Shinsekai, Osaka
Photo: Shinsekai, Osaka · Nomadic Julien / Unsplash

Nishi Ward (Osaka) Housing Market 2026: Fast Growth and Tsunami Exposure

Data updated 2026-11-11 · Source: MLIT transaction price survey, 2005 Q3–2026 Q2 · Transactions in 2025: 629

In short

  1. 1
    One of Osaka's fastest-growing wards

    Nishi Ward, around Awaza, Utsubo Park and Horie, grew 9.1% between 2020 and 2025, third among Osaka City's 24 wards.

  2. 2
    Small flats close to stations

    More than half of condo sales are studios; the 20 m² 1K at about ¥18M is the most traded home.

  3. 3
    Tsunami and earthquake risk

    None of Nishi's benchmark sites are in the river flood zones, but about 86% are in a tsunami inundation zone, as the ward is on low land near Osaka Bay.

The answers, compared

What does a home cost?

¥23.0M

median used condo · ¥850k/m²

1.5× the Osaka median

4 of 55 areas in Osaka, highest first

Are prices rising?

+41.7%

over 5 years

Slower than Osaka (+50.0%)

15 of 64 areas in Osaka, highest first

Can local earners afford it?

5.8× income

median price ÷ average taxable income

In line with Osaka (5.6×)

20 of 68 areas in Osaka, highest first

Rent or buy?

27years of rent

median price ÷ a year of median rent

Shorter than Osaka (32)

39 of 64 areas in Osaka, highest first

Are people moving in?

+9.1%

population, 2020–25

Growing while Osaka shrinks (-0.8%)

3 of 68 areas in Osaka, highest first

How risky is it?

60%

chance of strong shaking (6-lower+) in 30 years

Higher than Osaka (43%)

14 of 68 areas in Osaka, highest first

Rent in Nishi Ward, Osaka City

The average private rental costs ¥75k a month (2023), -6.2% since 2018. Osaka: ¥64k

Floor areaAverage rent / month
under 30 m²
studio / 1K
¥60k
vs 2018 -4.5% · Osaka: ¥50k
30–49 m²
1LDK / 2DK
¥83k
vs 2018 -1.7% · Osaka: ¥65k
50–69 m²
2LDK / 3DK
¥95k
vs 2018 -17.7% · Osaka: ¥80k
70–99 m²
3LDK / family
¥130k
vs 2018 +21.5% · Osaka: ¥89k
100–149 m²
mostly houses
¥86k
vs 2018 -13.9% · Osaka: ¥82k
Rent per m²
¥2,450
median, per month · Osaka: ¥1,794
The median used condo (¥23.0M, 35 m²) costs about 23 years of average rent for a similar-sized home (¥83k a month).
Excludes management fees, repair reserve, property tax and mortgage interest.

Source: Statistics Bureau of Japan, Housing and Land Survey 2023. Privately owned rentals (excluding rent-free homes), monthly rent without management fees. These averages include older homes, so they run below asking rents for newly listed units. 39,850 rented homes.

One of Osaka's fastest-growing wards

Nishi Ward, around Awaza, Utsubo Park and Horie, grew 9.1% between 2020 and 2025, third among Osaka City's 24 wards. Households grew 15%, and in 2025 about 830 more people moved in from the rest of Japan than left. Sales rose by a third in 2025.

Prices

Condos cost about ¥0.85M per m², 1.5 times the Osaka Prefecture average and fourth among Osaka's wards. Prices per m² rose about 7% a year over the past five years. The median condo sold for about ¥23M. Benchmark residential land rose 10.5% in the past year.

Small flats close to stations

More than half of condo sales are studios; the 20 m² 1K at about ¥18M is the most traded home. Awaza is by far the busiest station. Station distance has almost no effect on price, because nearly everywhere in the ward is within a few minutes of the subway.

Strong yields

A median condo costs about 27 years of median rent, one of the best ratios of the central wards and better than the Osaka average of 32.

Tsunami and earthquake risk

None of Nishi's benchmark sites are in the river flood zones, but about 86% are in a tsunami inundation zone, as the ward is on low land near Osaka Bay. Earthquake probability is about 60% for 6-lower in 30 years, much higher than in Kita or Chuo, because the ground is softer. This is the main risk to check before buying.

