Shinsekai, Osaka
Photo: Shinsekai, Osaka · Nomadic Julien / Unsplash

Yao City Housing Market Report 2026

Data updated 2026-11-11 · Source: MLIT transaction price survey, 2005 Q3–2026 Q2 · Transactions in 2025: 542

In short

  1. 1
    Steady, predictable growth

    Condo prices per m² have climbed about 4.9% a year, roughly in line with the previous five years.

  2. 2
    Lagging Osaka

    Per m², condos here are 42% below the Osaka average.

  3. 3
    Being near a station is worth a lot

    Condos within a 5-minute walk of a station sell for about 110% more per m² than those 11–15 minutes away.

  4. 4
    A family market

    72% of recent condo sales have three or more bedrooms.

The answers, compared

What does a home cost?

¥23.0M

median used condo · ¥338k/m²

39% below the Osaka median

30 of 55 areas in Osaka, highest first

Are prices rising?

+48.2%

over 5 years

Slower than Osaka (+50.0%)

11 of 64 areas in Osaka, highest first

Can local earners afford it?

6.1× income

median price ÷ average taxable income

Harder than Osaka (5.6×)

12 of 68 areas in Osaka, highest first

Rent or buy?

33years of rent

median price ÷ a year of median rent

In line with Osaka (32)

25 of 64 areas in Osaka, highest first

Are people moving in?

-2.7%

population, 2020–25

Shrinking faster than Osaka (-0.8%)

42 of 68 areas in Osaka, highest first

How risky is it?

66%

chance of strong shaking (6-lower+) in 30 years

Higher than Osaka (43%)

5 of 68 areas in Osaka, highest first

Rent in Yao City

The average private rental costs ¥62k a month (2023), +5.6% since 2018. Osaka: ¥64k

Floor areaAverage rent / month
under 30 m²
studio / 1K
¥47k
vs 2018 +3.0% · Osaka: ¥50k
30–49 m²
1LDK / 2DK
¥57k
vs 2018 +5.1% · Osaka: ¥65k
50–69 m²
2LDK / 3DK
¥71k
vs 2018 +7.4% · Osaka: ¥80k
70–99 m²
3LDK / family
¥72k
vs 2018 -0.4% · Osaka: ¥89k
100–149 m²
mostly houses
¥74k
vs 2018 +21.7% · Osaka: ¥82k
Rent per m²
¥1,373
median, per month · Osaka: ¥1,794
The median used condo (¥23.0M, 65 m²) costs about 27 years of average rent for a similar-sized home (¥71k a month).
Excludes management fees, repair reserve, property tax and mortgage interest.

Source: Statistics Bureau of Japan, Housing and Land Survey 2023. Privately owned rentals (excluding rent-free homes), monthly rent without management fees. These averages include older homes, so they run below asking rents for newly listed units. 27,390 rented homes.

What the data says

Steady, predictable growth

Condo prices per m² have climbed about 4.9% a year, roughly in line with the previous five years. There is no sign of overheating or a sudden slowdown.

Lagging Osaka

Per m², condos here are 42% below the Osaka average. Ten years ago the gap was 30%, so Yao City has been falling behind the rest of Osaka.

Being near a station is worth a lot

Condos within a 5-minute walk of a station sell for about 110% more per m² than those 11–15 minutes away. If budget is tight, a longer walk is the quickest way to cut the price.

A family market

72% of recent condo sales have three or more bedrooms. Demand comes mainly from owner-occupier families, which tends to make prices steadier but rental yields lower.

Sales are thinning out

Transactions are down about 10% on the previous three years. Fewer sales mean less choice and slower resale, so allow more time to sell later.

What a typical purchase costs

Half of all condo sales last year were between ¥14.0M and ¥36.0M. Listings outside that range are either unusual properties or worth a closer look.

A shrinking population

The population fell 2.7% between 2020 and 2025 (−0.8% for the wider area). Moves in and out roughly balanced in 2025. Households still grew 0.8% as people live in smaller households, which supports demand for smaller homes even as the population shrinks.

Typical vacancy

13.9% of homes were empty in 2023 (14.2% for the wider area), and 4.3% were empty without being for rent, for sale or used as second homes. The level of abandoned homes is around the national norm.

Buying vs renting

A median used condo costs about 32.9 years of the area's median rent (¥58k a month), compared with 31.7 years for the wider area. Prices are high relative to rents, so rental yields are thin and buyers are paying for expected growth. Rents here cover all rented homes, so treat this as a rough guide.

High earthquake risk

The government's seismic model gives a 66% chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or stronger in the next 30 years (43% for the wider area). Check the building's earthquake standard (post-1981, ideally post-2000 for wooden houses) and consider earthquake insurance.

