Nagareyama Housing Market 2026: Japan's Family Boom Town
Data updated 2026-11-11 · Source: MLIT transaction price survey, 2005 Q3–2026 Q2 · Transactions in 2025: 440
In short
- 1The fastest-growing city in Chiba
Nagareyama grew 7.6% between 2020 and 2025, the most of any city in Chiba, while Chiba Prefecture shrank slightly.
- 2Land prices rising fast
Benchmark residential land rose 13.3% in the past year, one of the fastest rises of any city in Japan outside Tokyo, and 47% over five years.
- 3Why the 2025 median dropped
The median condo fell from about ¥38M in 2024 to ¥26M in 2025.
- 4Houses and yields
About 230 houses sold in 2025, at a median of about ¥49M.
The answers, compared
What does a home cost?
¥26.0M
median used condo · ¥400k/m²
13% above the Chiba median
5 of 21 areas in Chiba, highest first
Are prices rising?
+36.4%
over 5 years
Faster than Chiba (+27.8%)
13 of 46 areas in Chiba, highest first
Can local earners afford it?
5.8× income
median price ÷ average taxable income
In line with Chiba (5.9×)
10 of 47 areas in Chiba, highest first
Rent or buy?
31years of rent
median price ÷ a year of median rent
Shorter than Chiba (33)
13 of 45 areas in Chiba, highest first
Are people moving in?
+7.6%
population, 2020–25
Growing while Chiba shrinks (-0.4%)
1 of 51 areas in Chiba, highest first
How risky is it?
57%
chance of strong shaking (6-lower+) in 30 years
Lower than Chiba (63%)
42 of 51 areas in Chiba, highest first
Rent in Nagareyama City
The average private rental costs ¥75k a month (2023), +20.5% since 2018. Chiba: ¥66k
| Floor area | Typical layout | Average rent / month | Nagareyama CityChiba |
|---|---|---|---|
| under 30 m² studio / 1K | studio / 1K | ¥49k vs 2018 +16.3% · Chiba: ¥52k | |
| 30–49 m² 1LDK / 2DK | 1LDK / 2DK | ¥67k vs 2018 +10.6% · Chiba: ¥64k | |
| 50–69 m² 2LDK / 3DK | 2LDK / 3DK | ¥95k vs 2018 +26.7% · Chiba: ¥78k | |
| 70–99 m² 3LDK / family | 3LDK / family | ¥108k vs 2018 +26.2% · Chiba: ¥90k | |
| 100–149 m² mostly houses | mostly houses | ¥119k vs 2018 +36.2% · Chiba: ¥85k |
- Rent per m²
- ¥1,770
- median, per month · Chiba: ¥1,709
- The median used condo (¥26.0M, 70 m²) costs about 20 years of average rent for a similar-sized home (¥108k a month).
- Excludes management fees, repair reserve, property tax and mortgage interest.
Source: Statistics Bureau of Japan, Housing and Land Survey 2023. Privately owned rentals (excluding rent-free homes), monthly rent without management fees. These averages include older homes, so they run below asking rents for newly listed units. 22,840 rented homes.
The fastest-growing city in Chiba
Nagareyama grew 7.6% between 2020 and 2025, the most of any city in Chiba, while Chiba Prefecture shrank slightly. In 2025 it had a net inflow from the rest of Japan of about 11 per 1,000 residents, second in Chiba only to Chuo Ward of Chiba City. The city has marketed itself to young families, with daycare drop-off stations and new schools along the Tsukuba Express.
Land prices rising fast
Benchmark residential land rose 13.3% in the past year, one of the fastest rises of any city in Japan outside Tokyo, and 47% over five years. Condo prices per m² have grown about 10% a year over the past five years.
Why the 2025 median dropped
The median condo fell from about ¥38M in 2024 to ¥26M in 2025. This was mainly a change in what sold: the median condo sold in 2025 was 28 years old, against 20 years in 2024, so more older flats in older districts changed hands.
Two Nagareyamas
Nagareyama-Otakanomori, the new town on the Tsukuba Express, sells condos at about ¥0.85M per m². Older areas such as Edogawadai and Hatsuishi sell at a fraction of that. Condos within 5 minutes of a station sell for almost twice as much per m² as those 11–15 minutes away. Almost all condo sales are 3LDKs and 4LDKs.
Houses and yields
About 230 houses sold in 2025, at a median of about ¥49M. A median condo costs about 31 years of median rent, close to the Chiba average.
