¥25.0M
2025¥26.0M¥25.0M
2026 (partial)¥27.0M¥24.0M
Median price per m² by yearHouses are the better deal on space — A m² of house floor space costs about 63% less than a m² of condo, even though the house price includes land. If you need room more than convenience, a house buys considerably more space. That gap has widened over the decade as condo prices pulled ahead.
¥0¥200k¥400k¥600k20052008201120142017202020232026
Show data table
YearCondoHouseLand
2005¥400k/m²¥358k/m²¥190k/m²
2006¥350k/m²¥300k/m²¥100k/m²
2007¥300k/m²¥225k/m²¥50k/m²
2008¥293k/m²¥200k/m²¥44k/m²
2009¥290k/m²¥188k/m²¥42k/m²
2010¥300k/m²¥191k/m²¥43k/m²
2011¥300k/m²¥191k/m²¥42k/m²
2012¥286k/m²¥190k/m²¥39k/m²
2013¥300k/m²¥191k/m²¥37k/m²
2014¥314k/m²¥190k/m²¥36k/m²
2015¥333k/m²¥200k/m²¥36k/m²
2016¥360k/m²¥200k/m²¥37k/m²
2017¥373k/m²¥200k/m²¥36k/m²
2018¥386k/m²¥200k/m²¥36k/m²
2019¥400k/m²¥200k/m²¥37k/m²
2020¥418k/m²¥218k/m²¥37k/m²
2021¥443k/m²¥219k/m²¥37k/m²
2022¥480k/m²¥205k/m²¥38k/m²
2023¥500k/m²¥200k/m²¥40k/m²
2024¥529k/m²¥200k/m²¥43k/m²
2025¥558k/m²¥200k/m²¥46k/m²
2026 (partial)¥564k/m²¥184k/m²¥45k/m²
Price per m² by building age (2021–2025 sales)How condos age here — In recent sales, condos lose about a quarter of their per-m² value by around 15 years old and half by around 25. Prices keep falling by roughly 2.2% a year even after 25 years, so older condos here are cheap for a reason. Check the repair fund and rebuild plans.
¥0¥500k¥1.0M¥1.5M05101520253035404550
Show data table
Building age (years)CondoHouse
0¥1.0M/m²¥380k/m²
1¥1.1M/m²¥340k/m²
2¥900k/m²¥347k/m²
3¥850k/m²¥337k/m²
4¥867k/m²¥333k/m²
5¥880k/m²¥313k/m²
6¥907k/m²¥314k/m²
7¥900k/m²¥300k/m²
8¥880k/m²¥295k/m²
9¥857k/m²¥282k/m²
10¥840k/m²¥264k/m²
11¥833k/m²¥258k/m²
12¥769k/m²¥248k/m²
13¥733k/m²¥242k/m²
14¥680k/m²¥227k/m²
15¥650k/m²¥220k/m²
16¥655k/m²¥216k/m²
17¥647k/m²¥210k/m²
18¥633k/m²¥200k/m²
19¥615k/m²¥191k/m²
20¥600k/m²¥181k/m²
21¥567k/m²¥176k/m²
22¥533k/m²¥166k/m²
23¥500k/m²¥157k/m²
24¥462k/m²¥144k/m²
25¥435k/m²¥136k/m²
26¥400k/m²¥130k/m²
27¥369k/m²¥127k/m²
28¥350k/m²¥121k/m²
29¥320k/m²¥116k/m²
30¥277k/m²¥121k/m²
31¥255k/m²¥113k/m²
32¥250k/m²¥111k/m²
33¥253k/m²¥110k/m²
34¥260k/m²¥112k/m²
35¥277k/m²¥112k/m²
36¥293k/m²¥111k/m²
37¥320k/m²¥109k/m²
38¥329k/m²¥100k/m²
39¥325k/m²¥94k/m²
40¥313k/m²¥88k/m²
41¥300k/m²¥85k/m²
42¥291k/m²¥79k/m²
43¥283k/m²¥77k/m²
44¥283k/m²¥76k/m²
45¥277k/m²¥75k/m²
46¥260k/m²¥71k/m²
47¥233k/m²¥70k/m²
48¥215k/m²¥70k/m²
49¥220k/m²¥70k/m²
50¥236k/m²¥71k/m²
Condo price per m² by construction periodBuilding age matters less than location — Over the last decade, pre-1981 condos have appreciated at about the same pace as 2000s buildings (around 3.9% a year), so in this market location matters more than building age. Pre-1981 buildings, built before the current earthquake standard, trade about 24% below 1980s–90s buildings.
¥0¥500k¥1.0M20052008201120142017202020232026

Each line follows buildings from one construction period over time. 1981 is when Japan's current earthquake-resistance standard (shin-taishin) took effect.

