Nagoya Castle, Nagoya, Aichi
Photo: Nagoya Castle, Nagoya, Aichi · Shuken Nakamura / Unsplash

Naka Ward (Nagoya) Housing Market 2026: Population Up 16%, Prices Doubled

Data updated 2026-11-11 · Source: MLIT transaction price survey, 2005 Q3–2026 Q2 · Transactions in 2025: 466

In short

  1. 1
    Nagoya's centre is booming

    Naka Ward covers Sakae, Fushimi and Osu.

  2. 2
    Towers and studios

    More than half of condo sales are studios; the 20 m² 1K at about ¥16M is the most traded home.

  3. 3
    High vacancy, good yields

    Vacancy is about 18%, the highest of Nagoya's wards.

  4. 4
    Low flood risk, real quake risk

    None of Naka's benchmark sites are in a flood, tsunami or landslide zone: the ward sits on the Atsuta plateau.

The answers, compared

What does a home cost?

¥21.0M

median used condo · ¥767k/m²

2.4× the Aichi median

1 of 31 areas in Aichi, highest first

Are prices rising?

+59.7%

over 5 years

Faster than Aichi (+19.0%)

5 of 63 areas in Aichi, highest first

Can local earners afford it?

4.6× income

median price ÷ average taxable income

In line with Aichi (4.9×)

42 of 61 areas in Aichi, highest first

Rent or buy?

26years of rent

median price ÷ a year of median rent

Shorter than Aichi (30)

43 of 61 areas in Aichi, highest first

Are people moving in?

+15.6%

population, 2020–25

Growing while Aichi shrinks (-1.2%)

1 of 64 areas in Aichi, highest first

How risky is it?

48%

chance of strong shaking (6-lower+) in 30 years

Lower than Aichi (56%)

44 of 64 areas in Aichi, highest first

Rent in Naka Ward, Nagoya City

The average private rental costs ¥74k a month (2023), +7.3% since 2018. Aichi: ¥61k

Floor areaAverage rent / month
under 30 m²
studio / 1K
¥59k
vs 2018 +5.3% · Aichi: ¥48k
30–49 m²
1LDK / 2DK
¥78k
vs 2018 +14.7% · Aichi: ¥58k
50–69 m²
2LDK / 3DK
¥106k
vs 2018 +14.5% · Aichi: ¥68k
70–99 m²
3LDK / family
¥107k
vs 2018 +2.9% · Aichi: ¥82k
100–149 m²
mostly houses
¥92k
vs 2018 -9.8% · Aichi: ¥75k
150 m² +
mostly houses
¥151k
vs 2018 +199.8% · Aichi: ¥71k
Rent per m²
¥2,285
median, per month · Aichi: ¥1,453
The median used condo (¥21.0M, 25 m²) costs about 30 years of average rent for a similar-sized home (¥59k a month).
Excludes management fees, repair reserve, property tax and mortgage interest.

Source: Statistics Bureau of Japan, Housing and Land Survey 2023. Privately owned rentals (excluding rent-free homes), monthly rent without management fees. These averages include older homes, so they run below asking rents for newly listed units. 39,890 rented homes.

Nagoya's centre is booming

Naka Ward covers Sakae, Fushimi and Osu. Its population grew 15.6% between 2020 and 2025, the most of Nagoya's 16 wards, while Aichi shrank 1.2%. In 2025 it had the strongest net inflow from the rest of Japan of any Nagoya ward, about 15 per 1,000 residents.

Prices

Condos cost about ¥0.77M per m² in 2025, up from ¥0.27M in 2015, and now 2.2 times the Aichi average, up from 1.2 times ten years ago. Prices per m² rose about 9.5% a year over the past five years, slower than the 13% before. Benchmark residential land rose about 137% over ten years. The median condo sold for about ¥21M.

Towers and studios

More than half of condo sales are studios; the 20 m² 1K at about ¥16M is the most traded home. Sales rose 25% in 2025. Shinsakae-Machi and Yaba-Cho are the priciest busy stations at about ¥0.8M per m². Condos lose value fast: half the price is gone by about 27 years old.

High vacancy, good yields

Vacancy is about 18%, the highest of Nagoya's wards. A median condo costs about 26 years of median rent, better than the Aichi average.