Risks
About 43% of benchmark sites are in the worst-case flood zone, and about a third in zones of 3 m or deeper, along the Edo and Tone rivers. The newer areas on the higher land are safer. Earthquake probability (about 57%) is lower than in the Chiba bay cities.
Living in Nagareyama City: people, homes and risks
- Population 2025
- 215,130
- +7.6% since 2020
- Chiba: -0.4%
- Net moves in 2025
- +2,297
- +10.68 per 1,000 residents
- Chiba: +1.25
- Vacant homes (2023)
- 9.6%
- 2.7% empty and not for rent or sale
- Chiba: 12.3%
- Median rent (2023)
- ¥69k
- per month, all rented homes
- Chiba: ¥60k
- Strong earthquake risk
- 57.2%
- chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or more within 30 years
- Chiba: 63.4%
- Average income per taxpayer
- ¥4.5M
- taxable income in 2023
- Chiba: ¥4.1M
- Daytime population
- 79
- people here by day per 100 residents (2020 census)
- Foreign residents
- 1.9%
- 4,107 registered residents in 2024
- Chiba: 3.6%
- Clinics
- 5.0
- per 10,000 residents; 6 hospitals, 101 dental clinics (2020)
- Chiba: 6.2
- Official land price 2026
- ¥190k/m²
- +13.3% in a year · +46.7% in 5 years
- Chiba: ¥97k/m²
- Flood exposure
- 43.3%
- of 30 benchmark sites in a worst-case flood zone (33.3% 3 m or deeper)
- Chiba: 28.9%
- Landslide exposure
- 0.0%
- of 30 benchmark sites in a landslide warning area
- Chiba: 0.0%
Check flood, landslide and tsunami zones for a specific address on the government hazard map ↗
Sources: 2025 Census (preliminary), 2025 Internal Migration Report, 2023 Housing and Land Survey (Statistics Bureau of Japan); J-SHIS seismic hazard model (NIED, 2024); Land Price Publication (MLIT); recorded crime: Tokyo Metropolitan Police Department (Tokyo only); incomes: Ministry of Internal Affairs taxation survey via the Statistics Bureau's municipal indicators; foreign residents: Basic Resident Register; medical facilities and station passengers: MLIT National Land Numerical Information. Earthquake probability is measured at the municipal center.
Example sales in Nagareyama City
Real transactions from the last four quarters, picked near the lower (20th percentile), middle and upper (80th percentile) price points. Locations are shown at district level, as published by MLIT.
Condo
¥15.0M
¥158k/m²
- Maegasaki
- Kita Kogane · 15 min walk
- 3LDK · 95 m²
- Built 2001 (24 yrs) · RC
¥24.0M
¥343k/m²
- Higashihatsuishi
- Hatsuishi · 7 min walk
- 3LDK · 70 m²
- Built 1990 (36 yrs) · RC
¥56.0M
¥933k/m²
- Otakanomoriminami
- Nagareyama Otakanomori · 12 min walk
- 1LDK · 60 m²
- Built 2018 (8 yrs)
House
¥29.0M
¥725k/m²
- Edogawadaihigashi
- Edogawadai · 11 min walk
- Land 280 m² · floor 40 m²
- Built 1960 (66 yrs) · Wood
¥49.0M
¥288k/m²
- Oaza Nakanokuki
- Edogawadai · 15 min walk
- Land 390 m² · floor 170 m²
- Built 2007 (19 yrs) · Light steel
¥67.0M
¥744k/m²
- Otakanomorinishi
- Nagareyama Otakanomori · 9 min walk
- Land 85 m² · floor 90 m²
- Built 2026 (0 yrs) · Wood
Show data table
| Year | Condo | House |
|---|---|---|
| 2007 | ¥15.5M | ¥34.0M |
| 2008 | ¥17.0M | ¥30.5M |
