Kumamoto Castle, Kumamoto
Photo: Kumamoto Castle, Kumamoto · Mohammed Kertiou / Unsplash

Kikuyo Housing Market 2026: The TSMC Town

Data updated 2026-11-11 · Source: MLIT transaction price survey, 2005 Q3–2026 Q2 · Transactions in 2025: 111

In short

  1. 1
    A chip plant changed the market

    Kikuyo, a town next to Kumamoto city, is home to the TSMC (JASM) semiconductor plant that opened in 2024, with a second plant planned.

  2. 2
    Houses and land

    Most sales are houses and land.

  3. 3
    A growing town

    Population grew 2.8% between 2020 and 2025 while Kumamoto Prefecture shrank 3.5%, and households grew almost 10%.

The answers, compared

What does a home cost?

¥37.0M

median house · ¥297k/m²

2.1× the Kumamoto median

1 of 17 areas in Kumamoto, highest first

Are prices rising?

-55.3%

over 5 years

Slower than Kumamoto (+29.5%)

19 of 19 areas in Kumamoto, highest first

Can local earners afford it?

9.6× income

median price ÷ average taxable income

Harder than Kumamoto (5.7×)

1 of 19 areas in Kumamoto, highest first

Rent or buy?

57years of rent

median price ÷ a year of median rent

Longer than Kumamoto (34)

2 of 19 areas in Kumamoto, highest first

Are people moving in?

+2.8%

population, 2020–25

Growing while Kumamoto shrinks (-3.5%)

4 of 21 areas in Kumamoto, highest first

How risky is it?

9%

chance of strong shaking (6-lower+) in 30 years

Lower than Kumamoto (15%)

15 of 21 areas in Kumamoto, highest first

A chip plant changed the market

Kikuyo, a town next to Kumamoto city, is home to the TSMC (JASM) semiconductor plant that opened in 2024, with a second plant planned. Benchmark residential land rose 47% over the past five years and about 6% in the past year. Houses now cost about 2.2 times the Kumamoto average per m², up from 1.8 times ten years ago.

Houses and land

Most sales are houses and land. The median house sold for about ¥37M in 2025, against about ¥24M in 2015. Prices per m² have risen about 3% a year over the past five years, slower than land. Sales rose about 9% in 2025.

A growing town

Population grew 2.8% between 2020 and 2025 while Kumamoto Prefecture shrank 3.5%, and households grew almost 10%. Vacancy is low (about 7%), and the median rent of about ¥54,000 is high for the area, as plant workers and engineers look for homes.

Stations

Most homes are near Haramizu and Hikari-no-Mori on the JR Hohi line, but most residents drive. Station distance has little effect on price.

Risks

The 30-year probability of 6-lower shaking is about 9%, but the town is close to the Futagawa fault, which caused the 2016 Kumamoto earthquakes in neighbouring Mashiki. About a third of benchmark sites are in a shallow flood zone along the Shirakawa river.

Living in Kikuyo Town, Kikuchi County: people, homes and risks

Population 2025
44,548
+2.8% since 2020
Kumamoto: -3.5%
Net moves in 2025
+103
+2.31 per 1,000 residents
Kumamoto: -1.39
Vacant homes (2023)
6.7%
0.9% empty and not for rent or sale
Kumamoto: 14.9%
Median rent (2023)
¥54k
per month, all rented homes
Kumamoto: ¥47k
Strong earthquake risk
9.0%
chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or more within 30 years
Kumamoto: 14.9%
Average income per taxpayer
¥3.9M
taxable income in 2023
Kumamoto: ¥3.3M
Daytime population
98
people here by day per 100 residents (2020 census)
Foreign residents
2.4%
1,032 registered residents in 2024
Kumamoto: 1.7%
Clinics
7.2
per 10,000 residents; 4 hospitals, 21 dental clinics (2020)
Kumamoto: 8.9
Official land price 2026
¥80k/m²
+6.3% in a year · +46.6% in 5 years
Kumamoto: ¥54k/m²
Flood exposure
33.3%
of 9 benchmark sites in a worst-case flood zone (0.0% 3 m or deeper)
Kumamoto: 51.3%
Landslide exposure
0.0%
of 9 benchmark sites in a landslide warning area
Kumamoto: 0.8%

Check flood, landslide and tsunami zones for a specific address on the government hazard map ↗

Sources: 2025 Census (preliminary), 2025 Internal Migration Report, 2023 Housing and Land Survey (Statistics Bureau of Japan); J-SHIS seismic hazard model (NIED, 2024); Land Price Publication (MLIT); recorded crime: Tokyo Metropolitan Police Department (Tokyo only); incomes: Ministry of Internal Affairs taxation survey via the Statistics Bureau's municipal indicators; foreign residents: Basic Resident Register; medical facilities and station passengers: MLIT National Land Numerical Information. Earthquake probability is measured at the municipal center.