Show data table
Year1971-19801981-20002001-20102011-2020
2005¥250k/m²¥357k/m²¥821k/m²–
2006¥217k/m²¥300k/m²¥720k/m²–
2007¥186k/m²¥257k/m²¥568k/m²–
2008¥183k/m²¥243k/m²¥493k/m²–
2009¥167k/m²¥227k/m²¥444k/m²–
2010¥170k/m²¥227k/m²¥480k/m²¥781k/m²
2011¥169k/m²¥229k/m²¥455k/m²¥718k/m²
2012¥160k/m²¥227k/m²¥420k/m²¥660k/m²
2013¥169k/m²¥233k/m²¥431k/m²¥686k/m²
2014¥175k/m²¥243k/m²¥450k/m²¥683k/m²
2015¥186k/m²¥253k/m²¥463k/m²¥707k/m²
2016¥200k/m²¥267k/m²¥500k/m²¥754k/m²
2017¥200k/m²¥275k/m²¥509k/m²¥750k/m²
2018¥200k/m²¥277k/m²¥527k/m²¥750k/m²
2019¥213k/m²¥283k/m²¥550k/m²¥750k/m²
2020¥222k/m²¥286k/m²¥563k/m²¥800k/m²
2021¥222k/m²¥300k/m²¥579k/m²¥800k/m²
2022¥246k/m²¥323k/m²¥622k/m²¥840k/m²
2023¥255k/m²¥343k/m²¥636k/m²¥857k/m²
2024¥250k/m²¥343k/m²¥653k/m²¥900k/m²
2025¥267k/m²¥350k/m²¥680k/m²¥950k/m²
2026 (partial)¥262k/m²¥367k/m²¥700k/m²¥975k/m²
House price per m² by construction period
¥0¥200k¥400k¥600k20052008201120142017202020232026

Each line follows buildings from one construction period over time. 1981 is when Japan's current earthquake-resistance standard (shin-taishin) took effect.

Show data table
Year1971-19801981-20002001-20102011-2020
2005¥240k/m²¥282k/m²¥430k/m²–
2006¥184k/m²¥218k/m²¥388k/m²–
2007¥127k/m²¥155k/m²¥330k/m²–
2008¥109k/m²¥133k/m²¥310k/m²–
2009¥100k/m²¥121k/m²¥305k/m²–
2010¥97k/m²¥122k/m²¥300k/m²¥327k/m²
2011¥93k/m²¥122k/m²¥235k/m²¥317k/m²
2012¥88k/m²¥119k/m²¥207k/m²¥310k/m²
2013¥90k/m²¥120k/m²¥205k/m²¥312k/m²
2014¥87k/m²¥119k/m²¥200k/m²¥310k/m²
2015¥84k/m²¥119k/m²¥200k/m²¥310k/m²
2016¥83k/m²¥118k/m²¥200k/m²¥317k/m²
2017¥81k/m²¥117k/m²¥200k/m²¥318k/m²
2018¥81k/m²¥114k/m²¥200k/m²¥320k/m²
2019¥77k/m²¥111k/m²¥193k/m²¥327k/m²
2020¥71k/m²¥109k/m²¥191k/m²¥325k/m²
2021¥73k/m²¥113k/m²¥200k/m²¥307k/m²
2022¥77k/m²¥116k/m²¥205k/m²¥300k/m²
2023¥73k/m²¥114k/m²¥200k/m²¥305k/m²
2024¥71k/m²¥114k/m²¥200k/m²¥300k/m²
2025¥69k/m²¥113k/m²¥200k/m²¥290k/m²
2026 (partial)¥64k/m²¥109k/m²¥191k/m²¥292k/m²

Prices by area in Japan

Median prices for 2025. Sorted by condo price per m² (or house price per m² where there are few condo sales).