Living in Nishi Ward, Osaka City: people, homes and risks

Population 2025
115,449
+9.1% since 2020
Osaka: -0.8%
Net moves in 2025
+834
+7.22 per 1,000 residents
Osaka: +1.79
Vacant homes (2023)
11.5%
1.7% empty and not for rent or sale
Osaka: 14.2%
Median rent (2023)
¥71k
per month, all rented homes
Osaka: ¥58k
Strong earthquake risk
60.4%
chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or more within 30 years
Osaka: 43.3%
Average income per taxpayer
¥3.9M
taxable income in 2023, citywide figure
Osaka: ¥3.9M
Daytime population
169
people here by day per 100 residents (2020 census)
Foreign residents
6.7%
7,397 registered residents in 2024
Osaka: 3.7%
Clinics
11.0
per 10,000 residents; 8 hospitals, 94 dental clinics (2020)
Osaka: 9.8
Official land price 2026
¥956k/m²
+10.5% in a year · – in 5 years
Osaka: ¥145k/m²
Flood exposure
0.0%
of 21 benchmark sites in a worst-case flood zone (0.0% 3 m or deeper)
Osaka: 42.5%
Tsunami exposure
85.7%
of 21 benchmark sites in a tsunami inundation zone
Osaka: 10.2%
Landslide exposure
0.0%
of 21 benchmark sites in a landslide warning area
Osaka: 1.4%

Check flood, landslide and tsunami zones for a specific address on the government hazard map ↗

Sources: 2025 Census (preliminary), 2025 Internal Migration Report, 2023 Housing and Land Survey (Statistics Bureau of Japan); J-SHIS seismic hazard model (NIED, 2024); Land Price Publication (MLIT); recorded crime: Tokyo Metropolitan Police Department (Tokyo only); incomes: Ministry of Internal Affairs taxation survey via the Statistics Bureau's municipal indicators; foreign residents: Basic Resident Register; medical facilities and station passengers: MLIT National Land Numerical Information. Earthquake probability is measured at the municipal center.

Example sales in Nishi Ward, Osaka City

Real transactions from the last four quarters, picked near the lower (20th percentile), middle and upper (80th percentile) price points. Locations are shown at district level, as published by MLIT.

Condo

Lower-priced2026 Q2

¥19.0M

¥760k/m²

  • Itachibori
  • Awaza · 3 min walk
  • 1K · 25 m²
  • Built 2015 (11 yrs) · RC
Typical2026 Q2

¥22.0M

¥880k/m²

  • Kitahorie
  • Yotsubashi · 5 min walk
  • 1K · 25 m²
  • Built 2011 (15 yrs) · RC
Higher-priced2025 Q4

¥53.0M

¥883k/m²

  • Edobori
  • Awaza · 5 min walk
  • 2LDK · 60 m²
  • Built 2011 (14 yrs) · RC

House

Lower-priced2026 Q1

¥60.0M

¥750k/m²

  • Kujominami
  • Kujo(OsakaMetro) · 2 min walk
  • Land 45 m² · floor 80 m²
  • Built 2009 (17 yrs) · Steel
Typical2026 Q2

¥100M

¥800k/m²

  • Kitahorie
  • Yotsubashi · 2 min walk
  • Land 40 m² · floor 125 m²
  • Built 1976 (50 yrs) · Steel
Higher-priced2026 Q1