| 2009 | ¥20.0M | ¥32.0M |
| 2010 | ¥15.5M | ¥32.0M |
| 2011 | ¥15.0M | ¥31.0M |
| 2012 | ¥14.0M | ¥30.0M |
| 2013 | ¥16.0M | ¥28.0M |
| 2014 | ¥12.0M | ¥27.5M |
| 2015 | ¥15.0M | ¥30.0M |
| 2016 | ¥16.0M | ¥32.0M |
| 2017 | ¥17.0M | ¥32.0M |
| 2018 | ¥15.0M | ¥32.0M |
| 2019 | ¥17.0M | ¥40.0M |
| 2020 | ¥22.5M | ¥39.0M |
| 2021 | ¥23.0M | ¥40.0M |
| 2022 | ¥24.0M | ¥41.0M |
| 2023 | ¥31.5M | ¥42.0M |
| 2024 | ¥38.0M | ¥44.0M |
| 2025 | ¥26.0M | ¥49.0M |
| 2026 (partial) | ¥28.5M | ¥50.0M |
Show data table
| Year | Condo | House | Land |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 | ¥195k/m² | ¥300k/m² | ¥140k/m² |
| 2008 | ¥220k/m² | ¥295k/m² | ¥120k/m² |
| 2009 | ¥253k/m² | ¥306k/m² | ¥110k/m² |
| 2010 | ¥217k/m² | ¥285k/m² | ¥130k/m² |
| 2011 | ¥213k/m² | ¥310k/m² | ¥130k/m² |
| 2012 | ¥214k/m² | ¥274k/m² | ¥110k/m² |
| 2013 | ¥225k/m² | ¥250k/m² | ¥130k/m² |
| 2014 | ¥171k/m² | ¥251k/m² | ¥110k/m² |
| 2015 | ¥200k/m² | ¥274k/m² | ¥120k/m² |
| 2016 | ¥200k/m² | ¥295k/m² | ¥130k/m² |
| 2017 | ¥240k/m² | ¥268k/m² | ¥140k/m² |
| 2018 | ¥200k/m² | ¥300k/m² | ¥130k/m² |
| 2019 | ¥263k/m² | ¥361k/m² | ¥150k/m² |
| 2020 | ¥293k/m² | ¥356k/m² | ¥140k/m² |
| 2021 | ¥322k/m² | ¥376k/m² | ¥130k/m² |
| 2022 | ¥331k/m² | ¥373k/m² | ¥190k/m² |
| 2023 | ¥441k/m² | ¥390k/m² | ¥190k/m² |
| 2024 | ¥520k/m² | ¥400k/m² | ¥190k/m² |
| 2025 | ¥400k/m² | ¥446k/m² | ¥200k/m² |
| 2026 (partial) | ¥388k/m² | ¥448k/m² | ¥180k/m² |
Show data table
| Building age (years) | Condo | House |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | – | ¥457k/m² |
| 1 | – | ¥453k/m² |
| 3 | – | ¥441k/m² |
| 5 | ¥710k/m² | ¥443k/m² |
| 6 | ¥720k/m² | ¥440k/m² |
| 7 | ¥497k/m² | ¥374k/m² |
| 8 | ¥606k/m² | – |
| 12 | ¥692k/m² | – |
| 13 | ¥506k/m² | – |
| 15 | ¥434k/m² | – |
| 18 | – | ¥290k/m² |
| 20 | – | ¥244k/m² |
| 23 | ¥326k/m² | ¥242k/m² |
| 24 | ¥293k/m² | – |
| 25 | ¥341k/m² | – |
| 33 | ¥300k/m² | – |
| 34 | – | ¥182k/m² |
| 36 | – | ¥188k/m² |
| 37 | ¥167k/m² | ¥192k/m² |
| 38 | – | ¥144k/m² |
| 42 | – | ¥210k/m² |
| 50 | ¥90k/m² | ¥181k/m² |
Each line follows buildings from one construction period over time. 1981 is when Japan's current earthquake-resistance standard (shin-taishin) took effect.
Show data table
| Year | 1981-2000 | 2001-2010 | 2011-2020 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 | ¥187k/m² | – | – |
| 2008 | ¥200k/m² | ¥329k/m² | – |
| 2009 | ¥173k/m² | ¥274k/m² | – |
| 2010 | ¥175k/m² | – | – |
| 2011 | ¥200k/m² | – | – |
| 2012 | ¥165k/m² | ¥271k/m² | – |
| 2013 | ¥182k/m² | – | – |
| 2014 | ¥161k/m² | – | – |
| 2015 | ¥188k/m² | – | – |
| 2016 | ¥176k/m² | – | – |
| 2017 | ¥224k/m² | – | – |
| 2018 | ¥185k/m² | – | – |
| 2019 | ¥188k/m² | – | – |
| 2020 | ¥240k/m² | ¥322k/m² | ¥582k/m² |
| 2021 | ¥253k/m² | – | – |
| 2022 | ¥222k/m² | ¥386k/m² | – |
| 2023 | ¥283k/m² | – | – |
| 2024 | ¥292k/m² | – | ¥770k/m² |
| 2025 | ¥288k/m² | – | – |
Each line follows buildings from one construction period over time. 1981 is when Japan's current earthquake-resistance standard (shin-taishin) took effect.
