Shinsekai, Osaka
Photo: Shinsekai, Osaka · Nomadic Julien / Unsplash

Chuo Ward (Osaka) Housing Market 2026: Population Up 15%, on Dry Ground

Data updated 2026-11-11 · Source: MLIT transaction price survey, 2005 Q3–2026 Q2 · Transactions in 2025: 807

In short

  1. 1
    Fast growth in the centre

    Chuo Ward covers Osaka's old merchant districts, Shinsaibashi and the Osaka Castle area.

  2. 2
    Studios and offices

    More than half of condo sales are studios, typically 20 m² at about ¥18M, many bought as rentals or holiday lets.

  3. 3
    High vacancy, good yields

    Vacancy is about 18%, the third highest of Osaka's wards.

  4. 4
    Low natural risk

    None of Chuo's benchmark sites are in a flood or tsunami zone: the ward sits on the Uemachi Plateau, the high ground running south from Osaka Castle.

The answers, compared

What does a home cost?

¥24.0M

median used condo · ¥850k/m²

1.5× the Osaka median

6 of 55 areas in Osaka, highest first

Are prices rising?

+30.8%

over 5 years

Slower than Osaka (+50.0%)

27 of 64 areas in Osaka, highest first

Can local earners afford it?

6.1× income

median price ÷ average taxable income

Harder than Osaka (5.6×)

14 of 68 areas in Osaka, highest first

Rent or buy?

28years of rent

median price ÷ a year of median rent

Shorter than Osaka (32)

37 of 64 areas in Osaka, highest first

Are people moving in?

+15.1%

population, 2020–25

Growing while Osaka shrinks (-0.8%)

2 of 68 areas in Osaka, highest first

How risky is it?

32%

chance of strong shaking (6-lower+) in 30 years

Lower than Osaka (43%)

40 of 68 areas in Osaka, highest first

Rent in Chuo Ward, Osaka City

The average private rental costs ¥77k a month (2023), -5.9% since 2018. Osaka: ¥64k

Floor areaAverage rent / month
under 30 m²
studio / 1K
¥58k
vs 2018 -5.8% · Osaka: ¥50k
30–49 m²
1LDK / 2DK
¥82k
vs 2018 +3.2% · Osaka: ¥65k
50–69 m²
2LDK / 3DK
¥119k
vs 2018 +4.9% · Osaka: ¥80k
70–99 m²
3LDK / family
¥127k
vs 2018 -18.5% · Osaka: ¥89k
100–149 m²
mostly houses
¥127k
vs 2018 +7.0% · Osaka: ¥82k
Rent per m²
¥2,393
median, per month · Osaka: ¥1,794
The median used condo (¥24.0M, 30 m²) costs about 24 years of average rent for a similar-sized home (¥82k a month).
Excludes management fees, repair reserve, property tax and mortgage interest.

Source: Statistics Bureau of Japan, Housing and Land Survey 2023. Privately owned rentals (excluding rent-free homes), monthly rent without management fees. These averages include older homes, so they run below asking rents for newly listed units. 39,310 rented homes.

Fast growth in the centre

Chuo Ward covers Osaka's old merchant districts, Shinsaibashi and the Osaka Castle area. Its population grew 15% between 2020 and 2025, second among Osaka City's 24 wards, and households grew 17%. But in 2025 more people moved out to the rest of Japan than moved in, so much of the growth comes from abroad and new condos.

Prices accelerating

Condos cost about ¥0.85M per m², 1.6 times the Osaka Prefecture average. Prices per m² rose about 5.7% a year over the past five years, faster than the five years before. The median condo sold for about ¥24M. Sales rose 14% in 2025. Land sold in transactions rose almost 80% in five years.

Studios and offices

More than half of condo sales are studios, typically 20 m² at about ¥18M, many bought as rentals or holiday lets. Hommachi and Sakaisuji-Hommachi are the priciest busy stations at about ¥0.87–0.95M per m²; Tanimachi 9-Chome and Tanimachi 6-Chome are cheaper.

High vacancy, good yields

Vacancy is about 18%, the third highest of Osaka's wards. Many small flats are empty or used as short-term rentals. A median condo costs about 28 years of median rent, better than the Osaka average.

Low natural risk

None of Chuo's benchmark sites are in a flood or tsunami zone: the ward sits on the Uemachi Plateau, the high ground running south from Osaka Castle. Earthquake probability is low for Osaka (about 32%). Three renewal areas, Umeda–Nakanoshima–Midosuji, the Osaka Castle Park business area and Namba–Minatomachi, reach into the ward.

