Shinsekai, Osaka
Photo: Shinsekai, Osaka · Nomadic Julien / Unsplash

Toyonaka City Housing Market Report 2026

Data updated 2026-11-11 · Source: MLIT transaction price survey, 2005 Q3–2026 Q2 · Transactions in 2025: 772

In short

  1. 1
    Steady, predictable growth

    Condo prices per m² have climbed about 4.3% a year, roughly in line with the previous five years.

  2. 2
    Lagging Osaka

    Per m², condos here are 24% below the Osaka average.

  3. 3
    Being near a station is worth a lot

    Condos within a 5-minute walk of a station sell for about 26% more per m² than those 11–15 minutes away.

  4. 4
    A family market

    74% of recent condo sales have three or more bedrooms.

The answers, compared

What does a home cost?

¥28.0M

median used condo · ¥415k/m²

25% below the Osaka median

21 of 55 areas in Osaka, highest first

Are prices rising?

+26.9%

over 5 years

Slower than Osaka (+50.0%)

34 of 64 areas in Osaka, highest first

Can local earners afford it?

5.9× income

median price ÷ average taxable income

In line with Osaka (5.6×)

18 of 68 areas in Osaka, highest first

Rent or buy?

33years of rent

median price ÷ a year of median rent

Longer than Osaka (32)

18 of 64 areas in Osaka, highest first

Are people moving in?

+0.7%

population, 2020–25

Growing while Osaka shrinks (-0.8%)

19 of 68 areas in Osaka, highest first

How risky is it?

11%

chance of strong shaking (6-lower+) in 30 years

Lower than Osaka (43%)

64 of 68 areas in Osaka, highest first

Rent in Toyonaka City

The average private rental costs ¥76k a month (2023), +11.0% since 2018. Osaka: ¥64k

Floor areaAverage rent / month
under 30 m²
studio / 1K
¥55k
vs 2018 +10.7% · Osaka: ¥50k
30–49 m²
1LDK / 2DK
¥69k
vs 2018 +17.5% · Osaka: ¥65k
50–69 m²
2LDK / 3DK
¥83k
vs 2018 +4.9% · Osaka: ¥80k
70–99 m²
3LDK / family
¥112k
vs 2018 +16.3% · Osaka: ¥89k
100–149 m²
mostly houses
¥118k
vs 2018 +17.3% · Osaka: ¥82k
150 m² +
mostly houses
¥79k
vs 2018 -8.1% · Osaka: ¥77k
Rent per m²
¥1,626
median, per month · Osaka: ¥1,794
The median used condo (¥28.0M, 70 m²) costs about 21 years of average rent for a similar-sized home (¥112k a month).
Excludes management fees, repair reserve, property tax and mortgage interest.

Source: Statistics Bureau of Japan, Housing and Land Survey 2023. Privately owned rentals (excluding rent-free homes), monthly rent without management fees. These averages include older homes, so they run below asking rents for newly listed units. 60,310 rented homes.

What the data says

Steady, predictable growth

Condo prices per m² have climbed about 4.3% a year, roughly in line with the previous five years. There is no sign of overheating or a sudden slowdown.

Lagging Osaka

Per m², condos here are 24% below the Osaka average. Ten years ago the gap was 1%, so Toyonaka City has been falling behind the rest of Osaka.

Being near a station is worth a lot

Condos within a 5-minute walk of a station sell for about 26% more per m² than those 11–15 minutes away. If budget is tight, a longer walk is the quickest way to cut the price.

A family market

74% of recent condo sales have three or more bedrooms. Demand comes mainly from owner-occupier families, which tends to make prices steadier but rental yields lower.

Sales are thinning out

Transactions are down about 16% on the previous three years. Fewer sales mean less choice and slower resale, so allow more time to sell later.

What a typical purchase costs

Half of all condo sales last year were between ¥19.0M and ¥44.8M. Listings outside that range are either unusual properties or worth a closer look.

A growing population

The population grew 0.7% between 2020 and 2025 (−0.8% for the wider area). Moves in and out roughly balanced in 2025.

Typical vacancy

13.7% of homes were empty in 2023 (14.2% for the wider area), and 4.6% were empty without being for rent, for sale or used as second homes. The level of abandoned homes is around the national norm.