A typical condo costs 6.1 years of local income

Taxpayers here reported an average taxable income of ¥3.8m in 2023 (¥3.9m for the wider area). That is +17% since 2014. The median resale condo sold for about 6.1 times that, against 5.6 times for the wider area. A higher multiple means prices lean more on buyers from outside the area or on two incomes. Averages are pulled up by a few very high earners, so a typical household earns less than this.

Official land prices are edging up

On the government's fixed benchmark sites, which are valued the same way every year, residential land prices changed +1% in the year to January 2026 and +1% over five years. They are still 71% below their 1991 bubble-era level. Because these sites don't change, this is the cleanest measure of land value trends.

Some flood or landslide exposure

Of the official land-price benchmark sites here, which sit in typical neighbourhoods, 45% are inside the worst-case flood zone (5% with expected depths of 3 m or more). Most worst-case flood zones are shallow (under 0.5 m) at the edges, so depth matters as much as the share. Check the hazard map for any specific address before buying.

Living in Yao City: people, homes and risks

Population 2025
257,600
-2.7% since 2020
Osaka: -0.8%
Net moves in 2025
+337
+1.31 per 1,000 residents
Osaka: +1.79
Vacant homes (2023)
13.9%
4.3% empty and not for rent or sale
Osaka: 14.2%
Median rent (2023)
¥58k
per month, all rented homes
Osaka: ¥58k
Strong earthquake risk
66.3%
chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or more within 30 years
Osaka: 43.3%
Average income per taxpayer
¥3.8M
taxable income in 2023
Osaka: ¥3.9M
Daytime population
95
people here by day per 100 residents (2020 census)
Foreign residents
3.6%
9,281 registered residents in 2024
Osaka: 3.7%
Clinics
8.5
per 10,000 residents; 11 hospitals, 140 dental clinics (2020)
Osaka: 9.8
Official land price 2026
¥122k/m²
+0.5% in a year · +0.9% in 5 years
Osaka: ¥145k/m²
Flood exposure
45.2%
of 42 benchmark sites in a worst-case flood zone (4.8% 3 m or deeper)
Osaka: 42.5%
Landslide exposure
4.8%
of 42 benchmark sites in a landslide warning area
Osaka: 1.4%

Check flood, landslide and tsunami zones for a specific address on the government hazard map ↗

Sources: 2025 Census (preliminary), 2025 Internal Migration Report, 2023 Housing and Land Survey (Statistics Bureau of Japan); J-SHIS seismic hazard model (NIED, 2024); Land Price Publication (MLIT); recorded crime: Tokyo Metropolitan Police Department (Tokyo only); incomes: Ministry of Internal Affairs taxation survey via the Statistics Bureau's municipal indicators; foreign residents: Basic Resident Register; medical facilities and station passengers: MLIT National Land Numerical Information. Earthquake probability is measured at the municipal center.

Example sales in Yao City

Real transactions from the last four quarters, picked near the lower (20th percentile), middle and upper (80th percentile) price points. Locations are shown at district level, as published by MLIT.

Condo

Lower-priced2025 Q3

¥13.0M

¥200k/m²

  • Kitakyuhoji
  • Kyuhojiguchi · 8 min walk
  • 2LDK · 65 m²
  • Built 1974 (51 yrs) · SRC
Typical2026 Q2

¥24.0M

¥400k/m²

  • Kitahommachi
  • Kintetsu Yao · 2 min walk
  • 2LDK+S · 60 m²
  • Built 2003 (23 yrs) · SRC
Higher-priced2025 Q4

¥36.0M

¥600k/m²

  • Shimizucho
  • Kintetsu Yao · 12 min walk
  • 3LDK · 60 m²
  • Built 2013 (12 yrs) · RC

House

Lower-priced2025 Q4

¥5.7M

¥76k/m²

  • Kaichi
  • Shigisanguchi · 10 min walk
  • Land 55 m² · floor 75 m²
  • Built 1980 (45 yrs) · Wood
Typical2026 Q1

¥19.0M

¥253k/m²

  • Takayasuchominami
  • Takayasu · 5 min walk
  • Land 70 m² · floor 75 m²
  • Built 2010 (16 yrs) · Wood
Higher-priced2026 Q2

