Shinshiro City Housing Market Report 2026
Data updated 2026-11-11 · Source: MLIT transaction price survey, 2005 Q3–2026 Q2 · Transactions in 2025: 60
In short
- 1Lagging Aichi
Per m², houses here are 76% below the Aichi average.
- 2Being near a station is worth a lot
Houses within a 5-minute walk of a station sell for about 11% more per m² than those 11–15 minutes away.
- 3Sales are thinning out
Transactions are down about 18% on the previous three years.
- 4What a typical purchase costs
Half of all house sales last year were between ¥2.0M and ¥22.5M.
The answers, compared
What does a home cost?
¥6.0M
median house · ¥56k/m²
80% below the Aichi median
30 of 30 areas in Aichi, highest first
Are prices rising?
-16.7%
over 5 years
Slower than Aichi (+19.0%)
58 of 63 areas in Aichi, highest first
Can local earners afford it?
1.9× income
median price ÷ average taxable income
Easier than Aichi (4.9×)
61 of 61 areas in Aichi, highest first
Rent or buy?
11years of rent
median price ÷ a year of median rent
Shorter than Aichi (30)
60 of 61 areas in Aichi, highest first
Are people moving in?
-8.3%
population, 2020–25
Shrinking faster than Aichi (-1.2%)
63 of 64 areas in Aichi, highest first
How risky is it?
64%
chance of strong shaking (6-lower+) in 30 years
Higher than Aichi (56%)
31 of 64 areas in Aichi, highest first
Rent in Shinshiro City
The average private rental costs ¥48k a month (2023), -1.9% since 2018. Aichi: ¥61k
| Floor area | Typical layout | Average rent / month | Shinshiro CityAichi |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–49 m² 1LDK / 2DK | 1LDK / 2DK | ¥45k vs 2018 -5.4% · Aichi: ¥58k | |
| 50–69 m² 2LDK / 3DK | 2LDK / 3DK | ¥54k vs 2018 -1.4% · Aichi: ¥68k |
- Rent per m²
- ¥1,109
- median, per month · Aichi: ¥1,453
Source: Statistics Bureau of Japan, Housing and Land Survey 2023. Privately owned rentals (excluding rent-free homes), monthly rent without management fees. These averages include older homes, so they run below asking rents for newly listed units. 1,250 rented homes.
What the data says
Lagging Aichi
Per m², houses here are 76% below the Aichi average. Ten years ago the gap was 62%, so Shinshiro City has been falling behind the rest of Aichi.
Being near a station is worth a lot
Houses within a 5-minute walk of a station sell for about 11% more per m² than those 11–15 minutes away. The penalty for a longer walk is mild, so it is worth widening your search radius.
Sales are thinning out
Transactions are down about 18% on the previous three years. Fewer sales mean less choice and slower resale, so allow more time to sell later.
What a typical purchase costs
Half of all house sales last year were between ¥2.0M and ¥22.5M. Listings outside that range are either unusual properties or worth a closer look.
A shrinking population
The population fell 8.3% between 2020 and 2025 (−1.2% for the wider area). More people moved out than in during 2025 (about 8.9 per 1,000 residents), which weakens long-term housing demand.
Many abandoned homes
21.2% of homes were empty in 2023 (11.8% for the wider area), and 11.1% were empty without being for rent, for sale or used as second homes. That is a high share of truly abandoned homes (akiya), a sign of weak demand. Cheap houses are easy to find, but resale can be slow.
High earthquake risk
The government's seismic model gives a 64% chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or stronger in the next 30 years (56% for the wider area). Check the building's earthquake standard (post-1981, ideally post-2000 for wooden houses) and consider earthquake insurance.
Local incomes are below average
Taxpayers here reported an average taxable income of ¥3.2m in 2023 (¥4.1m for the wider area). That is +11% since 2014. Averages are pulled up by a few very high earners, so a typical household earns less than this.
Official land prices are still falling
On the government's fixed benchmark sites, which are valued the same way every year, residential land prices changed -2% in the year to January 2026 and -8% over five years. Because these sites don't change, this is the cleanest measure of land value trends.
Little exposure to flooding
Very few of the official benchmark sites here fall in flood, tsunami or landslide zones, so most typical neighbourhoods are outside mapped hazard areas.
