Kawagoe, Saitama
Photo: Kawagoe, Saitama · note thanun / Unsplash

Minami Ward, Saitama City Housing Market Report 2026

Data updated 2026-11-11 · Source: MLIT transaction price survey, 2005 Q3–2026 Q2 · Transactions in 2025: 365

In short

  1. 1
    Price growth is speeding up

    Condo values per m² have risen about 4.6% a year over the past five years, faster than the 2.8% a year of the five years before.

  2. 2
    Lagging Saitama

    Per m², condos here are 40% above the Saitama average.

  3. 3
    Being near a station is worth a lot

    Condos within a 5-minute walk of a station sell for about 65% more per m² than those 11–15 minutes away.

  4. 4
    A family market

    68% of recent condo sales have three or more bedrooms.

The answers, compared

What does a home cost?

¥33.0M

median used condo · ¥527k/m²

27% above the Saitama median

7 of 37 areas in Saitama, highest first

Are prices rising?

+21.7%

over 5 years

Slower than Saitama (+32.2%)

24 of 55 areas in Saitama, highest first

Can local earners afford it?

7.4× income

median price ÷ average taxable income

Harder than Saitama (6.4×)

9 of 61 areas in Saitama, highest first

Rent or buy?

37years of rent

median price ÷ a year of median rent

Longer than Saitama (34)

12 of 61 areas in Saitama, highest first

Are people moving in?

+2.4%

population, 2020–25

Growing while Saitama shrinks (-0.8%)

5 of 63 areas in Saitama, highest first

How risky is it?

70%

chance of strong shaking (6-lower+) in 30 years

Higher than Saitama (52%)

14 of 63 areas in Saitama, highest first

Rent in Minami Ward, Saitama City

The average private rental costs ¥77k a month (2023), +2.8% since 2018. Saitama: ¥66k

Floor areaAverage rent / month
under 30 m²
studio / 1K
¥55k
vs 2018 -2.6% · Saitama: ¥52k
30–49 m²
1LDK / 2DK
¥73k
vs 2018 +3.8% · Saitama: ¥63k
50–69 m²
2LDK / 3DK
¥95k
vs 2018 +7.3% · Saitama: ¥78k
70–99 m²
3LDK / family
¥115k
vs 2018 +7.8% · Saitama: ¥89k
100–149 m²
mostly houses
¥105k
vs 2018 +1.1% · Saitama: ¥81k
Rent per m²
¥1,906
median, per month · Saitama: ¥1,682
The median used condo (¥33.0M, 65 m²) costs about 29 years of average rent for a similar-sized home (¥95k a month).
Excludes management fees, repair reserve, property tax and mortgage interest.

Source: Statistics Bureau of Japan, Housing and Land Survey 2023. Privately owned rentals (excluding rent-free homes), monthly rent without management fees. These averages include older homes, so they run below asking rents for newly listed units. 28,560 rented homes.

What the data says

Price growth is speeding up

Condo values per m² have risen about 4.6% a year over the past five years, faster than the 2.8% a year of the five years before. Buyers waiting for a dip have so far been paying more each year, and that has not yet changed.

Lagging Saitama

Per m², condos here are 40% above the Saitama average. The premium was 50% ten years ago, so the rest of Saitama has been catching up.

Being near a station is worth a lot

Condos within a 5-minute walk of a station sell for about 65% more per m² than those 11–15 minutes away. If budget is tight, a longer walk is the quickest way to cut the price.

A family market

68% of recent condo sales have three or more bedrooms. Demand comes mainly from owner-occupier families, which tends to make prices steadier but rental yields lower.

Sales are thinning out

Transactions are down about 16% on the previous three years. Fewer sales mean less choice and slower resale, so allow more time to sell later.

What a typical purchase costs

Half of all condo sales last year were between ¥21.0M and ¥46.0M. Listings outside that range are either unusual properties or worth a closer look.

