Tunnel of Light, Tokamachi, Niigata
Photo: Tunnel of Light, Tokamachi, Niigata · Susann Schuster / Unsplash

Agano City Housing Market Report 2026

Data updated 2026-11-11 · Source: MLIT transaction price survey, 2005 Q3–2026 Q2 · Transactions in 2025: 54

In short

  1. 1
    The trend has turned down

    After rising earlier, house prices per m² have slipped by about 11.9% a year over the last five years.

  2. 2
    Moving with Niigata

    Per m², houses here are 54% below the Niigata average.

  3. 3
    Sales are thinning out

    Transactions are down about 38% on the previous three years.

  4. 4
    What a typical purchase costs

    Half of all house sales last year were between ¥1.5M and ¥14.8M.

The answers, compared

What does a home cost?

¥3.6M

median house · ¥31k/m²

60% below the Niigata median

19 of 23 areas in Niigata, highest first

Are prices rising?

+48.6%

over 5 years

Faster than Niigata (+27.2%)

2 of 26 areas in Niigata, highest first

Can local earners afford it?

1.3× income

median price ÷ average taxable income

Easier than Niigata (5.0×)

21 of 25 areas in Niigata, highest first

Rent or buy?

6years of rent

median price ÷ a year of median rent

Shorter than Niigata (27)

22 of 25 areas in Niigata, highest first

Are people moving in?

-7.7%

population, 2020–25

Shrinking faster than Niigata (-6.0%)

16 of 26 areas in Niigata, highest first

How risky is it?

10%

chance of strong shaking (6-lower+) in 30 years

In line with Niigata (12%)

14 of 26 areas in Niigata, highest first

Rent in Agano City

The average private rental costs ¥46k a month (2023), +9.2% since 2018. Niigata: ¥51k

Floor areaAverage rent / month
30–49 m²
1LDK / 2DK
¥43k
vs 2018 -2.8% · Niigata: ¥51k
Rent per m²
¥1,051
median, per month · Niigata: ¥1,293

Source: Statistics Bureau of Japan, Housing and Land Survey 2023. Privately owned rentals (excluding rent-free homes), monthly rent without management fees. These averages include older homes, so they run below asking rents for newly listed units. 1,110 rented homes.

What the data says

The trend has turned down

After rising earlier, house prices per m² have slipped by about 11.9% a year over the last five years. That often reflects weaker local demand, so check vacancy and population trends before buying.

Moving with Niigata

Per m², houses here are 54% below the Niigata average. That position has barely changed in ten years, so it moves with the wider market.

Sales are thinning out

Transactions are down about 38% on the previous three years. Fewer sales mean less choice and slower resale, so allow more time to sell later.

What a typical purchase costs

Half of all house sales last year were between ¥1.5M and ¥14.8M. Listings outside that range are either unusual properties or worth a closer look.

A shrinking population

The population fell 7.7% between 2020 and 2025 (−6% for the wider area). More people moved out than in during 2025 (about 5.8 per 1,000 residents), which weakens long-term housing demand. Households still grew 0.7% as people live in smaller households, which supports demand for smaller homes even as the population shrinks.

Typical vacancy

17% of homes were empty in 2023 (15.3% for the wider area), and 6.7% were empty without being for rent, for sale or used as second homes. The level of abandoned homes is around the national norm. About 7.5% of homes are second homes, which points to a resort or holiday-home market.

Lower earthquake risk

The government's seismic model gives a 10% chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or stronger in the next 30 years (12% for the wider area). This is low by Japanese standards, although no part of Japan is free of earthquake risk.

Local incomes are below average

Taxpayers here reported an average taxable income of ¥2.8m in 2023 (¥3.2m for the wider area). That is +13% since 2014. Averages are pulled up by a few very high earners, so a typical household earns less than this.

Official land prices are still falling

On the government's fixed benchmark sites, which are valued the same way every year, residential land prices changed 0% in the year to January 2026 and -4% over five years. Because these sites don't change, this is the cleanest measure of land value trends.

Some flood or landslide exposure

Of the official land-price benchmark sites here, which sit in typical neighbourhoods, 63% are inside the worst-case flood zone (13% with expected depths of 3 m or more). Most worst-case flood zones are shallow (under 0.5 m) at the edges, so depth matters as much as the share. Check the hazard map for any specific address before buying.