Buying vs renting

A median used condo costs about 33.4 years of the area's median rent (¥70k a month), compared with 31.7 years for the wider area. Prices are high relative to rents, so rental yields are thin and buyers are paying for expected growth. Rents here cover all rented homes, so treat this as a rough guide.

Lower earthquake risk

The government's seismic model gives a 11% chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or stronger in the next 30 years (43% for the wider area). This is low by Japanese standards, although no part of Japan is free of earthquake risk.

A typical condo costs 5.9 years of local income

Taxpayers here reported an average taxable income of ¥4.8m in 2023 (¥3.9m for the wider area). That is +19% since 2014. The median resale condo sold for about 5.9 times that, against 5.6 times for the wider area. A higher multiple means prices lean more on buyers from outside the area or on two incomes. Averages are pulled up by a few very high earners, so a typical household earns less than this.

Official land prices are rising fast

On the government's fixed benchmark sites, which are valued the same way every year, residential land prices changed +4% in the year to January 2026 and +13% over five years. They are still 65% below their 1991 bubble-era level. Because these sites don't change, this is the cleanest measure of land value trends.

Some flood or landslide exposure

Of the official land-price benchmark sites here, which sit in typical neighbourhoods, 26% are inside the worst-case flood zone (3% with expected depths of 3 m or more). Most worst-case flood zones are shallow (under 0.5 m) at the edges, so depth matters as much as the share. Check the hazard map for any specific address before buying.

Government-backed redevelopment

This area includes national Urgent Urban Renewal Areas: Senri-Chuo Station area. These allow larger, denser buildings and give big projects financial support, so expect new offices, shops and housing to keep reshaping the area.

Living in Toyonaka City: people, homes and risks

Population 2025
404,479
+0.7% since 2020
Osaka: -0.8%
Net moves in 2025
+310
+0.77 per 1,000 residents
Osaka: +1.79
Vacant homes (2023)
13.7%
4.6% empty and not for rent or sale
Osaka: 14.2%
Median rent (2023)
¥70k
per month, all rented homes
Osaka: ¥58k
Strong earthquake risk
11.3%
chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or more within 30 years
Osaka: 43.3%
Average income per taxpayer
¥4.8M
taxable income in 2023
Osaka: ¥3.9M
Daytime population
89
people here by day per 100 residents (2020 census)
Foreign residents
1.9%
7,777 registered residents in 2024
Osaka: 3.7%
Clinics
10.3
per 10,000 residents; 19 hospitals, 248 dental clinics (2020)
Osaka: 9.8
Official land price 2026
¥224k/m²
+4.0% in a year · +13.2% in 5 years
Osaka: ¥145k/m²
Flood exposure
25.8%
of 66 benchmark sites in a worst-case flood zone (3.0% 3 m or deeper)
Osaka: 42.5%
Landslide exposure
0.0%
of 66 benchmark sites in a landslide warning area
Osaka: 1.4%

Urban renewal zones

Areas designated by the national government for priority redevelopment, with relaxed planning rules and financial support for large projects.

  • Senri-Chuo Station area · 15 ha · designated 2004

Check flood, landslide and tsunami zones for a specific address on the government hazard map ↗

Sources: 2025 Census (preliminary), 2025 Internal Migration Report, 2023 Housing and Land Survey (Statistics Bureau of Japan); J-SHIS seismic hazard model (NIED, 2024); Land Price Publication (MLIT); recorded crime: Tokyo Metropolitan Police Department (Tokyo only); incomes: Ministry of Internal Affairs taxation survey via the Statistics Bureau's municipal indicators; foreign residents: Basic Resident Register; medical facilities and station passengers: MLIT National Land Numerical Information. Earthquake probability is measured at the municipal center.

Example sales in Toyonaka City

Real transactions from the last four quarters, picked near the lower (20th percentile), middle and upper (80th percentile) price points. Locations are shown at district level, as published by MLIT.