A growing population

The population grew 2.4% between 2020 and 2025 (−0.8% for the wider area). Moves in and out roughly balanced in 2025.

Few abandoned homes

12.4% of homes were empty in 2023 (9.3% for the wider area), and 1.5% were empty without being for rent, for sale or used as second homes. Most empty homes here are rentals between tenants, not abandoned houses, a sign of a healthy market.

Buying vs renting

A median used condo costs about 36.8 years of the area's median rent (¥75k a month), compared with 33.5 years for the wider area. Prices are high relative to rents, so rental yields are thin and buyers are paying for expected growth. Rents here cover all rented homes, so treat this as a rough guide.

High earthquake risk

The government's seismic model gives a 70% chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or stronger in the next 30 years (52% for the wider area). Check the building's earthquake standard (post-1981, ideally post-2000 for wooden houses) and consider earthquake insurance.

A typical condo costs 7.4 years of local income

Taxpayers in the city as a whole reported an average taxable income of ¥4.5m in 2023 (¥3.9m for the wider area). That is +17% since 2014. The median resale condo sold for about 7.4 times that, against 6.4 times for the wider area. A higher multiple means prices lean more on buyers from outside the area or on two incomes. Averages are pulled up by a few very high earners, so a typical household earns less than this.

Official land prices are edging up

On the government's fixed benchmark sites, which are valued the same way every year, residential land prices changed +3% in the year to January 2026 and +16% over five years. They are still 37% below their 1991 bubble-era level. Because these sites don't change, this is the cleanest measure of land value trends.

Some flood or landslide exposure

Of the official land-price benchmark sites here, which sit in typical neighbourhoods, 61% are inside the worst-case flood zone (4% with expected depths of 3 m or more). Most worst-case flood zones are shallow (under 0.5 m) at the edges, so depth matters as much as the share. Check the hazard map for any specific address before buying.

Living in Minami Ward, Saitama City: people, homes and risks

Population 2025
196,111
+2.4% since 2020
Saitama: -0.8%
Net moves in 2025
+343
+1.75 per 1,000 residents
Saitama: +3.08
Vacant homes (2023)
12.4%
1.5% empty and not for rent or sale
Saitama: 9.3%
Median rent (2023)
¥75k
per month, all rented homes
Saitama: ¥62k
Strong earthquake risk
69.6%
chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or more within 30 years
Saitama: 52.1%
Average income per taxpayer
¥4.5M
taxable income in 2023, citywide figure
Saitama: ¥3.9M
Daytime population
76
people here by day per 100 residents (2020 census)
Foreign residents
3.5%
6,810 registered residents in 2024
Saitama: 3.5%
Clinics
5.9
per 10,000 residents; 4 hospitals, 79 dental clinics (2020)
Saitama: 6.1
Official land price 2026
¥300k/m²
+3.0% in a year · +15.6% in 5 years
Saitama: ¥122k/m²
Flood exposure
60.9%
of 23 benchmark sites in a worst-case flood zone (4.3% 3 m or deeper)
Saitama: 45.4%
Landslide exposure
0.0%
of 23 benchmark sites in a landslide warning area
Saitama: 0.2%

Check flood, landslide and tsunami zones for a specific address on the government hazard map ↗

Sources: 2025 Census (preliminary), 2025 Internal Migration Report, 2023 Housing and Land Survey (Statistics Bureau of Japan); J-SHIS seismic hazard model (NIED, 2024); Land Price Publication (MLIT); recorded crime: Tokyo Metropolitan Police Department (Tokyo only); incomes: Ministry of Internal Affairs taxation survey via the Statistics Bureau's municipal indicators; foreign residents: Basic Resident Register; medical facilities and station passengers: MLIT National Land Numerical Information. Earthquake probability is measured at the municipal center.

Example sales in Minami Ward, Saitama City

Real transactions from the last four quarters, picked near the lower (20th percentile), middle and upper (80th percentile) price points. Locations are shown at district level, as published by MLIT.

