Nagoya Castle, Nagoya, Aichi
Photo: Nagoya Castle, Nagoya, Aichi · Shuken Nakamura / Unsplash

Komaki City Housing Market Report 2026

Data updated 2026-11-11 · Source: MLIT transaction price survey, 2005 Q3–2026 Q2 · Transactions in 2025: 239

In short

  1. 1
    The trend has turned down

    After rising earlier, house prices per m² have slipped by about 1% a year over the last five years.

  2. 2
    Lagging Aichi

    Per m², houses here are 14% below the Aichi average.

  3. 3
    A modest station premium

    Houses within a 5-minute walk of a station sell for about 3% more per m² than those 11–15 minutes away.

  4. 4
    A family market

    87% of recent condo sales have three or more bedrooms.

The answers, compared

What does a home cost?

¥13.0M

median used condo · ¥173k/m²

46% below the Aichi median

28 of 31 areas in Aichi, highest first

Are prices rising?

+8.3%

over 5 years

Slower than Aichi (+19.0%)

34 of 63 areas in Aichi, highest first

Can local earners afford it?

3.5× income

median price ÷ average taxable income

Easier than Aichi (4.9×)

55 of 61 areas in Aichi, highest first

Rent or buy?

20years of rent

median price ÷ a year of median rent

Shorter than Aichi (30)

56 of 61 areas in Aichi, highest first

Are people moving in?

-3.1%

population, 2020–25

Shrinking faster than Aichi (-1.2%)

49 of 64 areas in Aichi, highest first

How risky is it?

19%

chance of strong shaking (6-lower+) in 30 years

Lower than Aichi (56%)

63 of 64 areas in Aichi, highest first

Rent in Komaki City

The average private rental costs ¥57k a month (2023), +4.7% since 2018. Aichi: ¥61k

Floor areaAverage rent / month
under 30 m²
studio / 1K
¥47k
vs 2018 +3.1% · Aichi: ¥48k
30–49 m²
1LDK / 2DK
¥52k
vs 2018 -1.7% · Aichi: ¥58k
50–69 m²
2LDK / 3DK
¥66k
vs 2018 +10.2% · Aichi: ¥68k
70–99 m²
3LDK / family
¥72k
vs 2018 +13.4% · Aichi: ¥82k
100–149 m²
mostly houses
¥69k
vs 2018 +13.6% · Aichi: ¥75k
Rent per m²
¥1,343
median, per month · Aichi: ¥1,453
The median used condo (¥13.0M, 75 m²) costs about 15 years of average rent for a similar-sized home (¥72k a month).
Excludes management fees, repair reserve, property tax and mortgage interest.

Source: Statistics Bureau of Japan, Housing and Land Survey 2023. Privately owned rentals (excluding rent-free homes), monthly rent without management fees. These averages include older homes, so they run below asking rents for newly listed units. 16,880 rented homes.

What the data says

The trend has turned down

After rising earlier, house prices per m² have slipped by about 1% a year over the last five years. That often reflects weaker local demand, so check vacancy and population trends before buying.

Lagging Aichi

Per m², houses here are 14% below the Aichi average. Ten years ago the gap was 8%, so Komaki City has been falling behind the rest of Aichi.

A modest station premium

Houses within a 5-minute walk of a station sell for about 3% more per m² than those 11–15 minutes away. The penalty for a longer walk is mild, so it is worth widening your search radius.

A family market

87% of recent condo sales have three or more bedrooms. Demand comes mainly from owner-occupier families, which tends to make prices steadier but rental yields lower.

Sales are thinning out

Transactions are down about 14% on the previous three years. Fewer sales mean less choice and slower resale, so allow more time to sell later.

What a typical purchase costs

Half of all house sales last year were between ¥20.5M and ¥36.0M. Listings outside that range are either unusual properties or worth a closer look.

A shrinking population

The population fell 3.1% between 2020 and 2025 (−1.2% for the wider area). More people moved out than in during 2025 (about 2.3 per 1,000 residents), which weakens long-term housing demand. Households still grew 1.5% as people live in smaller households, which supports demand for smaller homes even as the population shrinks.

Typical vacancy

10.6% of homes were empty in 2023 (11.8% for the wider area), and 4.6% were empty without being for rent, for sale or used as second homes. The level of abandoned homes is around the national norm.

Lower earthquake risk

The government's seismic model gives a 19% chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or stronger in the next 30 years (56% for the wider area). This is low by Japanese standards, although no part of Japan is free of earthquake risk.

Local incomes are close to average

Taxpayers here reported an average taxable income of ¥3.7m in 2023 (¥4.1m for the wider area). That is +15% since 2014. Averages are pulled up by a few very high earners, so a typical household earns less than this.