Condo

Lower-priced2026 Q2

¥18.0M

¥300k/m²

  • Nishimidorigaoka
  • Shoji(OsakaMonorail) · 15 min walk
  • 3LDK · 60 m²
  • Built 1977 (49 yrs) · RC
Typical2026 Q2

¥29.0M

¥341k/m²

  • Sonenishimachi
  • Sone(Osaka) · 4 min walk
  • 4LDK · 85 m²
  • Built 1990 (36 yrs) · SRC
Higher-priced2025 Q4

¥49.0M

¥653k/m²

  • Nakasakurazuka
  • Sone(Osaka) · 6 min walk
  • 3LDK · 75 m²
  • Built 2007 (18 yrs) · RC

House

Lower-priced2025 Q4

¥24.0M

¥166k/m²

  • Shonaisakaemachi
  • Shonai(Osaka) · 21 min walk
  • Land 110 m² · floor 145 m²
  • Built 1989 (36 yrs)
Typical2026 Q1

¥45.0M

¥450k/m²

  • Hama
  • Hattori Tenjin · 9 min walk
  • Land 85 m² · floor 100 m²
  • Built 2013 (13 yrs) · Wood
Higher-priced2025 Q4

¥76.0M

¥447k/m²

  • Toneyama
  • Hotarugaike · 9 min walk
  • Land 95 m² · floor 170 m²
  • Built 2025 (0 yrs) · Wood
Median transaction price by year
¥0¥20.0M¥40.0M¥60.0M2007200920112013201520172019202120232025
Show data table
YearCondoHouse
2007¥19.5M¥40.0M
2008¥20.0M¥39.0M
2009¥17.0M¥33.0M
2010¥19.0M¥35.0M
2011¥19.0M¥35.0M
2012¥17.0M¥35.0M
2013¥18.0M¥34.0M
2014¥19.0M¥37.0M
2015¥20.0M¥35.0M
2016¥20.0M¥38.0M
2017¥22.0M¥38.0M
2018¥21.0M¥40.0M
2019¥24.0M¥37.0M
2020¥24.0M¥38.0M
2021¥24.0M¥42.0M
2022¥25.0M¥43.0M
2023¥26.5M¥42.0M
2024¥26.0M¥47.0M
2025¥28.0M¥42.0M
2026 (partial)¥27.0M¥50.0M
Median price per m² by yearHouses are the better deal on space — A m² of house floor space costs about 9% less than a m² of condo, even though the house price includes land. If you need room more than convenience, a house buys considerably more space. That gap has widened over the decade as condo prices pulled ahead.
¥0¥200k¥400k¥600k2007200920112013201520172019202120232025
Show data table
YearCondoHouseLand
2007¥276k/m²¥323k/m²¥260k/m²
2008¥273k/m²¥345k/m²¥230k/m²
2009¥250k/m²¥300k/m²¥200k/m²
2010¥271k/m²¥318k/m²¥190k/m²
2011¥262k/m²¥320k/m²¥180k/m²
2012¥250k/m²¥315k/m²¥190k/m²
2013¥246k/m²¥302k/m²¥190k/m²
2014¥267k/m²¥305k/m²¥190k/m²
2015¥297k/m²¥308k/m²¥190k/m²
2016¥277k/m²¥306k/m²¥190k/m²
2017¥300k/m²¥306k/m²¥190k/m²
2018¥293k/m²¥313k/m²¥210k/m²
2019¥322k/m²¥311k/m²¥220k/m²
2020¥327k/m²¥338k/m²¥230k/m²
2021¥338k/m²¥358k/m²¥230k/m²
2022¥364k/m²¥370k/m²¥240k/m²
2023¥370k/m²¥360k/m²¥250k/m²
2024¥386k/m²¥381k/m²¥250k/m²
2025¥415k/m²¥350k/m²¥280k/m²
2026 (partial)¥417k/m²¥381k/m²¥255k/m²
Price per m² by building age (2021–2025 sales)How condos age here — In recent sales, condos lose about a quarter of their per-m² value by around 20 years old and half by around 33. Prices keep falling by roughly 2.3% a year even after 25 years, so older condos here are cheap for a reason. Check the repair fund and rebuild plans.Houses bottom out at around 35 years — House prices per m² drop about 51% from new by age 35, then flatten, because by then buyers are mostly paying for the land. A house older than that costs little more than its plot, a good option if you plan to renovate or rebuild.
¥0¥200k¥400k¥600k¥800k05101520253035404550
Show data table
Building age (years)CondoHouse
0–¥462k/m²
1–¥516k/m²
2–¥561k/m²
3¥615k/m²¥443k/m²
4¥624k/m²¥382k/m²
5¥615k/m²–
6¥588k/m²–
7¥640k/m²¥390k/m²
8¥627k/m²–
9¥653k/m²–
10¥671k/m²–
11¥700k/m²¥435k/m²
12¥674k/m²¥368k/m²
13¥652k/m²¥358k/m²
14¥600k/m²–
15¥614k/m²–
16¥614k/m²¥350k/m²
17¥600k/m²–
18¥556k/m²¥296k/m²
19¥461k/m²¥302k/m²
20¥451k/m²¥300k/m²
21¥477k/m²¥371k/m²
22¥446k/m²¥326k/m²
23¥431k/m²¥344k/m²
24¥400k/m²¥297k/m²
25¥365k/m²¥259k/m²
26¥394k/m²¥350k/m²
27¥352k/m²¥258k/m²
28¥386k/m²¥281k/m²
29¥357k/m²¥208k/m²
30¥360k/m²¥222k/m²
31¥297k/m²¥292k/m²
32¥354k/m²¥231k/m²
33¥295k/m²¥227k/m²
34¥314k/m²¥263k/m²
35¥184k/m²¥224k/m²
36¥240k/m²¥267k/m²
37¥254k/m²¥217k/m²
38¥238k/m²¥212k/m²
39¥253k/m²¥191k/m²
40¥286k/m²–
41¥277k/m²¥200k/m²
42¥307k/m²¥187k/m²
43¥275k/m²¥211k/m²
44¥238k/m²¥258k/m²
45¥258k/m²¥179k/m²
46¥215k/m²¥200k/m²
47¥237k/m²–
48¥244k/m²¥209k/m²
49¥215k/m²¥219k/m²
50¥208k/m²¥169k/m²
Condo price per m² by construction periodBuilding age matters less than location — Over the last decade, pre-1981 condos have appreciated at about the same pace as 2000s buildings (around 2.8% a year), so in this market location matters more than building age. Pre-1981 buildings, built before the current earthquake standard, trade about 32% below 1980s–90s buildings.
¥0¥200k¥400k¥600k¥800k2007200920112013201520172019202120232025