Living in Chuo Ward, Osaka City: people, homes and risks

Population 2025
119,350
+15.1% since 2020
Osaka: -0.8%
Net moves in 2025
-613
-5.14 per 1,000 residents
Osaka: +1.79
Vacant homes (2023)
18.4%
1.9% empty and not for rent or sale
Osaka: 14.2%
Median rent (2023)
¥71k
per month, all rented homes
Osaka: ¥58k
Strong earthquake risk
32.0%
chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or more within 30 years
Osaka: 43.3%
Average income per taxpayer
¥3.9M
taxable income in 2023, citywide figure
Osaka: ¥3.9M
Daytime population
433
people here by day per 100 residents (2020 census)
Foreign residents
10.4%
12,352 registered residents in 2024
Osaka: 3.7%
Clinics
32.3
per 10,000 residents; 8 hospitals, 254 dental clinics (2020)
Osaka: 9.8
Official land price 2026
¥715k/m²
+8.4% in a year · +32.6% in 5 years
Osaka: ¥145k/m²
Flood exposure
0.0%
of 45 benchmark sites in a worst-case flood zone (0.0% 3 m or deeper)
Osaka: 42.5%
Landslide exposure
0.0%
of 45 benchmark sites in a landslide warning area
Osaka: 1.4%

Urban renewal zones

Areas designated by the national government for priority redevelopment, with relaxed planning rules and financial support for large projects.

  • Osaka Castle Park area (OBP) · 121 ha · designated 2012
  • Osaka Station (Umeda), Nakanoshima and Midosuji · 490 ha · designated 2002 · Specified zone (highest priority)
  • Namba and Minatomachi · 36 ha · designated 2002

Check flood, landslide and tsunami zones for a specific address on the government hazard map ↗

Sources: 2025 Census (preliminary), 2025 Internal Migration Report, 2023 Housing and Land Survey (Statistics Bureau of Japan); J-SHIS seismic hazard model (NIED, 2024); Land Price Publication (MLIT); recorded crime: Tokyo Metropolitan Police Department (Tokyo only); incomes: Ministry of Internal Affairs taxation survey via the Statistics Bureau's municipal indicators; foreign residents: Basic Resident Register; medical facilities and station passengers: MLIT National Land Numerical Information. Earthquake probability is measured at the municipal center.

Example sales in Chuo Ward, Osaka City

Real transactions from the last four quarters, picked near the lower (20th percentile), middle and upper (80th percentile) price points. Locations are shown at district level, as published by MLIT.

Condo

Lower-priced2026 Q2

¥18.0M

¥900k/m²

  • Tohei
  • Tanimachi 6 Chome · 6 min walk
  • 1K · 20 m²
  • Built 2011 (15 yrs) · RC
Typical2026 Q2

¥24.0M

¥800k/m²

  • Andojimachi
  • Matsuyamachi · 2 min walk
  • 1K · 30 m²
  • Built 2011 (15 yrs) · RC
Higher-priced2026 Q2

¥57.0M

¥1.1M/m²

  • Uchiawajimachi
  • Temmabashi · 11 min walk
  • 2LDK · 50 m²
  • Built 2023 (3 yrs) · RC

House

Lower-priced2025 Q3

¥110M

¥667k/m²

  • Tanimachi
  • Tanimachi 6 Chome · 3 min walk
  • Land 95 m² · floor 165 m²
  • Built 1947 (78 yrs) · Wood
Typical2026 Q2

¥280M

¥2.4M/m²

  • Higashishinsaibashi
  • Nagahoribashi · 4 min walk
  • Land 55 m² · floor 115 m²
  • Built 2026 (0 yrs) · Wood
Higher-priced2026 Q1