Official land prices are edging up

On the government's fixed benchmark sites, which are valued the same way every year, residential land prices changed +2% in the year to January 2026 and +8% over five years. They are still 39% below their 1991 bubble-era level. Because these sites don't change, this is the cleanest measure of land value trends.

Some flood or landslide exposure

Of the official land-price benchmark sites here, which sit in typical neighbourhoods, 6% are inside the worst-case flood zone. Most worst-case flood zones are shallow (under 0.5 m) at the edges, so depth matters as much as the share. Check the hazard map for any specific address before buying.

Living in Komaki City: people, homes and risks

Population 2025
144,181
-3.1% since 2020
Aichi: -1.2%
Net moves in 2025
-324
-2.25 per 1,000 residents
Aichi: -0.29
Vacant homes (2023)
10.6%
4.6% empty and not for rent or sale
Aichi: 11.8%
Median rent (2023)
¥53k
per month, all rented homes
Aichi: ¥55k
Strong earthquake risk
19.0%
chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or more within 30 years
Aichi: 56.0%
Average income per taxpayer
¥3.7M
taxable income in 2023
Aichi: ¥4.1M
Daytime population
118
people here by day per 100 residents (2020 census)
Foreign residents
7.5%
11,183 registered residents in 2024
Aichi: 4.3%
Clinics
6.9
per 10,000 residents; 3 hospitals, 65 dental clinics (2020)
Aichi: 7.4
Official land price 2026
¥91k/m²
+1.8% in a year · +7.5% in 5 years
Aichi: ¥109k/m²
Flood exposure
6.2%
of 32 benchmark sites in a worst-case flood zone (0.0% 3 m or deeper)
Aichi: 40.5%
Landslide exposure
0.0%
of 32 benchmark sites in a landslide warning area
Aichi: 0.4%

Check flood, landslide and tsunami zones for a specific address on the government hazard map ↗

Sources: 2025 Census (preliminary), 2025 Internal Migration Report, 2023 Housing and Land Survey (Statistics Bureau of Japan); J-SHIS seismic hazard model (NIED, 2024); Land Price Publication (MLIT); recorded crime: Tokyo Metropolitan Police Department (Tokyo only); incomes: Ministry of Internal Affairs taxation survey via the Statistics Bureau's municipal indicators; foreign residents: Basic Resident Register; medical facilities and station passengers: MLIT National Land Numerical Information. Earthquake probability is measured at the municipal center.

Example sales in Komaki City

Real transactions from the last four quarters, picked near the lower (20th percentile), middle and upper (80th percentile) price points. Locations are shown at district level, as published by MLIT.

Condo

Lower-priced2026 Q1

¥8.0M

¥89k/m²

  • Hikarigaoka
  • Ajioka
  • 4LDK · 90 m²
  • Built 1993 (33 yrs) · RC
Typical2026 Q2

¥13.0M

¥186k/m²

  • Oaza Kuboishiki
  • Tagatajinja Mae · 3 min walk
  • 3LDK · 70 m²
  • Built 1996 (30 yrs) · SRC
Higher-priced2025 Q3

¥27.0M

¥338k/m²

  • Chuo
  • Komaki · 4 min walk
  • 3LDK · 80 m²
  • Built 2004 (21 yrs) · SRC

House

Lower-priced2025 Q4

¥18.0M

¥150k/m²

  • Shiroyama
  • Komakihara
  • Land 210 m² · floor 120 m²
  • Built 1988 (37 yrs) · Light steel
Typical2026 Q2

¥32.0M

¥320k/m²

  • Oaza Iwazaki
  • Ajioka · 12 min walk
  • Land 155 m² · floor 100 m²
  • Built 2026 (0 yrs) · Wood
Higher-priced2026 Q1