Low flood risk, real quake risk

None of Naka's benchmark sites are in a flood, tsunami or landslide zone: the ward sits on the Atsuta plateau. Earthquake probability (about 48% for 6-lower in 30 years) reflects the Nankai Trough. The Nagoya Station, Fushimi and Sakae renewal area covers the ward.

Living in Naka Ward, Nagoya City: people, homes and risks

Population 2025
107,614
+15.6% since 2020
Aichi: -1.2%
Net moves in 2025
+1,561
+14.51 per 1,000 residents
Aichi: -0.29
Vacant homes (2023)
17.6%
5.1% empty and not for rent or sale
Aichi: 11.8%
Median rent (2023)
¥68k
per month, all rented homes
Aichi: ¥55k
Strong earthquake risk
47.5%
chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or more within 30 years
Aichi: 56.0%
Average income per taxpayer
¥4.6M
taxable income in 2023, citywide figure
Aichi: ¥4.1M
Daytime population
316
people here by day per 100 residents (2020 census)
Foreign residents
10.9%
10,806 registered residents in 2024
Aichi: 4.3%
Clinics
23.3
per 10,000 residents; 8 hospitals, 156 dental clinics (2020)
Aichi: 7.4
Official land price 2026
¥1.1M/m²
+3.8% in a year · +44.1% in 5 years
Aichi: ¥109k/m²
Flood exposure
0.0%
of 46 benchmark sites in a worst-case flood zone (0.0% 3 m or deeper)
Aichi: 40.5%
Landslide exposure
0.0%
of 46 benchmark sites in a landslide warning area
Aichi: 0.4%

Urban renewal zones

Areas designated by the national government for priority redevelopment, with relaxed planning rules and financial support for large projects.

  • Nagoya Station, Fushimi and Sakae · 401 ha · designated 2002 · Specified zone (highest priority)

Check flood, landslide and tsunami zones for a specific address on the government hazard map ↗

Sources: 2025 Census (preliminary), 2025 Internal Migration Report, 2023 Housing and Land Survey (Statistics Bureau of Japan); J-SHIS seismic hazard model (NIED, 2024); Land Price Publication (MLIT); recorded crime: Tokyo Metropolitan Police Department (Tokyo only); incomes: Ministry of Internal Affairs taxation survey via the Statistics Bureau's municipal indicators; foreign residents: Basic Resident Register; medical facilities and station passengers: MLIT National Land Numerical Information. Earthquake probability is measured at the municipal center.

Example sales in Naka Ward, Nagoya City

Real transactions from the last four quarters, picked near the lower (20th percentile), middle and upper (80th percentile) price points. Locations are shown at district level, as published by MLIT.

Condo

Lower-priced2026 Q1

¥16.0M

¥800k/m²

  • Osu
  • Yaba Cho · 4 min walk
  • 1K · 20 m²
  • Built 2009 (17 yrs) · RC
Typical2026 Q1

¥21.0M

¥1.1M/m²

  • Aoi
  • Shinsakae Machi(Aichi) · 2 min walk
  • 1K · 20 m²
  • Built 2021 (5 yrs) · RC
Higher-priced2026 Q1

¥37.0M

¥529k/m²

  • Chiyoda
  • Higashi Betsuin · 6 min walk
  • 2LDK · 70 m²
  • Built 2007 (19 yrs) · RC

House

Lower-priced2025 Q3

¥85.0M

¥167k/m²

  • Shinsakae
  • Shinsakae Machi(Aichi) · 9 min walk
  • Land 140 m² · floor 510 m²
  • Built 1972 (53 yrs) · RC
Typical2026 Q2

¥220M

¥247k/m²

  • Chiyoda
  • Higashi Betsuin · 6 min walk
  • Land 200 m² · floor 890 m²
  • Built 1986 (40 yrs) · SRC
Higher-priced2026 Q2

