Mobara City Housing Market Report 2026
Data updated 2026-11-11 · Source: MLIT transaction price survey, 2005 Q3–2026 Q2 · Transactions in 2025: 254
In short
- 1A long, slow decline
House prices per m² have been falling for a decade, by about 0.5% a year recently.
- 2Lagging Chiba
Per m², houses here are 72% below the Chiba average.
- 3Being near a station is worth a lot
Houses within a 5-minute walk of a station sell for about 78% more per m² than those 11–15 minutes away.
- 4What a typical purchase costs
Half of all house sales last year were between ¥3.0M and ¥18.0M.
The answers, compared
What does a home cost?
¥7.5M
median house · ¥59k/m²
76% below the Chiba median
19 of 26 areas in Chiba, highest first
Are prices rising?
-31.2%
over 5 years
Slower than Chiba (+27.8%)
40 of 46 areas in Chiba, highest first
Can local earners afford it?
2.3× income
median price ÷ average taxable income
Easier than Chiba (5.9×)
36 of 47 areas in Chiba, highest first
Rent or buy?
12years of rent
median price ÷ a year of median rent
Shorter than Chiba (33)
35 of 45 areas in Chiba, highest first
Are people moving in?
-3.7%
population, 2020–25
Shrinking faster than Chiba (-0.4%)
31 of 51 areas in Chiba, highest first
How risky is it?
74%
chance of strong shaking (6-lower+) in 30 years
Higher than Chiba (63%)
8 of 51 areas in Chiba, highest first
Rent in Mobara City
The average private rental costs ¥52k a month (2023), +8.8% since 2018. Chiba: ¥66k
| Floor area | Typical layout | Average rent / month | Mobara CityChiba |
|---|---|---|---|
| under 30 m² studio / 1K | studio / 1K | ¥37k vs 2018 +1.0% · Chiba: ¥52k | |
| 30–49 m² 1LDK / 2DK | 1LDK / 2DK | ¥48k vs 2018 +6.2% · Chiba: ¥64k | |
| 50–69 m² 2LDK / 3DK | 2LDK / 3DK | ¥59k vs 2018 +5.9% · Chiba: ¥78k | |
| 70–99 m² 3LDK / family | 3LDK / family | ¥59k vs 2018 -2.2% · Chiba: ¥90k | |
| 100–149 m² mostly houses | mostly houses | ¥62k vs 2018 +16.5% · Chiba: ¥85k |
- Rent per m²
- ¥1,127
- median, per month · Chiba: ¥1,709
Source: Statistics Bureau of Japan, Housing and Land Survey 2023. Privately owned rentals (excluding rent-free homes), monthly rent without management fees. These averages include older homes, so they run below asking rents for newly listed units. 6,470 rented homes.
What the data says
A long, slow decline
House prices per m² have been falling for a decade, by about 0.5% a year recently. Prices are low, but resale values are likely to keep easing, so buy here to live, not as an investment.
Lagging Chiba
Per m², houses here are 72% below the Chiba average. Ten years ago the gap was 65%, so Mobara City has been falling behind the rest of Chiba.
Being near a station is worth a lot
Houses within a 5-minute walk of a station sell for about 78% more per m² than those 11–15 minutes away. If budget is tight, a longer walk is the quickest way to cut the price.
What a typical purchase costs
Half of all house sales last year were between ¥3.0M and ¥18.0M. Listings outside that range are either unusual properties or worth a closer look.
A shrinking population
The population fell 3.7% between 2020 and 2025 (−0.4% for the wider area). Moves in and out roughly balanced in 2025. Households still grew 1.5% as people live in smaller households, which supports demand for smaller homes even as the population shrinks.
Many abandoned homes
20% of homes were empty in 2023 (12.3% for the wider area), and 10% were empty without being for rent, for sale or used as second homes. That is a high share of truly abandoned homes (akiya), a sign of weak demand. Cheap houses are easy to find, but resale can be slow.
High earthquake risk
The government's seismic model gives a 74% chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or stronger in the next 30 years (63% for the wider area). Check the building's earthquake standard (post-1981, ideally post-2000 for wooden houses) and consider earthquake insurance.
Local incomes are below average
Taxpayers here reported an average taxable income of ¥3.3m in 2023 (¥4.1m for the wider area). That is +12% since 2014. Averages are pulled up by a few very high earners, so a typical household earns less than this.
Official land prices are still falling
On the government's fixed benchmark sites, which are valued the same way every year, residential land prices changed 0% in the year to January 2026 and -1% over five years. Because these sites don't change, this is the cleanest measure of land value trends.