¥43.0M

¥148k/m²

  • Gonaka
  • Komakiguchi · 19 min walk
  • Land 400 m² · floor 290 m²
  • Built 2000 (26 yrs) · Wood
Median transaction price by year
¥0¥10.0M¥20.0M¥30.0M¥40.0M2007200920112013201520172019202120232025
Show data table
YearCondoHouse
2007¥12.0M¥32.0M
2008¥13.0M¥33.0M
2009¥11.0M¥33.0M
2010¥13.0M¥25.0M
2011¥12.0M¥27.0M
2012¥12.0M¥25.0M
2013¥14.0M¥29.0M
2014¥9.2M¥27.0M
2015¥9.5M¥27.0M
2016¥12.0M¥29.0M
2017¥9.9M¥26.0M
2018¥11.5M¥29.0M
2019¥10.5M¥31.0M
2020¥12.0M¥29.0M
2021¥14.0M¥29.0M
2022¥11.5M¥31.0M
2023¥15.0M¥31.0M
2024–¥30.5M
2025¥13.0M¥29.0M
2026 (partial)–¥37.5M
Median price per m² by year
¥0¥100k¥200k¥300k2007200920112013201520172019202120232025
Show data table
YearCondoHouseLand
2007¥160k/m²¥248k/m²¥76k/m²
2008¥169k/m²¥286k/m²¥79k/m²
2009¥143k/m²¥260k/m²¥82k/m²
2010¥158k/m²¥210k/m²¥67k/m²
2011¥147k/m²¥229k/m²¥70k/m²
2012¥147k/m²¥200k/m²¥67k/m²
2013¥170k/m²¥248k/m²¥68k/m²
2014¥137k/m²¥230k/m²¥72k/m²
2015¥136k/m²¥241k/m²¥70k/m²
2016¥157k/m²¥240k/m²¥68k/m²
2017¥137k/m²¥250k/m²¥68k/m²
2018¥137k/m²¥238k/m²¥70k/m²
2019¥131k/m²¥263k/m²¥60k/m²
2020¥160k/m²¥257k/m²¥78k/m²
2021¥185k/m²¥270k/m²¥74k/m²
2022¥146k/m²¥282k/m²¥67k/m²
2023¥217k/m²¥265k/m²¥79k/m²
2024–¥260k/m²¥70k/m²
2025¥173k/m²¥235k/m²¥89k/m²
2026 (partial)–¥300k/m²¥78k/m²
Price per m² by building age (2021–2025 sales)
¥0¥100k¥200k¥300k¥400k05101520253035404550
Show data table
Building age (years)CondoHouse
0–¥320k/m²
1–¥314k/m²
15–¥225k/m²
30¥148k/m²–
32–¥154k/m²
33–¥117k/m²
34¥92k/m²–
39–¥96k/m²
50–¥123k/m²
House price per m² by construction period
¥0¥100k¥200k¥300k¥400k2007200920112013201520172019202120232025

Each line follows buildings from one construction period over time. 1981 is when Japan's current earthquake-resistance standard (shin-taishin) took effect.

Show data table
Year1981-20002001-20102011-2020
2007¥176k/m²¥304k/m²–
2008¥168k/m²¥311k/m²–
2009¥171k/m²¥278k/m²–
2010¥152k/m²¥258k/m²–
2011¥180k/m²–¥281k/m²
2012¥138k/m²–¥291k/m²
2013¥140k/m²–¥279k/m²
2014¥139k/m²–¥273k/m²
2015¥124k/m²–¥270k/m²
2016¥127k/m²–¥286k/m²
2017¥117k/m²–¥281k/m²
2018¥136k/m²–¥302k/m²
2019––¥284k/m²
2020¥133k/m²–¥278k/m²
2021¥139k/m²–¥290k/m²
2022¥126k/m²––
2023¥140k/m²––
2024¥178k/m²––
2025¥141k/m²––

Prices near train stations in Komaki City

Sales from 2023–2025, grouped by nearest station.

StationMedian used condo priceCondo price per m²Median house price (land + building)Walk (min)SalesDaily passengers (2023)
Komaki (小牧)¥17.5M¥248k/m²¥33.0M1210110,749-5% vs 2019
Ajioka (味岡)¥8.5M¥117k/m²¥25.0M15804,721-4% vs 2019
Komakihara (小牧原)¥10.5M¥130k/m²¥29.5M10783,709+0% vs 2019
Tagatajinja Mae (田県神社前)––¥30.5M11384,414-7% vs 2019
Komakiguchi (小牧口)––¥41.0M8363,4040% vs 2019
Iwakura(Aichi) (岩倉(愛知))––¥32.0M291722,099-10% vs 2019
Ishibotoke (石仏)––¥28.5M27143,983-2% vs 2019
Manai (間内)––¥31.0M14102,595-6% vs 2019

Used condo prices by layout in Komaki City

Sales from 2023–2025.

LayoutMedian used condo priceTypical sizeSales
3LDK¥14.0M75 m²41
4LDK¥13.0M85 m²17

How much does an apartment cost in Komaki City?

The median used condo (mansion) in Komaki City sold for ¥13.0M in 2025, about ¥173k/m², based on 27 recorded sales.

How much does a house cost in Komaki City?

The median house sale, including the land, was ¥29.0M in 2025 across 111 sales.

Are property prices in Komaki City going up?

Over the five years to 2025, condo prices per m² changed +8.3% and residential land prices changed +14.1%.

About this data

Figures are medians of real transactions reported to Japan's Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism (MLIT) through its quarterly price survey. House prices per m² divide the total price (land and building) by the floor area. Medians based on fewer than 20 sales are not shown. The latest quarters are preliminary and are revised as more survey responses arrive.

Information only, not investment advice.