¥42.0M

¥494k/m²

  • Kusunecho
  • Kintetsu Yao · 16 min walk
  • Land 90 m² · floor 85 m²
  • Built 2024 (2 yrs) · Wood
Median transaction price by yearA sharp recent rise — The median house price rose 28% between 2023 and 2025. Prices per m² rose 27% too, so this is a genuine like-for-like increase, not just bigger homes selling.A sharp recent rise — The median condo price rose 28% between 2023 and 2025. Prices per m² rose 13%, so most of it is a real increase, with the rest coming from larger homes selling. With only 95 condo sales in 2025, a handful of expensive deals can move the median a lot.
¥0¥10.0M¥20.0M¥30.0M2007200920112013201520172019202120232025
Show data table
YearCondoHouse
2007¥9.8M¥29.0M
2008¥11.0M¥23.0M
2009¥14.0M¥23.0M
2010¥11.0M¥25.0M
2011¥11.0M¥24.0M
2012¥8.6M¥24.0M
2013¥9.8M¥23.0M
2014¥11.0M¥21.0M
2015¥13.0M¥24.0M
2016¥13.5M¥23.5M
2017¥16.0M¥27.0M
2018¥15.5M¥24.0M
2019¥16.0M¥27.0M
2020¥13.0M¥24.0M
2021¥21.5M¥20.0M
2022¥20.0M¥21.5M
2023¥18.0M¥18.0M
2024¥17.0M¥26.0M
2025¥23.0M¥23.0M
2026 (partial)¥24.5M¥18.0M
Median price per m² by yearHouses are the better deal on space — A m² of house floor space costs about 32% less than a m² of condo, even though the house price includes land. If you need room more than convenience, a house buys considerably more space. That gap has widened over the decade as condo prices pulled ahead.
¥0¥200k¥400k¥600k2007200920112013201520172019202120232025
Show data table
YearCondoHouseLand
2007¥178k/m²¥290k/m²¥150k/m²
2008¥158k/m²¥218k/m²¥140k/m²
2009¥224k/m²¥218k/m²¥140k/m²
2010¥178k/m²¥250k/m²¥140k/m²
2011¥171k/m²¥214k/m²¥120k/m²
2012¥146k/m²¥211k/m²¥120k/m²
2013¥169k/m²¥200k/m²¥125k/m²
2014¥175k/m²¥200k/m²¥96k/m²
2015¥214k/m²¥219k/m²¥120k/m²
2016¥218k/m²¥207k/m²¥100k/m²
2017¥232k/m²¥222k/m²¥120k/m²
2018¥241k/m²¥224k/m²¥120k/m²
2019¥252k/m²¥239k/m²¥130k/m²
2020¥228k/m²¥200k/m²¥130k/m²
2021¥318k/m²¥183k/m²¥145k/m²
2022¥292k/m²¥183k/m²¥150k/m²
2023¥300k/m²¥168k/m²¥150k/m²
2024¥273k/m²¥200k/m²¥150k/m²
2025¥338k/m²¥214k/m²¥160k/m²
2026 (partial)¥407k/m²¥167k/m²¥200k/m²
Price per m² by building age (2021–2025 sales)
¥0¥200k¥400k¥600k05101520253035404550
Show data table
Building age (years)CondoHouse
0–¥370k/m²
1–¥340k/m²
10¥514k/m²–
11¥529k/m²–
12¥507k/m²–
13¥483k/m²–
14¥571k/m²¥273k/m²
15–¥264k/m²
16–¥218k/m²
17–¥213k/m²
18¥400k/m²¥259k/m²
19–¥246k/m²
20¥352k/m²¥248k/m²
21¥369k/m²¥250k/m²
22–¥189k/m²
24–¥218k/m²
25¥345k/m²¥153k/m²
26–¥193k/m²
27¥300k/m²¥162k/m²
28–¥148k/m²
29–¥230k/m²
30–¥205k/m²
32–¥146k/m²
33–¥130k/m²
34–¥141k/m²
35–¥152k/m²
36¥218k/m²¥143k/m²
37¥164k/m²¥142k/m²
38¥250k/m²¥110k/m²
39–¥133k/m²
40¥229k/m²¥88k/m²
41–¥125k/m²
42¥121k/m²¥65k/m²
43¥117k/m²¥85k/m²
44–¥98k/m²
45–¥96k/m²
46–¥94k/m²
47–¥100k/m²
48–¥100k/m²
49¥144k/m²¥79k/m²
50¥151k/m²¥104k/m²
Condo price per m² by construction period
¥0¥200k¥400k¥600k2007200920112013201520172019202120232025

Each line follows buildings from one construction period over time. 1981 is when Japan's current earthquake-resistance standard (shin-taishin) took effect.