Some flood or landslide exposure
Of the official land-price benchmark sites here, which sit in typical neighbourhoods, 80% are inside the worst-case flood zone. Most worst-case flood zones are shallow (under 0.5 m) at the edges, so depth matters as much as the share. Check the hazard map for any specific address before buying.
Living in Mobara City: people, homes and risks
- Population 2025
- 83,577
- -3.7% since 2020
- Chiba: -0.4%
- Net moves in 2025
- +96
- +1.15 per 1,000 residents
- Chiba: +1.25
- Vacant homes (2023)
- 20.0%
- 10.0% empty and not for rent or sale
- Chiba: 12.3%
- Median rent (2023)
- ¥51k
- per month, all rented homes
- Chiba: ¥60k
- Strong earthquake risk
- 74.2%
- chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or more within 30 years
- Chiba: 63.4%
- Average income per taxpayer
- ¥3.3M
- taxable income in 2023
- Chiba: ¥4.1M
- Daytime population
- 95
- people here by day per 100 residents (2020 census)
- Foreign residents
- 2.1%
- 1,791 registered residents in 2024
- Chiba: 3.6%
- Clinics
- 7.4
- per 10,000 residents; 8 hospitals, 58 dental clinics (2020)
- Chiba: 6.2
- Official land price 2026
- ¥28k/m²
- -0.3% in a year · -1.5% in 5 years
- Chiba: ¥97k/m²
- Flood exposure
- 80.0%
- of 10 benchmark sites in a worst-case flood zone (0.0% 3 m or deeper)
- Chiba: 28.9%
- Landslide exposure
- 0.0%
- of 10 benchmark sites in a landslide warning area
- Chiba: 0.0%
Check flood, landslide and tsunami zones for a specific address on the government hazard map ↗
Sources: 2025 Census (preliminary), 2025 Internal Migration Report, 2023 Housing and Land Survey (Statistics Bureau of Japan); J-SHIS seismic hazard model (NIED, 2024); Land Price Publication (MLIT); recorded crime: Tokyo Metropolitan Police Department (Tokyo only); incomes: Ministry of Internal Affairs taxation survey via the Statistics Bureau's municipal indicators; foreign residents: Basic Resident Register; medical facilities and station passengers: MLIT National Land Numerical Information. Earthquake probability is measured at the municipal center.
Example sales in Mobara City
Real transactions from the last four quarters, picked near the lower (20th percentile), middle and upper (80th percentile) price points. Locations are shown at district level, as published by MLIT.
House
¥2.5M
¥13k/m²
- Yachiyo
- Mobara · 16 min walk
- Land 290 m² · floor 190 m²
- Built 1975 (51 yrs) · Wood
¥7.4M
¥49k/m²
- Mobara
- Mobara · 15 min walk
- Land 330 m² · floor 150 m²
- Built 1993 (32 yrs) · Wood
¥20.0M
¥200k/m²
- Kobayashi
- Shim Mobara · 7 min walk
- Land 410 m² · floor 100 m²
- Built 1986 (40 yrs) · Light steel
Show data table
| Year | House |
|---|---|
| 2007 | ¥12.5M |
| 2008 | ¥10.0M |
| 2009 | ¥13.0M |
| 2010 | ¥11.0M |
| 2011 | ¥8.8M |
| 2012 | ¥9.9M |
| 2013 | ¥10.0M |
| 2014 | ¥8.9M |
| 2015 | ¥8.0M |
| 2016 | ¥7.7M |
| 2017 | ¥8.0M |
| 2018 | ¥6.8M |
| 2019 | ¥8.8M |
| 2020 | ¥6.5M |
| 2021 | ¥8.3M |
| 2022 | ¥7.0M |
| 2023 | ¥6.8M |
| 2024 | ¥8.9M |
| 2025 | ¥7.5M |
| 2026 (partial) | ¥10.5M |
Show data table
| Year | House | Land |
|---|---|---|
| 2007 | ¥121k/m² | ¥15k/m² |
| 2008 | ¥100k/m² | ¥22k/m² |
| 2009 | ¥100k/m² | ¥17k/m² |
