Tokigawa Town, Hiki County Housing Market Report 2026
Data updated 2026-11-11 · Source: MLIT transaction price survey, 2005 Q3–2026 Q2 · Transactions in 2025: 32
In short
- 1A shrinking population
The population fell 7% between 2020 and 2025 (−0.8% for the wider area).
- 2Lower earthquake risk
The government's seismic model gives a 7% chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or stronger in the next 30 years (52% for the wider area).
- 3Local incomes are below average
Taxpayers here reported an average taxable income of ¥3.0m in 2023 (¥3.9m for the wider area).
The answers, compared
Are people moving in?
-7.0%
population, 2020–25
Shrinking faster than Saitama (-0.8%)
59 of 63 areas in Saitama, highest first
How risky is it?
7%
chance of strong shaking (6-lower+) in 30 years
Lower than Saitama (52%)
58 of 63 areas in Saitama, highest first
Key figures for 2025
- Residential land per m² (sales)
- ¥5k/m²
- Transactions in 2025
- 32
What the data says
A shrinking population
The population fell 7% between 2020 and 2025 (−0.8% for the wider area). More people moved out than in during 2025 (about 4.6 per 1,000 residents), which weakens long-term housing demand.
Lower earthquake risk
The government's seismic model gives a 7% chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or stronger in the next 30 years (52% for the wider area). This is low by Japanese standards, although no part of Japan is free of earthquake risk.
Local incomes are below average
Taxpayers here reported an average taxable income of ¥3.0m in 2023 (¥3.9m for the wider area). That is +15% since 2014. Averages are pulled up by a few very high earners, so a typical household earns less than this.
Living in Tokigawa Town, Hiki County: people, homes and risks
- Population 2025
- 9,806
- -7.0% since 2020
- Saitama: -0.8%
- Net moves in 2025
- -45
- -4.59 per 1,000 residents
- Saitama: +3.08
- Strong earthquake risk
- 7.3%
- chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or more within 30 years
- Saitama: 52.1%
- Average income per taxpayer
- ¥3.0M
- taxable income in 2023
- Saitama: ¥3.9M
- Daytime population
- 93
- people here by day per 100 residents (2020 census)
- Foreign residents
- 2.3%
- 233 registered residents in 2024
- Saitama: 3.5%
- Clinics
- 7.1
- per 10,000 residents; 0 hospitals, 4 dental clinics (2020)
- Saitama: 6.1
- Official land price 2026
- ¥17k/m²
- -1.2% in a year · – in 5 years
- Saitama: ¥122k/m²
- Flood exposure
- 0.0%
- of 3 benchmark sites in a worst-case flood zone (0.0% 3 m or deeper)
- Saitama: 45.4%
- Landslide exposure
- 0.0%
- of 3 benchmark sites in a landslide warning area
- Saitama: 0.2%
Check flood, landslide and tsunami zones for a specific address on the government hazard map ↗
Sources: 2025 Census (preliminary), 2025 Internal Migration Report, 2023 Housing and Land Survey (Statistics Bureau of Japan); J-SHIS seismic hazard model (NIED, 2024); Land Price Publication (MLIT); recorded crime: Tokyo Metropolitan Police Department (Tokyo only); incomes: Ministry of Internal Affairs taxation survey via the Statistics Bureau's municipal indicators; foreign residents: Basic Resident Register; medical facilities and station passengers: MLIT National Land Numerical Information. Earthquake probability is measured at the municipal center.
Example sales in Tokigawa Town, Hiki County
Real transactions from the last four quarters, picked near the lower (20th percentile), middle and upper (80th percentile) price points. Locations are shown at district level, as published by MLIT.
House
¥1.1M
¥12k/m²
- Oaza Tamagawa
- Myokaku · 25 min walk
- Land 180 m² · floor 90 m²
- Built 1993 (32 yrs) · Wood
¥3.0M
¥46k/m²
- Oaza Hongo
- Myokaku · 15 min walk
- Land 80 m² · floor 65 m²
- Built 1984 (41 yrs) · Wood
¥4.7M
¥72k/m²
- Oaza Tamagawa
- Myokaku · 14 min walk
- Land 180 m² · floor 65 m²
- Built 1980 (46 yrs) · Wood
Show data table
| Year | Land |
|---|---|
| 2008 | ¥22k/m² |
| 2010 | ¥9k/m² |
| 2022 | ¥2k/m² |
| 2025 | ¥5k/m² |
Prices near train stations in Tokigawa Town, Hiki County
Sales from 2023–2025, grouped by nearest station.
| Station | Median used condo price | Condo price per m² | Median house price (land + building) | Walk (min) | Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Myokaku (明覚) | – | – | ¥2.7M | 16 | 39 |
About this data
Figures are medians of real transactions reported to Japan's Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism (MLIT) through its quarterly price survey. House prices per m² divide the total price (land and building) by the floor area. Medians based on fewer than 20 sales are not shown. The latest quarters are preliminary and are revised as more survey responses arrive.
Information only, not investment advice.