Each line follows buildings from one construction period over time. 1981 is when Japan's current earthquake-resistance standard (shin-taishin) took effect.

Show data table
Year1971-19801981-20002001-20102011-2020
2007¥200k/m²¥273k/m²¥445k/m²–
2008¥200k/m²¥271k/m²¥415k/m²–
2009¥169k/m²¥250k/m²¥416k/m²–
2010¥185k/m²¥257k/m²¥459k/m²–
2011¥183k/m²¥250k/m²¥500k/m²–
2012¥169k/m²¥250k/m²¥429k/m²–
2013¥169k/m²¥238k/m²¥414k/m²–
2014¥188k/m²¥254k/m²¥457k/m²–
2015¥169k/m²¥267k/m²¥427k/m²¥523k/m²
2016¥200k/m²¥263k/m²¥426k/m²¥544k/m²
2017¥200k/m²¥271k/m²¥493k/m²¥588k/m²
2018¥183k/m²¥263k/m²¥448k/m²¥571k/m²
2019¥188k/m²¥283k/m²¥514k/m²¥533k/m²
2020¥231k/m²¥289k/m²¥458k/m²¥585k/m²
2021¥217k/m²¥296k/m²¥460k/m²¥600k/m²
2022¥241k/m²¥300k/m²¥500k/m²¥600k/m²
2023¥214k/m²¥333k/m²¥573k/m²¥640k/m²
2024¥233k/m²¥322k/m²¥557k/m²¥723k/m²
2025¥240k/m²¥353k/m²¥613k/m²¥743k/m²
2026 (partial)¥267k/m²¥400k/m²¥608k/m²–
House price per m² by construction period
¥0¥200k¥400k¥600k2007200920112013201520172019202120232025

Each line follows buildings from one construction period over time. 1981 is when Japan's current earthquake-resistance standard (shin-taishin) took effect.