¥400M

¥645k/m²

  • Kitahorie
  • Nishiohashi · 3 min walk
  • Land 145 m² · floor 620 m²
  • Built 2003 (23 yrs) · Steel
Median transaction price by year2026 so far: treat with caution — The 2026 figure (shaded) is 39% below 2025, but it covers only part of the year and 24 house sales so far. Early-year numbers are often revised and are easily skewed by a few large deals.
¥0¥50.0M¥100M¥150M20052008201120142017202020232026
Show data table
YearCondoHouse
2005¥14.0M¥115M
2006¥18.0M¥140M
2007¥17.0M¥130M
2008¥19.0M¥110M
2009¥18.0M¥50.0M
2010¥17.5M¥51.5M
2011¥19.0M¥42.0M
2012¥16.0M¥78.0M
2013¥17.0M¥49.5M
2014¥18.0M¥110M
2015¥18.0M¥71.5M
2016¥23.0M¥120M
2017¥21.0M¥130M
2018¥20.0M¥110M
2019¥21.0M¥78.0M
2020¥18.0M¥75.0M
2021¥22.5M¥145M
2022¥21.0M¥88.5M
2023¥20.0M¥120M
2024¥24.0M¥80.5M
2025¥23.0M¥130M
2026 (partial)¥25.0M¥79.0M
Median price per m² by yearHouses are the better deal on space — A m² of house floor space costs about 40% less than a m² of condo, even though the house price includes land. If you need room more than convenience, a house buys considerably more space.
¥0¥500k¥1.0M¥1.5M20052008201120142017202020232026
Show data table
YearCondoHouseLand
2005¥246k/m²¥275k/m²–
2006¥333k/m²¥322k/m²¥680k/m²
2007¥289k/m²¥271k/m²¥575k/m²
2008¥362k/m²¥230k/m²¥535k/m²
2009¥378k/m²¥182k/m²–
2010¥333k/m²¥213k/m²¥500k/m²
2011¥367k/m²¥210k/m²–
2012¥343k/m²¥214k/m²¥400k/m²
2013¥367k/m²¥191k/m²¥480k/m²
2014¥385k/m²¥231k/m²¥535k/m²
2015¥480k/m²¥260k/m²–
2016¥520k/m²¥254k/m²¥570k/m²
2017¥545k/m²¥280k/m²¥495k/m²
2018¥560k/m²¥355k/m²–
2019¥544k/m²¥308k/m²¥700k/m²
2020¥600k/m²¥300k/m²–
2021¥614k/m²¥362k/m²–
2022¥671k/m²¥364k/m²¥795k/m²
2023¥745k/m²¥412k/m²¥1.1M/m²
2024¥770k/m²¥465k/m²¥790k/m²
2025¥850k/m²¥510k/m²–
2026 (partial)¥850k/m²¥572k/m²–
Price per m² by building age (2021–2025 sales)How condos age here — In recent sales, condos lose about a quarter of their per-m² value by around 20 years old and half by around 35. Prices keep falling by roughly 2.9% a year even after 25 years, so older condos here are cheap for a reason. Check the repair fund and rebuild plans.
¥0¥500k¥1.0M¥1.5M05101520253035404550
Show data table
Building age (years)CondoHouse
0¥1.1M/m²¥463k/m²
1¥1.2M/m²–
2¥950k/m²–
3¥900k/m²–
4¥858k/m²–
5¥867k/m²–
6¥897k/m²–
7¥900k/m²–
8¥855k/m²–
9¥850k/m²–
10¥829k/m²–
11¥800k/m²–
12¥771k/m²–
13¥720k/m²–
14¥744k/m²–
15¥700k/m²–
16¥680k/m²–
17¥690k/m²–
18¥650k/m²–
19¥680k/m²–
20¥723k/m²–
21¥640k/m²–
22¥600k/m²–
23¥565k/m²–
24¥580k/m²–
25¥571k/m²–
26¥643k/m²–
27¥618k/m²–
32–¥364k/m²
35¥431k/m²–
36¥382k/m²–
37¥407k/m²–
38¥382k/m²¥273k/m²
39¥405k/m²–
40¥367k/m²–
41¥372k/m²–
42¥369k/m²–
43¥386k/m²–
44¥382k/m²–
45¥400k/m²–
46¥378k/m²–
47¥383k/m²–
50¥400k/m²¥393k/m²
Condo price per m² by construction periodBuilding age matters less than location — Over the last decade, pre-1981 condos have appreciated at about the same pace as 2000s buildings (around 4% a year), so in this market location matters more than building age. Pre-1981 buildings, built before the current earthquake standard, trade about 22% below 1980s–90s buildings.
¥0¥500k¥1.0M20052008201120142017202020232026

Each line follows buildings from one construction period over time. 1981 is when Japan's current earthquake-resistance standard (shin-taishin) took effect.

