Kita Ward, Kumamoto City Housing Market Report 2026
Data updated 2026-11-11 · Source: MLIT transaction price survey, 2005 Q3–2026 Q2 · Transactions in 2025: 189
In short
- 1Prices are still rising, but more slowly
Growth has cooled to about 0.1% a year, down from 6.5% a year in the previous five years.
- 2Outperforming Kumamoto
Per m², houses here are 18% above the Kumamoto average.
- 3A modest station premium
Houses within a 5-minute walk of a station sell for about 7% more per m² than those 11–15 minutes away.
- 4What a typical purchase costs
Half of all house sales last year were between ¥11.0M and ¥32.0M.
The answers, compared
What does a home cost?
¥22.0M
median house · ¥158k/m²
9% above the Kumamoto median
5 of 17 areas in Kumamoto, highest first
Are prices rising?
+35.9%
over 5 years
Faster than Kumamoto (+29.5%)
3 of 19 areas in Kumamoto, highest first
Can local earners afford it?
6.1× income
median price ÷ average taxable income
Harder than Kumamoto (5.7×)
7 of 19 areas in Kumamoto, highest first
Rent or buy?
38years of rent
median price ÷ a year of median rent
Longer than Kumamoto (34)
7 of 19 areas in Kumamoto, highest first
Are people moving in?
-3.4%
population, 2020–25
Shrinking slower than Kumamoto (-3.5%)
10 of 21 areas in Kumamoto, highest first
How risky is it?
4%
chance of strong shaking (6-lower+) in 30 years
Lower than Kumamoto (15%)
21 of 21 areas in Kumamoto, highest first
Rent in Kita Ward, Kumamoto City
The average private rental costs ¥52k a month (2023), +7.7% since 2018. Kumamoto: ¥51k
| Floor area | Typical layout | Average rent / month | Kita Ward, Kumamoto CityKumamoto |
|---|---|---|---|
| under 30 m² studio / 1K | studio / 1K | ¥36k vs 2018 +0.7% · Kumamoto: ¥40k | |
| 30–49 m² 1LDK / 2DK | 1LDK / 2DK | ¥48k vs 2018 -0.7% · Kumamoto: ¥48k | |
| 50–69 m² 2LDK / 3DK | 2LDK / 3DK | ¥56k vs 2018 +6.6% · Kumamoto: ¥56k | |
| 70–99 m² 3LDK / family | 3LDK / family | ¥62k vs 2018 +14.5% · Kumamoto: ¥65k | |
| 100–149 m² mostly houses | mostly houses | ¥60k vs 2018 -0.7% · Kumamoto: ¥58k |
- Rent per m²
- ¥1,096
- median, per month · Kumamoto: ¥1,208
Source: Statistics Bureau of Japan, Housing and Land Survey 2023. Privately owned rentals (excluding rent-free homes), monthly rent without management fees. These averages include older homes, so they run below asking rents for newly listed units. 15,900 rented homes.
What the data says
Prices are still rising, but more slowly
Growth has cooled to about 0.1% a year, down from 6.5% a year in the previous five years. This looks more like a maturing market than a turning point, and it gives buyers a bit more room to negotiate.
Outperforming Kumamoto
Per m², houses here are 18% above the Kumamoto average. The premium has grown from 4% ten years ago, so Kita Ward, Kumamoto City has been outperforming its surroundings.
A modest station premium
Houses within a 5-minute walk of a station sell for about 7% more per m² than those 11–15 minutes away. The penalty for a longer walk is mild, so it is worth widening your search radius.
What a typical purchase costs
Half of all house sales last year were between ¥11.0M and ¥32.0M. Listings outside that range are either unusual properties or worth a closer look.
A shrinking population
The population fell 3.4% between 2020 and 2025 (−3.5% for the wider area). More people moved out than in during 2025 (about 3.4 per 1,000 residents), which weakens long-term housing demand. Households still grew 1.6% as people live in smaller households, which supports demand for smaller homes even as the population shrinks.
Typical vacancy
12.5% of homes were empty in 2023 (14.9% for the wider area), and 5.5% were empty without being for rent, for sale or used as second homes. The level of abandoned homes is around the national norm.
Lower earthquake risk
The government's seismic model gives a 4% chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or stronger in the next 30 years (15% for the wider area). This is low by Japanese standards, although no part of Japan is free of earthquake risk.
Local incomes are close to average
Taxpayers in the city as a whole reported an average taxable income of ¥3.6m in 2023 (¥3.3m for the wider area). That is +19% since 2014. Averages are pulled up by a few very high earners, so a typical household earns less than this.
Official land prices are edging up
On the government's fixed benchmark sites, which are valued the same way every year, residential land prices changed +2% in the year to January 2026 and +12% over five years. They are still 26% below their 1991 bubble-era level. Because these sites don't change, this is the cleanest measure of land value trends.