Show data table
Year1971-19801981-20002001-20102011-2020
2007¥218k/m²¥267k/m²¥400k/m²–
2008¥200k/m²¥258k/m²¥389k/m²–
2009¥189k/m²¥233k/m²¥369k/m²–
2010¥168k/m²¥200k/m²¥367k/m²¥371k/m²
2011¥206k/m²¥227k/m²¥330k/m²¥377k/m²
2012¥173k/m²¥202k/m²¥366k/m²¥390k/m²
2013¥176k/m²¥207k/m²¥304k/m²¥373k/m²
2014¥182k/m²¥196k/m²¥350k/m²¥371k/m²
2015¥181k/m²¥224k/m²–¥366k/m²
2016¥186k/m²¥218k/m²¥274k/m²¥390k/m²
2017¥220k/m²¥232k/m²¥292k/m²¥390k/m²
2018¥232k/m²¥221k/m²¥310k/m²¥400k/m²
2019¥213k/m²¥229k/m²¥333k/m²¥381k/m²
2020¥161k/m²¥214k/m²–¥400k/m²
2021¥200k/m²¥225k/m²¥305k/m²¥444k/m²
2022¥191k/m²¥250k/m²¥319k/m²¥391k/m²
2023¥218k/m²¥281k/m²¥337k/m²¥371k/m²
2024¥211k/m²¥245k/m²¥315k/m²¥392k/m²
2025¥179k/m²¥268k/m²¥348k/m²¥440k/m²
2026 (partial)–¥281k/m²––

Prices near train stations in Toyonaka City

Sales from 2023–2025, grouped by nearest station.

StationMedian used condo priceCondo price per m²Median house price (land + building)Walk (min)SalesDaily passengers (2023)
Toyonaka (豊中)¥23.0M¥328k/m²¥49.0M1437939,769-16% vs 2019
Senri Chuo (千里中央)¥48.0M¥675k/m²¥63.0M11295119,514-10% vs 2019
Momoyamadai (桃山台)¥23.0M¥325k/m²¥51.5M1519134,900-13% vs 2019
Shonai(Osaka) (庄内(大阪))¥22.0M¥354k/m²¥27.0M1118023,363-17% vs 2019
Okamachi (岡町)¥27.5M¥421k/m²¥46.0M915414,655-13% vs 2019
Hattori Tenjin (服部天神)¥24.0M¥385k/m²¥38.0M1014219,935-17% vs 2019
Sone(Osaka) (曽根(大阪))¥29.5M¥420k/m²¥50.0M1013720,081-17% vs 2019
Hotarugaike (蛍池)¥22.0M¥369k/m²¥45.0M911762,302-12% vs 2019
Shoji(OsakaMonorail) (少路(大阪モノレール))¥32.0M¥433k/m²–89112,675-3% vs 2019
Ryokuchi Koen (緑地公園)¥23.0M¥367k/m²¥78.0M57230,363-15% vs 2019
Kanzakigawa (神崎川)––¥27.0M123416,479-13% vs 2019
Shibahara Handai Mae (柴原阪大前)¥20.0M¥280k/m²¥43.0M7329,478-6% vs 2019
Sonoda (園田)¥13.5M¥187k/m²¥17.0M1621–
Minoh Semba Handai Mae (箕面船場阪大前)¥15.5M¥227k/m²–182012,183
Mikuni(Osaka) (三国(大阪))–––101122,159-13% vs 2019

Used condo prices by layout in Toyonaka City

Sales from 2023–2025.

LayoutMedian used condo priceTypical sizeSales
3LDK¥31.0M70 m²508
2LDK¥20.0M60 m²145
4LDK¥34.0M85 m²81
1LDK¥18.0M55 m²19
2DK¥10.5M50 m²14
1K¥20.0M20 m²12

How much does an apartment cost in Toyonaka City?

The median used condo (mansion) in Toyonaka City sold for ¥28.0M in 2025, about ¥415k/m², based on 346 recorded sales.

How much does a house cost in Toyonaka City?

The median house sale, including the land, was ¥42.0M in 2025 across 289 sales.

Are property prices in Toyonaka City going up?

Over the five years to 2025, condo prices per m² changed +26.9% and residential land prices changed +21.7%.

About this data

Figures are medians of real transactions reported to Japan's Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism (MLIT) through its quarterly price survey. House prices per m² divide the total price (land and building) by the floor area. Medians based on fewer than 20 sales are not shown. The latest quarters are preliminary and are revised as more survey responses arrive.

Information only, not investment advice.