| 2010 | ¥93k/m² | ¥20k/m² |
| 2011 | ¥93k/m² | ¥15k/m² |
| 2012 | ¥77k/m² | ¥19k/m² |
| 2013 | ¥86k/m² | ¥17k/m² |
| 2014 | ¥78k/m² | ¥12k/m² |
| 2015 | ¥73k/m² | ¥13k/m² |
| 2016 | ¥72k/m² | ¥18k/m² |
| 2017 | ¥70k/m² | ¥18k/m² |
| 2018 | ¥68k/m² | ¥18k/m² |
| 2019 | ¥79k/m² | ¥12k/m² |
| 2020 | ¥63k/m² | ¥16k/m² |
| 2021 | ¥78k/m² | ¥12k/m² |
| 2022 | ¥64k/m² | ¥9k/m² |
| 2023 | ¥64k/m² | ¥13k/m² |
| 2024 | ¥79k/m² | ¥15k/m² |
| 2025 | ¥59k/m² | ¥11k/m² |
| 2026 (partial) | ¥90k/m² | ¥10k/m² |
Show data table
| Building age (years) | House |
|---|---|
| 0 | ¥240k/m² |
| 1 | ¥240k/m² |
| 24 | ¥51k/m² |
| 25 | ¥59k/m² |
| 26 | ¥54k/m² |
| 28 | ¥49k/m² |
| 29 | ¥59k/m² |
| 30 | ¥56k/m² |
| 31 | ¥62k/m² |
| 32 | ¥71k/m² |
| 33 | ¥57k/m² |
| 34 | ¥81k/m² |
| 35 | ¥44k/m² |
| 36 | ¥65k/m² |
| 37 | ¥58k/m² |
| 38 | ¥45k/m² |
| 39 | ¥43k/m² |
| 40 | ¥35k/m² |
| 41 | ¥62k/m² |
| 42 | ¥55k/m² |
| 43 | ¥44k/m² |
| 44 | ¥56k/m² |
| 45 | ¥30k/m² |
| 46 | ¥36k/m² |
| 47 | ¥35k/m² |
| 48 | ¥57k/m² |
| 50 | ¥33k/m² |
Each line follows buildings from one construction period over time. 1981 is when Japan's current earthquake-resistance standard (shin-taishin) took effect.
Show data table
| Year | 1971-1980 | 1981-2000 | 2001-2010 | 2011-2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 | – | ¥89k/m² | – | – |
| 2008 | ¥65k/m² | ¥90k/m² | – | – |
| 2009 | – | ¥71k/m² | ¥206k/m² | – |
| 2010 | – | ¥94k/m² | – | – |
| 2011 | – | ¥82k/m² | – | – |
| 2012 | – | ¥75k/m² | – | – |
| 2013 | – | ¥74k/m² | – | – |
| 2014 | – | ¥70k/m² | – | – |
| 2015 | ¥43k/m² | ¥69k/m² | – | ¥190k/m² |
| 2016 | – | ¥70k/m² | – | – |
| 2017 | – | ¥67k/m² | – | – |
| 2018 | – | ¥64k/m² | – | – |
| 2019 | – | ¥80k/m² | – | – |
| 2020 | ¥33k/m² | ¥58k/m² | – | – |
| 2021 | ¥46k/m² | ¥60k/m² | – | – |
| 2022 | – | ¥56k/m² | – | – |
| 2023 | ¥41k/m² | ¥56k/m² | – | – |
| 2024 | ¥35k/m² | ¥65k/m² | – | – |
| 2025 | ¥30k/m² | ¥50k/m² | – | – |
| 2026 (partial) | – | ¥71k/m² | – | – |
Prices near train stations in Mobara City
Sales from 2023–2025, grouped by nearest station.
| Station | Median used condo price | Condo price per m² | Median house price (land + building) | Walk (min) | Sales | Daily passengers (2023) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mobara (茂原) | – | – | ¥9.7M | 19 | 244 | 18,336-19% vs 2019 |
| Shim Mobara (新茂原) | – | – | ¥9.9M | 15 | 100 | 2,470+0% vs 2019 |
| Honno (本納) | – | – | ¥4.5M | 13 | 78 | 2,984-9% vs 2019 |
| Nagata(Chiba) (永田(千葉)) | – | – | ¥4.2M | 26 | 11 | 1,576-23% vs 2019 |
How much does a house cost in Mobara City?
The median house sale, including the land, was ¥7.5M in 2025 across 136 sales.
Are property prices in Mobara City going up?
Over the five years to 2025, residential land prices changed -31.3%.
About this data
Figures are medians of real transactions reported to Japan's Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism (MLIT) through its quarterly price survey. House prices per m² divide the total price (land and building) by the floor area. Medians based on fewer than 20 sales are not shown. The latest quarters are preliminary and are revised as more survey responses arrive.
Information only, not investment advice.