Living in Agano City: people, homes and risks

Population 2025
37,547
-7.7% since 2020
Niigata: -6.0%
Net moves in 2025
-217
-5.78 per 1,000 residents
Niigata: -3.08
Vacant homes (2023)
17.0%
6.7% empty and not for rent or sale
Niigata: 15.3%
Median rent (2023)
¥46k
per month, all rented homes
Niigata: ¥49k
Strong earthquake risk
10.2%
chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or more within 30 years
Niigata: 11.9%
Average income per taxpayer
¥2.8M
taxable income in 2023
Niigata: ¥3.2M
Daytime population
91
people here by day per 100 residents (2020 census)
Foreign residents
1.2%
462 registered residents in 2024
Niigata: 1.1%
Clinics
6.7
per 10,000 residents; 2 hospitals, 17 dental clinics (2020)
Niigata: 8.2
Official land price 2026
¥21k/m²
-0.5% in a year · -4.2% in 5 years
Niigata: ¥28k/m²
Flood exposure
62.5%
of 8 benchmark sites in a worst-case flood zone (12.5% 3 m or deeper)
Niigata: 64.2%
Landslide exposure
0.0%
of 8 benchmark sites in a landslide warning area
Niigata: 2.7%

Check flood, landslide and tsunami zones for a specific address on the government hazard map ↗

Sources: 2025 Census (preliminary), 2025 Internal Migration Report, 2023 Housing and Land Survey (Statistics Bureau of Japan); J-SHIS seismic hazard model (NIED, 2024); Land Price Publication (MLIT); recorded crime: Tokyo Metropolitan Police Department (Tokyo only); incomes: Ministry of Internal Affairs taxation survey via the Statistics Bureau's municipal indicators; foreign residents: Basic Resident Register; medical facilities and station passengers: MLIT National Land Numerical Information. Earthquake probability is measured at the municipal center.

Example sales in Agano City

Real transactions from the last four quarters, picked near the lower (20th percentile), middle and upper (80th percentile) price points. Locations are shown at district level, as published by MLIT.

House

Lower-priced2025 Q4

¥2.5M

¥38k/m²

  • Jiromaru
  • Suibara
  • Land 350 m² · floor 65 m²
  • Built 1985 (40 yrs) · Wood
Typical2025 Q3

¥4.2M

¥53k/m²

  • Jiromaru
  • Suibara
  • Land 210 m² · floor 80 m²
  • Built 1996 (29 yrs)
Higher-priced2026 Q2

¥16.0M

¥21k/m²

  • Kubo
  • Suibara
  • Land 1000 m² · floor 760 m²
  • Built 1993 (33 yrs) · RC
Median transaction price by year
¥0¥5.0M¥10.0M¥15.0M2007200920112013201520172019202120232025
Show data table
YearHouse
2007–
2008–
2009¥6.5M
2010¥5.0M
2011¥9.4M
2012¥6.0M
2013¥8.0M
2014¥7.2M
2015¥5.0M
2016¥6.8M
2017¥8.8M
2018¥7.0M
2019¥8.0M
2020¥6.8M
2021¥8.0M
2022¥12.0M
2023¥5.0M
2024¥5.9M
2025¥3.6M
Median price per m² by year
¥0¥50k¥100k2007200920112013201520172019202120232025
Show data table
YearHouseLand
2007–¥25k/m²
2008–¥21k/m²
2009¥66k/m²¥15k/m²
2010¥83k/m²¥16k/m²
2011¥55k/m²¥19k/m²
2012¥66k/m²¥15k/m²
2013¥64k/m²¥10k/m²
2014¥40k/m²¥8k/m²
2015¥36k/m²¥15k/m²
2016¥58k/m²¥18k/m²
2017¥60k/m²¥12k/m²
2018¥53k/m²¥9k/m²
2019¥67k/m²¥19k/m²
2020¥58k/m²¥7k/m²
2021¥66k/m²¥8k/m²
2022¥86k/m²¥21k/m²
2023¥35k/m²¥12k/m²
2024¥36k/m²–
2025¥31k/m²¥11k/m²
Price per m² by building age (2021–2025 sales)
¥0¥100k¥200k¥300k05101520253035404550
Show data table
Building age (years)House
0¥250k/m²
50¥11k/m²

Prices near train stations in Agano City

Sales from 2023–2025, grouped by nearest station.

StationMedian used condo priceCondo price per m²Median house price (land + building)Walk (min)Sales
Suibara (水原)––¥4.0M1472
Kyogase (京ケ瀬)––¥15.0M–13

How much does a house cost in Agano City?

The median house sale, including the land, was ¥3.6M in 2025 across 24 sales.

Are property prices in Agano City going up?

Over the five years to 2025, residential land prices changed +48.6%.

About this data

Figures are medians of real transactions reported to Japan's Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism (MLIT) through its quarterly price survey. House prices per m² divide the total price (land and building) by the floor area. Medians based on fewer than 20 sales are not shown. The latest quarters are preliminary and are revised as more survey responses arrive.

Information only, not investment advice.