Living in Shinshiro City: people, homes and risks
- Population 2025
- 40,664
- -8.3% since 2020
- Aichi: -1.2%
- Net moves in 2025
- -363
- -8.93 per 1,000 residents
- Aichi: -0.29
- Vacant homes (2023)
- 21.2%
- 11.1% empty and not for rent or sale
- Aichi: 11.8%
- Median rent (2023)
- ¥44k
- per month, all rented homes
- Aichi: ¥55k
- Strong earthquake risk
- 64.3%
- chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or more within 30 years
- Aichi: 56.0%
- Average income per taxpayer
- ¥3.2M
- taxable income in 2023
- Aichi: ¥4.1M
- Daytime population
- 98
- people here by day per 100 residents (2020 census)
- Foreign residents
- 3.0%
- 1,289 registered residents in 2024
- Aichi: 4.3%
- Clinics
- 8.9
- per 10,000 residents; 4 hospitals, 23 dental clinics (2020)
- Aichi: 7.4
- Official land price 2026
- ¥46k/m²
- -2.0% in a year · -7.6% in 5 years
- Aichi: ¥109k/m²
- Flood exposure
- 0.0%
- of 9 benchmark sites in a worst-case flood zone (0.0% 3 m or deeper)
- Aichi: 40.5%
- Landslide exposure
- 0.0%
- of 9 benchmark sites in a landslide warning area
- Aichi: 0.4%
Check flood, landslide and tsunami zones for a specific address on the government hazard map ↗
Sources: 2025 Census (preliminary), 2025 Internal Migration Report, 2023 Housing and Land Survey (Statistics Bureau of Japan); J-SHIS seismic hazard model (NIED, 2024); Land Price Publication (MLIT); recorded crime: Tokyo Metropolitan Police Department (Tokyo only); incomes: Ministry of Internal Affairs taxation survey via the Statistics Bureau's municipal indicators; foreign residents: Basic Resident Register; medical facilities and station passengers: MLIT National Land Numerical Information. Earthquake probability is measured at the municipal center.
Example sales in Shinshiro City
Real transactions from the last four quarters, picked near the lower (20th percentile), middle and upper (80th percentile) price points. Locations are shown at district level, as published by MLIT.
House
¥3.0M
¥30k/m²
- Aza Okuimichi
- Higashi Shimmachi · 20 min walk
- Land 190 m² · floor 100 m²
- Built 1995 (31 yrs) · Wood
¥5.5M
¥122k/m²
- Aza Miyanoushiro
- Shinshiro · 8 min walk
- Land 130 m² · floor 45 m²
- Built 1986 (39 yrs)
¥14.0M
¥64k/m²
- Hiyoshi
- Higashi Shimmachi
- Land 360 m² · floor 220 m²
- Built 1986 (40 yrs) · Wood
Show data table
| Year | House |
|---|---|
| 2007 | – |
| 2008 | – |
| 2009 | – |
| 2010 | ¥14.0M |
| 2011 | ¥23.0M |
| 2012 | – |
| 2013 | ¥14.0M |
| 2014 | ¥13.0M |
| 2015 | ¥15.0M |
| 2016 | ¥13.0M |
| 2017 | ¥16.0M |
| 2018 | ¥11.0M |
| 2019 | – |
| 2020 | ¥11.0M |
| 2021 | ¥7.5M |
| 2022 | ¥9.4M |
| 2023 | ¥7.5M |
| 2024 | ¥13.0M |
| 2025 | ¥6.0M |
Show data table
| Year | House | Land |
|---|---|---|
| 2007 | – | ¥20k/m² |
| 2008 | – | ¥27k/m² |
| 2009 | – | ¥20k/m² |
| 2010 | ¥148k/m² | ¥39k/m² |
| 2011 | ¥70k/m² | ¥36k/m² |
| 2012 | – | ¥31k/m² |
| 2013 | ¥124k/m² | ¥30k/m² |
| 2014 | ¥78k/m² | ¥30k/m² |
| 2015 | ¥114k/m² | ¥33k/m² |
| 2016 | ¥101k/m² | ¥22k/m² |
| 2017 | ¥72k/m² | ¥19k/m² |
| 2018 | ¥93k/m² | ¥15k/m² |
| 2019 | – | ¥23k/m² |
| 2020 | ¥88k/m² | ¥18k/m² |
| 2021 | ¥63k/m² | ¥23k/m² |
| 2022 | ¥72k/m² | ¥15k/m² |
| 2023 | ¥68k/m² | ¥6k/m² |
| 2024 | ¥83k/m² | ¥7k/m² |
| 2025 | ¥56k/m² | ¥15k/m² |
Prices near train stations in Shinshiro City
Sales from 2023–2025, grouped by nearest station.
| Station | Median used condo price | Condo price per m² | Median house price (land + building) | Walk (min) | Sales | Daily passengers (2023) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shinshiro (新城) | – | – | ¥5.5M | 8 | 31 | 1,253-6% vs 2019 |
| Higashi Shimmachi (東新町) | – | – | ¥16.0M | 7 | 14 | 1,150+12% vs 2019 |
| Nodajo (野田城) | – | – | ¥7.5M | 12 | 13 | 747-7% vs 2019 |
How much does a house cost in Shinshiro City?
The median house sale, including the land, was ¥6.0M in 2025 across 31 sales.
Are property prices in Shinshiro City going up?
Over the five years to 2025, residential land prices changed -16.7%.
About this data
Figures are medians of real transactions reported to Japan's Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism (MLIT) through its quarterly price survey. House prices per m² divide the total price (land and building) by the floor area. Medians based on fewer than 20 sales are not shown. The latest quarters are preliminary and are revised as more survey responses arrive.
Information only, not investment advice.