Show data table
Year1971-19801981-20002001-20102011-2020
2007–¥200k/m²––
2008–¥149k/m²––
2009–¥182k/m²¥385k/m²–
2010¥113k/m²¥146k/m²¥350k/m²–
2011–¥147k/m²¥319k/m²–
2012–¥144k/m²––
2013–¥162k/m²––
2014–¥155k/m²––
2015–¥152k/m²¥323k/m²–
2016–¥183k/m²––
2017–¥169k/m²¥311k/m²–
2018–¥200k/m²––
2019–¥215k/m²––
2021–¥200k/m²¥400k/m²¥517k/m²
2022–¥200k/m²¥400k/m²–
2023–¥238k/m²––
2024–¥217k/m²––
2025–¥256k/m²–¥571k/m²
House price per m² by construction period
¥0¥100k¥200k¥300k¥400k2007200920112013201520172019202120232025

Each line follows buildings from one construction period over time. 1981 is when Japan's current earthquake-resistance standard (shin-taishin) took effect.

Show data table
Year1971-19801981-20002001-20102011-2020
2007¥128k/m²¥189k/m²¥363k/m²–
2008¥139k/m²¥200k/m²¥354k/m²–
2009¥121k/m²¥168k/m²¥339k/m²–
2010¥108k/m²¥176k/m²¥345k/m²–
2011¥106k/m²¥138k/m²¥247k/m²¥347k/m²
2012¥105k/m²¥131k/m²¥211k/m²¥333k/m²
2013¥83k/m²¥129k/m²¥221k/m²¥330k/m²
2014¥75k/m²¥135k/m²¥213k/m²¥333k/m²
2015¥87k/m²¥141k/m²¥242k/m²¥330k/m²
2016¥108k/m²¥137k/m²¥200k/m²¥333k/m²
2017¥86k/m²¥154k/m²¥205k/m²¥360k/m²
2018¥109k/m²¥128k/m²¥193k/m²¥356k/m²
2019¥84k/m²¥141k/m²¥225k/m²¥347k/m²
2020¥100k/m²¥124k/m²¥218k/m²¥344k/m²
2021¥90k/m²¥134k/m²¥227k/m²¥292k/m²
2022¥92k/m²¥153k/m²¥248k/m²–
2023¥96k/m²¥157k/m²¥282k/m²–
2024¥103k/m²¥131k/m²¥265k/m²–
2025¥100k/m²¥153k/m²––
2026 (partial)¥90k/m²¥136k/m²––

Prices near train stations in Yao City

Sales from 2023–2025, grouped by nearest station.

StationMedian used condo priceCondo price per m²Median house price (land + building)Walk (min)SalesDaily passengers (2023)
Kintetsu Yao (近鉄八尾)¥26.0M¥452k/m²¥26.5M1120033,208-12% vs 2019
Kawachi Yamamoto (河内山本)¥14.5M¥242k/m²¥21.0M1418617,031-16% vs 2019
Yao (八尾)¥18.0M¥283k/m²¥19.0M918223,750-10% vs 2019
Kyuhoji (久宝寺)¥40.0M¥571k/m²¥35.0M1011033,894-6% vs 2019
Shiki(Osaka) (志紀)¥10.0M¥175k/m²¥17.0M1010618,590-12% vs 2019
Takayasu (高安)––¥15.0M118710,103-10% vs 2019
Yao Minami (八尾南)¥8.8M¥158k/m²¥33.5M187710,513-9% vs 2019
Onji (恩智)––¥25.0M7484,693-12% vs 2019
Kyuhojiguchi (久宝寺口)––¥21.5M9454,680-14% vs 2019
Deto (出戸)––¥9.7M151413,289-16% vs 2019
Hattorigawa (服部川)––¥5.3M13131,572-23% vs 2019
Mito(Osaka) (弥刀)––¥23.0M6109,292-10% vs 2019

Used condo prices by layout in Yao City

Sales from 2023–2025.

LayoutMedian used condo priceTypical sizeSales
3LDK¥21.0M65 m²127
2LDK¥19.5M60 m²42
4LDK¥19.0M80 m²19

How much does an apartment cost in Yao City?

The median used condo (mansion) in Yao City sold for ¥23.0M in 2025, about ¥338k/m², based on 95 recorded sales.

How much does a house cost in Yao City?

The median house sale, including the land, was ¥23.0M in 2025 across 304 sales.

Are property prices in Yao City going up?

Over the five years to 2025, condo prices per m² changed +48.2% and residential land prices changed +23.1%.

About this data

Figures are medians of real transactions reported to Japan's Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism (MLIT) through its quarterly price survey. House prices per m² divide the total price (land and building) by the floor area. Medians based on fewer than 20 sales are not shown. The latest quarters are preliminary and are revised as more survey responses arrive.

Information only, not investment advice.