Show data table
| Year | 1971-1980 | 1981-2000 | 2001-2010 | 2011-2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 | – | ¥204k/m² | ¥341k/m² | – |
| 2008 | ¥157k/m² | ¥200k/m² | ¥347k/m² | – |
| 2009 | – | ¥163k/m² | ¥333k/m² | – |
| 2010 | ¥132k/m² | ¥173k/m² | ¥340k/m² | – |
| 2011 | – | ¥188k/m² | ¥310k/m² | ¥327k/m² |
| 2012 | – | ¥167k/m² | – | ¥320k/m² |
| 2013 | – | ¥148k/m² | – | ¥310k/m² |
| 2014 | ¥165k/m² | ¥155k/m² | – | ¥300k/m² |
| 2015 | ¥110k/m² | ¥157k/m² | – | ¥348k/m² |
| 2016 | – | ¥147k/m² | ¥243k/m² | ¥356k/m² |
| 2017 | ¥148k/m² | ¥152k/m² | – | ¥390k/m² |
| 2018 | ¥141k/m² | ¥146k/m² | ¥209k/m² | ¥375k/m² |
| 2019 | ¥130k/m² | ¥147k/m² | – | ¥426k/m² |
| 2020 | ¥100k/m² | ¥153k/m² | ¥217k/m² | ¥400k/m² |
| 2021 | – | ¥188k/m² | – | ¥365k/m² |
| 2022 | – | ¥192k/m² | – | – |
| 2023 | ¥144k/m² | ¥216k/m² | – | – |
| 2024 | – | ¥219k/m² | – | – |
| 2025 | – | ¥171k/m² | – | – |
Prices near train stations in Nagareyama City
Sales from 2023–2025, grouped by nearest station.
| Station | Median used condo price | Condo price per m² | Median house price (land + building) | Walk (min) | Sales | Daily passengers (2023) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minami Nagareyama (南流山) | ¥39.0M | ¥520k/m² | ¥57.0M | 14 | 155 | 147,072+1% vs 2019 |
| Nagareyama Otakanomori (流山おおたかの森) | ¥60.0M | ¥846k/m² | ¥67.0M | 11 | 133 | 144,962+5% vs 2019 |
| Edogawadai (江戸川台) | ¥6.9M | ¥106k/m² | ¥38.0M | 11 | 125 | 22,688-6% vs 2019 |
| Minami Kashiwa (南柏) | ¥25.5M | ¥386k/m² | ¥43.0M | 12 | 96 | 60,038-9% vs 2019 |
| Hatsuishi (初石) | ¥23.0M | ¥315k/m² | ¥43.0M | 9 | 83 | 18,431-1% vs 2019 |
| Unga (運河) | – | – | ¥32.0M | 10 | 71 | 20,859-5% vs 2019 |
| Nagareyama Centralpark (流山セントラルパーク) | ¥22.5M | ¥281k/m² | ¥49.0M | 15 | 65 | 10,600+3% vs 2019 |
| Toyoshiki (豊四季) | – | – | ¥50.0M | 10 | 53 | 14,965-4% vs 2019 |
| Nagareyama (流山) | ¥20.0M | ¥286k/m² | ¥34.0M | 10 | 30 | 2,451-10% vs 2019 |
| Heiwadai(Chiba) (平和台(千葉)) | – | – | ¥38.0M | 7 | 23 | 2,363-10% vs 2019 |
| Kita Kogane (北小金) | – | – | ¥25.0M | 15 | 20 | 42,644-13% vs 2019 |
Used condo prices by layout in Nagareyama City
Sales from 2023–2025.
| Layout | Median used condo price | Typical size | Sales |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3LDK | ¥30.0M | 70 m² | 156 |
| 4LDK | ¥30.0M | 85 m² | 27 |
| 2LDK | ¥32.5M | 65 m² | 14 |
How much does an apartment cost in Nagareyama City?
The median used condo (mansion) in Nagareyama City sold for ¥26.0M in 2025, about ¥400k/m², based on 97 recorded sales.
How much does a house cost in Nagareyama City?
The median house sale, including the land, was ¥49.0M in 2025 across 231 sales.
Are property prices in Nagareyama City going up?
Over the five years to 2025, condo prices per m² changed +36.4% and residential land prices changed +42.9%.
About this data
Figures are medians of real transactions reported to Japan's Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism (MLIT) through its quarterly price survey. House prices per m² divide the total price (land and building) by the floor area. Medians based on fewer than 20 sales are not shown. The latest quarters are preliminary and are revised as more survey responses arrive.
Information only, not investment advice.