Example sales in Kikuyo Town, Kikuchi County

Real transactions from the last four quarters, picked near the lower (20th percentile), middle and upper (80th percentile) price points. Locations are shown at district level, as published by MLIT.

House

Lower-priced2025 Q4

¥28.0M

¥255k/m²

  • Oaza Haramizu
  • Haramizu · 25 min walk
  • Land 280 m² · floor 110 m²
  • Built 2025 (0 yrs) · Wood
Typical2025 Q4

¥37.0M

¥308k/m²

  • Oaza Haramizu
  • Haramizu · 10 min walk
  • Land 210 m² · floor 120 m²
  • Built 2025 (0 yrs) · Wood
Higher-priced2025 Q4

¥74.0M

¥322k/m²

  • Oaza Haramizu
  • Haramizu · 11 min walk
  • Land 420 m² · floor 230 m²
  • Built 2025 (0 yrs) · Wood
Median transaction price by year
¥0¥20.0M¥40.0M¥60.0M2007200920112013201520172019202120232025
Show data table
YearHouse
2007–
2008¥34.0M
2009¥25.0M
2010¥29.0M
2011¥30.0M
2012¥29.0M
2013¥26.0M
2014¥29.0M
2015¥23.5M
2016–
2017¥28.0M
2018¥28.0M
2019¥34.0M
2020¥33.0M
2021¥29.5M
2022¥36.0M
2023¥39.0M
2024¥41.0M
2025¥37.0M
Median price per m² by year
¥0¥100k¥200k¥300k¥400k2007200920112013201520172019202120232025
Show data table
YearHouseLand
2007–¥50k/m²
2008¥263k/m²¥50k/m²
2009¥200k/m²¥53k/m²
2010¥243k/m²¥47k/m²
2011¥218k/m²¥45k/m²
2012¥238k/m²¥42k/m²
2013¥182k/m²¥40k/m²
2014¥231k/m²¥42k/m²
2015¥208k/m²¥25k/m²
2016–¥30k/m²
2017¥226k/m²¥35k/m²
2018¥250k/m²¥48k/m²
2019¥273k/m²¥50k/m²
2020¥263k/m²¥47k/m²
2021¥244k/m²¥48k/m²
2022¥296k/m²¥52k/m²
2023¥314k/m²¥59k/m²
2024¥324k/m²¥76k/m²
2025¥297k/m²¥21k/m²
Price per m² by building age (2021–2025 sales)
¥0¥100k¥200k¥300k¥400k01
Show data table
Building age (years)House
0¥330k/m²
1¥296k/m²
House price per m² by construction period
¥0¥100k¥200k¥300k¥400k20102011201220132014201520162017201820192020

Each line follows buildings from one construction period over time. 1981 is when Japan's current earthquake-resistance standard (shin-taishin) took effect.

Show data table
Year2001-20102011-2020
2010¥255k/m²–
2012–¥265k/m²
2018–¥290k/m²
2020–¥313k/m²

Prices near train stations in Kikuyo Town, Kikuchi County

Sales from 2023–2025, grouped by nearest station.

StationMedian used condo priceCondo price per m²Median house price (land + building)Walk (min)SalesDaily passengers (2023)
Haramizu (原水)––¥44.0M15762,890+45% vs 2019
Sanrigi (三里木)––¥35.5M9261,388+20% vs 2019
Hikari no Mori (光の森)––¥36.5M12204,998-8% vs 2019
Musashizuka (武蔵塚)––¥36.5M20144,332-4% vs 2019

How much does a house cost in Kikuyo Town, Kikuchi County?

The median house sale, including the land, was ¥37.0M in 2025 across 46 sales.

Are property prices in Kikuyo Town, Kikuchi County going up?

Over the five years to 2025, residential land prices changed -55.3%.

About this data

Figures are medians of real transactions reported to Japan's Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism (MLIT) through its quarterly price survey. House prices per m² divide the total price (land and building) by the floor area. Medians based on fewer than 20 sales are not shown. The latest quarters are preliminary and are revised as more survey responses arrive.

Information only, not investment advice.