Little exposure to flooding
Very few of the official benchmark sites here fall in flood, tsunami or landslide zones, so most typical neighbourhoods are outside mapped hazard areas.
Living in Kita Ward, Kumamoto City: people, homes and risks
- Population 2025
- 135,070
- -3.4% since 2020
- Kumamoto: -3.5%
- Net moves in 2025
- -456
- -3.38 per 1,000 residents
- Kumamoto: -1.39
- Vacant homes (2023)
- 12.5%
- 5.5% empty and not for rent or sale
- Kumamoto: 14.9%
- Median rent (2023)
- ¥48k
- per month, all rented homes
- Kumamoto: ¥47k
- Strong earthquake risk
- 3.9%
- chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or more within 30 years
- Kumamoto: 14.9%
- Average income per taxpayer
- ¥3.6M
- taxable income in 2023, citywide figure
- Kumamoto: ¥3.3M
- Daytime population
- 90
- people here by day per 100 residents (2020 census)
- Foreign residents
- 1.4%
- 1,982 registered residents in 2024
- Kumamoto: 1.7%
- Clinics
- 7.3
- per 10,000 residents; 15 hospitals, 63 dental clinics (2020)
- Kumamoto: 8.9
- Official land price 2026
- ¥54k/m²
- +2.2% in a year · +11.5% in 5 years
- Kumamoto: ¥54k/m²
- Flood exposure
- 4.8%
- of 21 benchmark sites in a worst-case flood zone (0.0% 3 m or deeper)
- Kumamoto: 51.3%
- Landslide exposure
- 0.0%
- of 21 benchmark sites in a landslide warning area
- Kumamoto: 0.8%
Check flood, landslide and tsunami zones for a specific address on the government hazard map ↗
Sources: 2025 Census (preliminary), 2025 Internal Migration Report, 2023 Housing and Land Survey (Statistics Bureau of Japan); J-SHIS seismic hazard model (NIED, 2024); Land Price Publication (MLIT); recorded crime: Tokyo Metropolitan Police Department (Tokyo only); incomes: Ministry of Internal Affairs taxation survey via the Statistics Bureau's municipal indicators; foreign residents: Basic Resident Register; medical facilities and station passengers: MLIT National Land Numerical Information. Earthquake probability is measured at the municipal center.
Example sales in Kita Ward, Kumamoto City
Real transactions from the last four quarters, picked near the lower (20th percentile), middle and upper (80th percentile) price points. Locations are shown at district level, as published by MLIT.
House
¥10.0M
¥100k/m²
- Asoda
- Musashizuka
- Land 250 m² · floor 100 m²
- Built 1974 (51 yrs) · Wood
¥23.0M
¥242k/m²
- Uekimachiiwano
- Ueki
- Land 260 m² · floor 95 m²
- Built 2026 (0 yrs) · Wood
¥34.0M
¥324k/m²
- Asoda
- Shinsuya · 20 min walk
- Land 145 m² · floor 105 m²
- Built 2025 (0 yrs) · Wood
Show data table
| Year | House |
|---|---|
| 2007 | ¥20.0M |
| 2008 | ¥18.0M |
| 2009 | ¥16.0M |
| 2010 | ¥18.0M |
| 2011 | ¥16.0M |
| 2012 | ¥17.0M |
| 2013 | ¥17.0M |
| 2014 | ¥13.0M |
| 2015 | ¥16.5M |
| 2016 | ¥16.0M |
| 2017 | ¥18.0M |
| 2018 | ¥21.0M |
| 2019 | ¥21.0M |
| 2020 | ¥20.0M |
| 2021 | ¥20.0M |
| 2022 | ¥18.0M |
| 2023 | ¥23.0M |
| 2024 | ¥24.0M |
| 2025 | ¥22.0M |
| 2026 (partial) | ¥23.0M |
Show data table
| Year | House | Land |
|---|---|---|
| 2007 | ¥154k/m² | ¥38k/m² |
| 2008 | ¥159k/m² | ¥36k/m² |
| 2009 | ¥119k/m² | ¥27k/m² |
| 2010 | ¥130k/m² | ¥28k/m² |
| 2011 | ¥127k/m² | ¥33k/m² |
| 2012 | ¥124k/m² | ¥34k/m² |
| 2013 | ¥148k/m² | ¥35k/m² |
| 2014 | ¥118k/m² | ¥33k/m² |
| 2015 | ¥131k/m² | ¥30k/m² |
| 2016 | ¥114k/m² | ¥37k/m² |
| 2017 | ¥152k/m² | ¥36k/m² |
| 2018 | ¥165k/m² | ¥38k/m² |
| 2019 | ¥164k/m² | ¥42k/m² |
| 2020 | ¥178k/m² | ¥32k/m² |
| 2021 | ¥174k/m² | ¥38k/m² |
| 2022 | ¥150k/m² | ¥44k/m² |
| 2023 | ¥174k/m² | ¥38k/m² |
| 2024 | ¥182k/m² | ¥34k/m² |
| 2025 | ¥158k/m² | ¥44k/m² |
| 2026 (partial) | ¥180k/m² | ¥45k/m² |
Show data table
| Building age (years) | House |
|---|---|
| 0 | ¥280k/m² |
| 1 | ¥259k/m² |
| 28 | ¥101k/m² |
| 30 | ¥170k/m² |
| 31 | ¥114k/m² |
| 32 | ¥91k/m² |
| 33 | ¥121k/m² |
| 36 | ¥103k/m² |
| 40 | ¥80k/m² |
| 41 | ¥79k/m² |
| 42 | ¥100k/m² |
| 43 | ¥94k/m² |
| 44 | ¥136k/m² |
| 45 | ¥64k/m² |
| 46 | ¥83k/m² |
| 48 | ¥158k/m² |
| 49 | ¥110k/m² |
| 50 | ¥82k/m² |
Each line follows buildings from one construction period over time. 1981 is when Japan's current earthquake-resistance standard (shin-taishin) took effect.