Show data table
Year1971-19801981-20002001-20102011-2020
2005–¥243k/m²––
2006¥231k/m²¥260k/m²¥800k/m²–
2007¥240k/m²¥267k/m²¥600k/m²–
2008¥167k/m²¥278k/m²¥800k/m²–
2009¥218k/m²¥256k/m²¥633k/m²–
2010¥220k/m²¥255k/m²¥600k/m²–
2011¥233k/m²¥296k/m²¥518k/m²¥800k/m²
2012¥213k/m²¥250k/m²¥484k/m²–
2013¥227k/m²¥289k/m²¥450k/m²¥800k/m²
2014¥262k/m²¥294k/m²¥500k/m²¥747k/m²
2015¥246k/m²¥308k/m²¥497k/m²¥743k/m²
2016¥312k/m²¥371k/m²¥547k/m²¥709k/m²
2017¥283k/m²¥422k/m²¥550k/m²¥800k/m²
2018¥307k/m²¥400k/m²¥562k/m²¥800k/m²
2019¥354k/m²¥418k/m²¥600k/m²¥743k/m²
2020¥367k/m²¥400k/m²¥640k/m²¥850k/m²
2021¥360k/m²¥422k/m²¥650k/m²¥762k/m²
2022¥367k/m²¥475k/m²¥656k/m²¥788k/m²
2023¥383k/m²¥462k/m²¥650k/m²¥850k/m²
2024¥400k/m²¥490k/m²¥720k/m²¥886k/m²
2025¥416k/m²¥533k/m²¥760k/m²¥900k/m²
2026 (partial)–¥550k/m²¥800k/m²¥950k/m²

Prices near train stations in Nishi Ward, Osaka City

Sales from 2023–2025, grouped by nearest station.

StationMedian used condo priceCondo price per m²Median house price (land + building)Walk (min)SalesDaily passengers (2023)
Awaza (阿波座)¥23.0M¥760k/m²¥295M446945,178-8% vs 2019
Kujo(OsakaMetro) (九条(大阪メトロ))¥19.0M¥850k/m²¥44.0M527740,458+6% vs 2019
Nishinagahori (西長堀)¥27.0M¥765k/m²¥185M425923,956-7% vs 2019
Higobashi (肥後橋)¥20.0M¥841k/m²¥200M816762,149-18% vs 2019
Nishiohashi (西大橋)¥31.5M¥767k/m²¥220M315412,838-11% vs 2019
Hommachi (本町)¥41.0M¥891k/m²¥235M4105200,963-8% vs 2019
Dome Mae Chiyozaki (ドーム前千代崎)¥19.0M¥737k/m²–45410,466-13% vs 2019
Yotsubashi (四ツ橋)¥37.5M¥800k/m²–55231,482-5% vs 2019
Sakuragawa(Osaka) (桜川(大阪))¥25.5M¥630k/m²–54022,754+5% vs 2019
Kujo(Hanshin) (九条(阪神))¥17.0M¥800k/m²–52040,458+6% vs 2019
Namba(OsakaMetro) (なんば(大阪メトロ))¥46.0M¥767k/m²–618–

Used condo prices by layout in Nishi Ward, Osaka City

Sales from 2023–2025.

LayoutMedian used condo priceTypical sizeSales
1K¥18.0M20 m²590
2LDK¥43.5M60 m²202
3LDK¥41.0M70 m²177
1LDK¥33.0M45 m²135
1DK¥24.0M30 m²43
2DK¥31.0M50 m²25
4LDK¥44.5M80 m²10

How much does an apartment cost in Nishi Ward, Osaka City?

The median used condo (mansion) in Nishi Ward, Osaka City sold for ¥23.0M in 2025, about ¥850k/m², based on 548 recorded sales.

How much does a house cost in Nishi Ward, Osaka City?

The median house sale, including the land, was ¥130M in 2025 across 64 sales.

Are property prices in Nishi Ward, Osaka City going up?

Over the five years to 2025, condo prices per m² changed +41.7%.

About this data

Figures are medians of real transactions reported to Japan's Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism (MLIT) through its quarterly price survey. House prices per m² divide the total price (land and building) by the floor area. Medians based on fewer than 20 sales are not shown. The latest quarters are preliminary and are revised as more survey responses arrive.

Information only, not investment advice.