AreaCondo price per m²Median used condo priceMedian house price (land + building)Residential land per m² (sales)Condo 5-yr change
Tokyo¥1.1M/m²¥37.0M¥63.0M¥520k/m²+26.5%
Kanagawa¥571k/m²¥29.0M¥43.0M¥180k/m²+28.6%
Osaka¥554k/m²¥22.0M¥27.0M¥170k/m²+50.0%
Kyoto¥545k/m²¥22.0M¥24.0M¥150k/m²+36.4%
Okinawa¥453k/m²¥30.0M¥39.0M¥52k/m²+13.3%
Fukuoka¥420k/m²¥18.0M¥29.0M¥47k/m²+43.2%
Saitama¥415k/m²¥25.0M¥31.0M¥80k/m²+32.2%
Hyogo¥400k/m²¥22.0M¥23.0M¥78k/m²+30.0%
Chiba¥354k/m²¥24.0M¥29.0M¥70k/m²+27.8%
Shiga¥343k/m²¥24.0M¥21.0M¥42k/m²+8.3%
Nagano¥341k/m²¥24.0M¥16.0M¥18k/m²+19.2%
Hiroshima¥329k/m²¥23.0M¥23.0M¥65k/m²+9.8%
Aichi¥323k/m²¥20.0M¥35.0M¥96k/m²+19.0%
Miyagi¥320k/m²¥20.0M¥26.0M¥55k/m²+17.9%
Nagasaki¥312k/m²¥23.5M¥13.0M¥24k/m²+21.3%
Yamanashi¥294k/m²¥18.0M¥13.0M¥23k/m²+69.0%
Okayama¥293k/m²¥21.0M¥17.0M¥39k/m²+15.5%
Kagoshima¥291k/m²¥22.0M¥11.0M¥18k/m²+1.2%
Kumamoto¥277k/m²¥19.0M¥20.0M¥28k/m²+29.5%
Toyama¥273k/m²¥18.0M¥12.0M¥26k/m²+47.7%
Wakayama¥267k/m²¥18.0M¥6.5M¥24k/m²+58.7%
Nara¥262k/m²¥19.0M¥19.0M¥61k/m²+31.0%
Mie¥257k/m²¥20.0M¥11.0M¥19k/m²+21.4%
Ibaraki¥254k/m²¥18.0M¥14.0M¥15k/m²+9.4%
Tottori¥252k/m²¥18.0M¥11.0M¥24k/m²+25.8%
Ishikawa¥248k/m²¥16.0M¥15.0M¥33k/m²+16.0%
Tochigi¥246k/m²¥15.0M¥19.0M¥20k/m²+51.7%
Hokkaido¥245k/m²¥17.0M¥14.0M¥29k/m²+22.6%
Fukui¥243k/m²¥16.0M¥11.0M¥36k/m²+40.1%
Gifu¥243k/m²¥20.0M¥13.0M¥29k/m²+21.4%
Niigata¥238k/m²¥16.0M¥12.0M¥28k/m²+27.2%
Shimane¥233k/m²¥18.5M¥9.0M¥20k/m²+0.5%
Shizuoka¥231k/m²¥16.0M¥19.0M¥56k/m²+15.6%
Kochi¥231k/m²¥15.0M¥12.0M¥45k/m²+21.5%
Saga¥225k/m²¥18.0M¥17.0M¥24k/m²+5.0%
Yamagata¥225k/m²¥15.0M¥11.0M¥23k/m²-2.4%
Miyazaki¥223k/m²¥17.0M¥15.0M¥24k/m²-0.2%
Gunma¥215k/m²¥15.0M¥13.5M¥22k/m²+16.0%
Ehime¥213k/m²¥14.0M¥13.0M¥40k/m²-11.1%
Oita¥209k/m²¥15.0M¥17.0M¥30k/m²+11.9%
Fukushima¥200k/m²¥13.0M¥15.0M¥24k/m²0.0%
Yamaguchi¥200k/m²¥15.0M¥12.0M¥28k/m²+6.7%
Iwate¥185k/m²¥12.0M¥12.0M¥21k/m²-22.3%
Akita¥176k/m²¥11.0M¥9.5M¥14k/m²-17.7%
Tokushima¥173k/m²¥11.0M¥12.5M¥32k/m²-8.4%
Kagawa¥172k/m²¥11.0M¥13.0M¥24k/m²+9.5%
Aomori¥144k/m²¥9.7M¥10.0M¥18k/m²-9.8%

Used condo prices by layout in Japan

Sales from 2023–2025.

LayoutMedian used condo priceTypical sizeSales
3LDK¥30.0M70 m²60913
1K¥20.0M20 m²30507
2LDK¥31.0M60 m²26056
4LDK¥28.0M85 m²10653
1LDK¥33.0M40 m²9898
1DK¥23.0M30 m²4608
2DK¥17.0M45 m²4043
1R¥9.0M15 m²1563

How much does an apartment cost in Japan?

The median used condo (mansion) in Japan sold for ¥26.0M in 2025, about ¥558k/m², based on 55877 recorded sales.

How much does a house cost in Japan?

The median house sale, including the land, was ¥25.0M in 2025 across 114829 sales.

Are property prices in Japan going up?

Over the five years to 2025, condo prices per m² changed +33.4% and residential land prices changed +24.3%.

About this data

Figures are medians of real transactions reported to Japan's Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism (MLIT) through its quarterly price survey. House prices per m² divide the total price (land and building) by the floor area. Medians based on fewer than 20 sales are not shown. The latest quarters are preliminary and are revised as more survey responses arrive.

Information only, not investment advice.