¥820M

¥745k/m²

  • Bakuromachi
  • Hommachi · 5 min walk
  • Land 190 m² · floor 1100 m²
  • Built 1986 (40 yrs) · SRC
Median transaction price by yearA jump driven by what sold — The median house price rose 43% between 2023 and 2025. Per m², prices rose only 23%, so most of the jump comes from larger or higher-end properties changing hands, not from the same homes getting that much more expensive. With only 99 house sales in 2025, a handful of expensive deals can move the median a lot.2026 so far: treat with caution — The 2026 figure (shaded) is 37% below 2025, but it covers only part of the year and 25 house sales so far. Early-year numbers are often revised and are easily skewed by a few large deals.
¥0¥100M¥200M¥300M20052008201120142017202020232026
Show data table
YearCondoHouse
2005¥12.5M¥130M
2006¥17.5M¥150M
2007¥17.0M¥190M
2008¥17.5M¥170M
2009¥19.0M¥120M
2010¥14.0M¥88.0M
2011¥17.0M¥81.5M
2012¥13.5M¥85.0M
2013¥16.0M¥150M
2014¥18.0M¥135M
2015¥17.0M¥130M
2016¥18.0M¥160M
2017¥19.0M¥140M
2018¥18.0M¥165M
2019¥19.0M¥180M
2020¥19.0M¥170M
2021¥20.0M¥225M
2022¥21.0M¥190M
2023¥20.0M¥210M
2024¥23.0M¥270M
2025¥24.0M¥300M
2026 (partial)¥24.5M¥190M
Median price per m² by yearHouses are the better deal on space — A m² of house floor space costs about 13% less than a m² of condo, even though the house price includes land. If you need room more than convenience, a house buys considerably more space. That gap has narrowed over the decade as house prices caught up.
¥0¥500k¥1.0M¥1.5M20052008201120142017202020232026
Show data table
YearCondoHouseLand
2005¥275k/m²¥264k/m²¥790k/m²
2006¥346k/m²¥367k/m²¥850k/m²
2007¥357k/m²¥397k/m²¥1.1M/m²
2008¥367k/m²¥339k/m²¥750k/m²
2009¥360k/m²¥247k/m²¥435k/m²
2010¥360k/m²¥247k/m²¥420k/m²
2011¥400k/m²¥242k/m²¥465k/m²
2012¥356k/m²¥272k/m²¥470k/m²
2013¥400k/m²¥224k/m²–
2014¥540k/m²¥277k/m²¥510k/m²
2015¥520k/m²¥277k/m²¥650k/m²
2016¥550k/m²¥326k/m²¥700k/m²
2017¥580k/m²¥438k/m²¥830k/m²
2018¥600k/m²¥500k/m²¥1.1M/m²
2019¥600k/m²¥500k/m²¥915k/m²
2020¥650k/m²¥508k/m²¥840k/m²
2021¥686k/m²¥471k/m²¥890k/m²
2022¥733k/m²¥533k/m²–
2023¥760k/m²¥600k/m²¥1.3M/m²
2024¥800k/m²¥701k/m²¥1.3M/m²
2025¥850k/m²¥740k/m²¥1.5M/m²
2026 (partial)¥900k/m²¥745k/m²–
Price per m² by building age (2021–2025 sales)How condos age here — In recent sales, condos lose about a quarter of their per-m² value by around 14 years old and half by around 34. Prices keep falling by roughly 2.7% a year even after 25 years, so older condos here are cheap for a reason. Check the repair fund and rebuild plans.
¥0¥500k¥1.0M¥1.5M05101520253035404550
Show data table
Building age (years)CondoHouse
0¥960k/m²¥833k/m²
1¥1.1M/m²–
2¥1.1M/m²–
3¥1.0M/m²–
4¥967k/m²–
5¥950k/m²–
6¥920k/m²–
7¥850k/m²–
8¥867k/m²–
9¥838k/m²–
10¥840k/m²–
11¥840k/m²–
12¥829k/m²–
13¥800k/m²–
14¥750k/m²–
15¥720k/m²–
16¥733k/m²–
17¥700k/m²–
18¥700k/m²–
19¥706k/m²–
20¥688k/m²–
21¥650k/m²–
22¥648k/m²–
23¥650k/m²–
24¥643k/m²–
25¥600k/m²–
26¥600k/m²–
27¥563k/m²–
31–¥426k/m²
32–¥600k/m²
33–¥574k/m²
34¥367k/m²¥495k/m²
35¥368k/m²¥510k/m²
36¥400k/m²–
37¥394k/m²–
38¥400k/m²–
39¥444k/m²–
40¥398k/m²–
41¥382k/m²–
42¥340k/m²–
43¥398k/m²–
44¥371k/m²–
45¥420k/m²–
46¥486k/m²–
47¥403k/m²–
50¥267k/m²¥658k/m²
Condo price per m² by construction period
¥0¥500k¥1.0M20052008201120142017202020232026

Each line follows buildings from one construction period over time. 1981 is when Japan's current earthquake-resistance standard (shin-taishin) took effect.

Show data table
Year1971-19801981-20002001-20102011-2020
2005–¥278k/m²¥800k/m²–
2006¥217k/m²¥250k/m²¥760k/m²–
2007¥227k/m²¥273k/m²¥503k/m²–
2008¥232k/m²¥271k/m²¥486k/m²–
2009–¥257k/m²¥563k/m²–
2010¥200k/m²¥240k/m²¥467k/m²–
2011¥213k/m²¥260k/m²¥455k/m²¥760k/m²
2012¥216k/m²¥250k/m²¥471k/m²¥800k/m²
2013¥191k/m²¥259k/m²¥457k/m²¥800k/m²
2014¥212k/m²¥300k/m²¥473k/m²¥840k/m²
2015¥233k/m²¥314k/m²¥527k/m²¥750k/m²
2016¥274k/m²¥345k/m²¥550k/m²¥772k/m²
2017–¥400k/m²¥600k/m²¥760k/m²
2018¥299k/m²¥400k/m²¥600k/m²¥800k/m²
2019¥324k/m²¥367k/m²¥600k/m²¥800k/m²
2020¥300k/m²¥407k/m²¥640k/m²¥800k/m²
2021¥365k/m²¥448k/m²¥667k/m²¥783k/m²
2022¥353k/m²¥429k/m²¥663k/m²¥844k/m²
2023¥365k/m²¥450k/m²¥700k/m²¥850k/m²
2024–¥508k/m²¥733k/m²¥900k/m²
2025¥436k/m²¥538k/m²¥800k/m²¥950k/m²
2026 (partial)–¥575k/m²¥821k/m²¥1.0M/m²
House price per m² by construction period
¥0¥200k¥400k¥600k¥800k20052007200920112013201520172019202120232025