¥480M

¥369k/m²

  • Shinsakae
  • Shinsakae Machi(Aichi) · 8 min walk
  • Land 410 m² · floor 1300 m²
  • Built 2011 (15 yrs) · RC
Median transaction price by year
¥0¥100M¥200M¥300M20052008201120142017202020232026
Show data table
YearCondoHouse
2005¥6.0M¥99.0M
2006¥12.0M¥145M
2007¥11.0M¥240M
2008¥10.0M¥195M
2009¥13.0M¥180M
2010¥11.0M¥87.5M
2011¥11.0M¥90.0M
2012¥9.2M¥110M
2013¥12.0M¥100M
2014¥9.1M¥110M
2015¥14.0M¥120M
2016¥14.5M¥92.0M
2017¥14.0M¥140M
2018¥14.0M¥120M
2019¥14.0M¥130M
2020¥15.0M¥160M
2021¥16.0M¥290M
2022¥16.0M¥280M
2023¥17.0M¥260M
2024¥18.0M¥280M
2025¥21.0M¥170M
2026 (partial)¥19.0M–
Median price per m² by yearHouses are the better deal on space — A m² of house floor space costs about 50% less than a m² of condo, even though the house price includes land. If you need room more than convenience, a house buys considerably more space. That gap has widened over the decade as condo prices pulled ahead.
¥0¥200k¥400k¥600k¥800k20052008201120142017202020232026
Show data table
YearCondoHouseLand
2005¥187k/m²¥259k/m²¥420k/m²
2006¥243k/m²¥269k/m²¥490k/m²
2007¥260k/m²¥352k/m²¥585k/m²
2008¥233k/m²¥319k/m²¥495k/m²
2009¥227k/m²¥257k/m²¥385k/m²
2010¥228k/m²¥175k/m²¥285k/m²
2011¥257k/m²¥182k/m²¥340k/m²
2012¥204k/m²¥205k/m²¥260k/m²
2013¥243k/m²¥206k/m²¥310k/m²
2014¥227k/m²¥253k/m²¥330k/m²
2015¥273k/m²¥282k/m²¥390k/m²
2016¥355k/m²¥343k/m²¥330k/m²
2017¥371k/m²¥414k/m²¥385k/m²
2018¥457k/m²¥278k/m²¥485k/m²
2019¥450k/m²¥398k/m²¥445k/m²
2020¥480k/m²¥324k/m²¥560k/m²
2021¥600k/m²¥375k/m²¥625k/m²
2022¥600k/m²¥385k/m²¥550k/m²
2023¥650k/m²¥447k/m²¥595k/m²
2024¥700k/m²¥441k/m²¥610k/m²
2025¥767k/m²¥296k/m²¥800k/m²
2026 (partial)¥700k/m²––
Price per m² by building age (2021–2025 sales)How condos age here — In recent sales, condos lose about a quarter of their per-m² value by around 19 years old and half by around 27. Prices keep falling by roughly 3.5% a year even after 25 years, so older condos here are cheap for a reason. Check the repair fund and rebuild plans.
¥0¥500k¥1.0M05101520253035404550
Show data table
Building age (years)CondoHouse
0¥950k/m²¥500k/m²
1¥867k/m²–
2¥807k/m²–
3¥800k/m²–
4¥790k/m²–
5¥800k/m²–
6¥788k/m²–
7¥750k/m²–
8¥750k/m²–
9¥740k/m²–
10¥676k/m²–
11¥706k/m²–
12¥680k/m²–
13¥700k/m²–
14¥700k/m²–
15¥700k/m²–
16¥750k/m²–
17¥650k/m²–
18¥617k/m²–
19¥550k/m²–
20¥512k/m²–
21¥514k/m²–
22¥562k/m²–
23¥406k/m²–
24¥429k/m²–
25¥431k/m²–
26¥400k/m²–
27¥435k/m²–
28¥374k/m²–
29¥300k/m²–
30¥340k/m²–
31¥300k/m²–
32¥310k/m²–
33¥258k/m²–
34¥220k/m²–
35¥260k/m²–
36¥213k/m²–
37¥231k/m²–
38¥300k/m²–
39¥252k/m²–
40¥297k/m²–
41¥207k/m²–
42¥250k/m²–
43¥273k/m²–
44¥247k/m²–
45¥225k/m²–
46¥230k/m²–
47¥240k/m²–
48¥236k/m²–
49¥201k/m²–
50¥212k/m²¥289k/m²
Condo price per m² by construction periodNewer buildings are pulling ahead — Buildings from the 2000s gained about 4.6% a year over the decade, versus 3.1% for pre-1981 stock. The market here clearly rewards newer construction. Pre-1981 buildings, built before the current earthquake standard, trade about 20% below 1980s–90s buildings.
¥0¥500k¥1.0M20062008201020122014201620182020202220242026

Each line follows buildings from one construction period over time. 1981 is when Japan's current earthquake-resistance standard (shin-taishin) took effect.