Show data table
| Year | 1971-1980 | 1981-2000 | 2001-2010 | 2011-2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 | – | ¥120k/m² | – | – |
| 2008 | – | ¥110k/m² | ¥254k/m² | – |
| 2009 | ¥118k/m² | ¥96k/m² | ¥219k/m² | – |
| 2010 | ¥97k/m² | ¥113k/m² | ¥217k/m² | – |
| 2011 | ¥85k/m² | ¥111k/m² | – | ¥253k/m² |
| 2012 | ¥86k/m² | ¥92k/m² | – | ¥230k/m² |
| 2013 | ¥92k/m² | ¥135k/m² | – | ¥248k/m² |
| 2014 | ¥94k/m² | ¥103k/m² | – | – |
| 2015 | ¥83k/m² | ¥96k/m² | – | ¥250k/m² |
| 2016 | – | ¥100k/m² | – | ¥243k/m² |
| 2017 | – | ¥108k/m² | – | ¥253k/m² |
| 2018 | – | ¥128k/m² | – | ¥259k/m² |
| 2019 | ¥95k/m² | ¥120k/m² | – | ¥244k/m² |
| 2020 | ¥80k/m² | ¥113k/m² | – | ¥243k/m² |
| 2021 | ¥118k/m² | ¥124k/m² | – | – |
| 2022 | ¥98k/m² | ¥103k/m² | – | – |
| 2023 | – | ¥108k/m² | – | – |
| 2024 | – | ¥103k/m² | – | – |
| 2025 | – | ¥105k/m² | – | – |
Prices near train stations in Kita Ward, Kumamoto City
Sales from 2023–2025, grouped by nearest station.
| Station | Median used condo price | Condo price per m² | Median house price (land + building) | Walk (min) | Sales | Daily passengers (2023) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Musashizuka (武蔵塚) | – | – | ¥27.0M | 18 | 89 | 4,332-4% vs 2019 |
| Ueki (植木) | – | – | ¥14.0M | 16 | 75 | 1,470+5% vs 2019 |
| Horikawa (堀川) | – | – | ¥23.0M | 9 | 47 | 654+12% vs 2019 |
| Nishisato (西里) | – | – | ¥24.0M | 23 | 31 | 1,756-5% vs 2019 |
| Mitsuishi(Kumamoto) (三ツ石) | – | – | ¥20.0M | 22 | 26 | 314-8% vs 2019 |
| Tatsutaguchi (竜田口) | – | – | ¥19.0M | 21 | 25 | 1,490+2% vs 2019 |
| Hakenomiya (八景水谷) | – | – | ¥23.5M | 8 | 24 | 408+5% vs 2019 |
| Kitakumamoto (北熊本) | – | – | ¥28.0M | 8 | 18 | 700-16% vs 2019 |
| Shinsuya (新須屋) | – | – | ¥24.0M | 15 | 17 | 526-16% vs 2019 |
| Sojodaigaku Mae (崇城大学前) | – | – | ¥26.5M | 26 | 13 | 3,098+9% vs 2019 |
| Hikari no Mori (光の森) | – | – | – | 11 | 10 | 4,998-8% vs 2019 |
Used condo prices by layout in Kita Ward, Kumamoto City
Sales from 2023–2025.
| Layout | Median used condo price | Typical size | Sales |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3LDK | ¥21.0M | 70 m² | 21 |
How much does a house cost in Kita Ward, Kumamoto City?
The median house sale, including the land, was ¥22.0M in 2025 across 117 sales.
Are property prices in Kita Ward, Kumamoto City going up?
Over the five years to 2025, residential land prices changed +35.9%.
About this data
Figures are medians of real transactions reported to Japan's Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism (MLIT) through its quarterly price survey. House prices per m² divide the total price (land and building) by the floor area. Medians based on fewer than 20 sales are not shown. The latest quarters are preliminary and are revised as more survey responses arrive.
Information only, not investment advice.