Each line follows buildings from one construction period over time. 1981 is when Japan's current earthquake-resistance standard (shin-taishin) took effect.

Show data table
Year1971-19801981-2000
2005–¥205k/m²
2006¥260k/m²¥541k/m²
2007–¥379k/m²
2008–¥320k/m²
2009–¥209k/m²
2010–¥236k/m²
2011–¥234k/m²
2012–¥277k/m²
2013–¥209k/m²
2014–¥269k/m²
2015¥194k/m²¥289k/m²
2016–¥333k/m²
2017–¥385k/m²
2018–¥290k/m²
2019¥373k/m²¥578k/m²
2021–¥442k/m²
2022–¥493k/m²
2023–¥574k/m²
2024–¥592k/m²
2025–¥687k/m²

Prices near train stations in Chuo Ward, Osaka City

Sales from 2023–2025, grouped by nearest station.

StationMedian used condo priceCondo price per m²Median house price (land + building)Walk (min)SalesDaily passengers (2023)
Tanimachi 4 Chome (谷町四丁目)¥23.0M¥800k/m²¥450M532891,038-2% vs 2019
Sakaisuji Hommachi (堺筋本町)¥23.0M¥867k/m²¥370M4298102,225-9% vs 2019
Tanimachi 6 Chome (谷町六丁目)¥21.0M¥733k/m²¥94.5M326430,138-9% vs 2019
Matsuyamachi (松屋町)¥21.0M¥800k/m²¥89.0M22478,983-11% vs 2019
Kitahama(Osaka) (北浜(大阪))¥28.0M¥850k/m²¥245M520392,266-9% vs 2019
Temmabashi (天満橋)¥21.0M¥780k/m²¥250M5197122,599-10% vs 2019
Nagahoribashi (長堀橋)¥22.0M¥800k/m²¥545M318150,126-4% vs 2019
Hommachi (本町)¥31.0M¥950k/m²¥475M4123200,963-8% vs 2019
Nippombashi(Osaka) (日本橋(大阪))¥20.0M¥742k/m²¥160M510969,828-11% vs 2019
Tanimachi 9 Chome (谷町九丁目)¥26.5M¥707k/m²–47567,702-8% vs 2019
Yodoyabashi (淀屋橋)¥61.5M¥1.0M/m²–447280,859-14% vs 2019
Morinomiya (森ノ宮)¥40.0M¥808k/m²¥120M54476,534-8% vs 2019
Shinsaibashi (心斎橋)¥30.5M¥683k/m²–439137,523-11% vs 2019
Tamatsukuri(OsakaMetro) (玉造(大阪メトロ))¥49.0M¥740k/m²–43045,472-7% vs 2019
Kintetsu Nippombashi (近鉄日本橋)¥19.0M¥800k/m²–51944,540-11% vs 2019

Used condo prices by layout in Chuo Ward, Osaka City

Sales from 2023–2025.

LayoutMedian used condo priceTypical sizeSales
1K¥18.0M20 m²795
2LDK¥50.0M60 m²276
3LDK¥53.0M70 m²218
1LDK¥32.0M40 m²193
1DK¥23.0M30 m²107
Open floor¥16.0M45 m²51
2DK¥30.0M45 m²51
4LDK¥72.0M95 m²23

How much does an apartment cost in Chuo Ward, Osaka City?

The median used condo (mansion) in Chuo Ward, Osaka City sold for ¥24.0M in 2025, about ¥850k/m², based on 684 recorded sales.

How much does a house cost in Chuo Ward, Osaka City?

The median house sale, including the land, was ¥300M in 2025 across 99 sales.

Are property prices in Chuo Ward, Osaka City going up?

Over the five years to 2025, condo prices per m² changed +30.8% and residential land prices changed +78.6%.

About this data

Figures are medians of real transactions reported to Japan's Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism (MLIT) through its quarterly price survey. House prices per m² divide the total price (land and building) by the floor area. Medians based on fewer than 20 sales are not shown. The latest quarters are preliminary and are revised as more survey responses arrive.

Information only, not investment advice.