Show data table
Year1971-19801981-20002001-20102011-2020
2006¥195k/m²¥225k/m²¥333k/m²–
2007¥190k/m²¥260k/m²¥500k/m²–
2008¥162k/m²¥240k/m²––
2009¥153k/m²¥226k/m²¥400k/m²–
2010¥130k/m²¥225k/m²¥400k/m²–
2011¥150k/m²¥227k/m²¥436k/m²–
2012¥125k/m²¥192k/m²¥387k/m²–
2013¥144k/m²¥190k/m²¥400k/m²¥634k/m²
2014¥173k/m²¥205k/m²¥415k/m²–
2015¥169k/m²¥236k/m²¥442k/m²¥657k/m²
2016¥187k/m²¥250k/m²¥475k/m²¥680k/m²
2017¥200k/m²¥253k/m²¥514k/m²¥600k/m²
2018¥191k/m²¥266k/m²¥500k/m²¥600k/m²
2019¥225k/m²¥264k/m²¥560k/m²¥641k/m²
2020¥200k/m²¥300k/m²¥600k/m²¥650k/m²
2021¥223k/m²¥327k/m²¥640k/m²¥691k/m²
2022¥231k/m²¥290k/m²¥650k/m²¥680k/m²
2023¥223k/m²¥257k/m²¥650k/m²¥720k/m²
2024¥223k/m²¥275k/m²¥658k/m²¥800k/m²
2025¥240k/m²¥300k/m²¥691k/m²¥800k/m²
2026 (partial)–––¥829k/m²

Prices near train stations in Naka Ward, Nagoya City

Sales from 2023–2025, grouped by nearest station.

StationMedian used condo priceCondo price per m²Median house price (land + building)Walk (min)SalesDaily passengers (2023)
Shinsakae Machi(Aichi) (新栄町(愛知))¥19.0M¥800k/m²¥63.0M616530,762+2% vs 2019
Marunouchi(NagoyaCitySubway) (丸の内(愛知))¥25.0M¥760k/m²¥430M315434,772-12% vs 2019
Higashi Betsuin (東別院)¥19.0M¥617k/m²¥60.0M513915,560+1% vs 2019
Kamimaezu (上前津)¥18.0M¥673k/m²¥135M412547,950-2% vs 2019
Yaba Cho (矢場町)¥18.0M¥800k/m²¥250M612456,504-11% vs 2019
Osu Kannon (大須観音)¥17.0M¥680k/m²¥100M412118,396-6% vs 2019
Tsurumai (鶴舞)¥18.0M¥650k/m²¥320M611967,624-4% vs 2019
Fushimi(Aichi) (伏見(愛知))¥23.5M¥607k/m²¥360M511992,868-7% vs 2019
Hisaya Odori (久屋大通)¥24.5M¥713k/m²–45650,604-4% vs 2019
Kanayama(Aichi) (金山(愛知))¥19.0M¥420k/m²–539450,944-6% vs 2019
Sakae(Nagoya) (栄(名古屋))¥5.3M¥230k/m²¥275M434196,034-11% vs 2019
Chikusa (千種)¥21.0M¥676k/m²–62797,207-10% vs 2019
Nagoya Jo (名古屋城)¥29.5M¥856k/m²–51442,618-2% vs 2019

Used condo prices by layout in Naka Ward, Nagoya City

Sales from 2023–2025.

LayoutMedian used condo priceTypical sizeSales
1K¥16.0M20 m²461
3LDK¥39.0M70 m²134
2LDK¥37.0M60 m²131
1LDK¥28.0M40 m²119
1DK¥19.0M25 m²54
1R¥3.6M20 m²47
4LDK¥34.5M82.5 m²26
Open floor¥10.0M45 m²17

How much does an apartment cost in Naka Ward, Nagoya City?

The median used condo (mansion) in Naka Ward, Nagoya City sold for ¥21.0M in 2025, about ¥767k/m², based on 389 recorded sales.

How much does a house cost in Naka Ward, Nagoya City?

The median house sale, including the land, was ¥170M in 2025 across 56 sales.

Are property prices in Naka Ward, Nagoya City going up?

Over the five years to 2025, condo prices per m² changed +59.7% and residential land prices changed +42.9%.

About this data

Figures are medians of real transactions reported to Japan's Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism (MLIT) through its quarterly price survey. House prices per m² divide the total price (land and building) by the floor area. Medians based on fewer than 20 sales are not shown. The latest quarters are preliminary and are revised as more survey responses arrive.

Information only, not investment advice.