Condo

Lower-priced2026 Q1

¥19.0M

¥292k/m²

  • Yotsuya
  • Musashi Urawa · 15 min walk
  • 3LDK · 65 m²
  • Built 1992 (34 yrs) · RC
Typical2025 Q3

¥34.0M

¥567k/m²

  • Shirahata
  • Musashi Urawa · 15 min walk
  • 3LDK · 60 m²
  • Built 1994 (31 yrs) · SRC
Higher-priced2025 Q3

¥50.0M

¥667k/m²

  • Shikatebukuro
  • Musashi Urawa · 12 min walk
  • 3LDK · 75 m²
  • Built 2005 (20 yrs) · RC

House

Lower-priced2026 Q1

¥37.0M

¥529k/m²

  • Daitakubo
  • Minami Urawa · 16 min walk
  • Land 50 m² · floor 70 m²
  • Built 2025 (1 yrs) · Wood
Typical2025 Q4

¥51.0M

¥537k/m²

  • Daitakubo
  • Urawa · 21 min walk
  • Land 100 m² · floor 95 m²
  • Built 2025 (0 yrs) · Wood
Higher-priced2025 Q3

¥75.0M

¥682k/m²

  • Oaza Daitakubo
  • Minami Urawa · 18 min walk
  • Land 100 m² · floor 110 m²
  • Built 2025 (0 yrs) · Wood
Median transaction price by year
¥0¥20.0M¥40.0M¥60.0M20052008201120142017202020232026
Show data table
YearCondoHouse
2005¥17.0M¥38.0M
2006¥30.0M¥38.0M
2007¥21.0M¥41.0M
2008¥22.0M¥42.0M
2009¥19.0M¥38.0M
2010¥22.0M¥37.0M
2011¥23.0M¥38.0M
2012¥20.0M¥37.0M
2013¥22.0M¥39.0M
2014¥19.5M¥38.0M
2015¥32.0M¥39.0M
2016¥35.0M¥41.0M
2017¥26.5M¥39.0M
2018¥26.0M¥42.0M
2019¥30.0M¥39.0M
2020¥29.0M¥41.0M
2021¥27.0M¥42.0M
2022¥34.0M¥45.0M
2023¥30.0M¥53.0M
2024¥35.0M¥46.0M
2025¥33.0M¥51.0M
2026 (partial)¥42.0M–
Median price per m² by yearHouses are the better deal on space — A m² of house floor space costs about 15% less than a m² of condo, even though the house price includes land. If you need room more than convenience, a house buys considerably more space.
¥0¥200k¥400k¥600k¥800k20052008201120142017202020232026
Show data table
YearCondoHouseLand
2005¥253k/m²¥370k/m²¥210k/m²
2006¥486k/m²¥368k/m²¥220k/m²
2007¥341k/m²¥365k/m²¥240k/m²
2008¥327k/m²¥390k/m²¥280k/m²
2009¥292k/m²¥365k/m²¥210k/m²
2010¥335k/m²¥356k/m²¥260k/m²
2011¥350k/m²¥367k/m²¥240k/m²
2012¥323k/m²¥355k/m²¥210k/m²
2013¥347k/m²¥347k/m²¥210k/m²
2014¥300k/m²¥354k/m²¥260k/m²
2015¥481k/m²¥360k/m²¥260k/m²
2016¥614k/m²¥389k/m²¥240k/m²
2017¥417k/m²¥380k/m²¥240k/m²
2018¥412k/m²¥411k/m²¥290k/m²
2019¥462k/m²¥395k/m²¥255k/m²
2020¥433k/m²¥410k/m²¥260k/m²
2021¥444k/m²¥421k/m²¥300k/m²
2022¥523k/m²¥453k/m²¥300k/m²
2023¥538k/m²¥505k/m²¥365k/m²
2024¥592k/m²¥470k/m²¥410k/m²
2025¥527k/m²¥480k/m²¥390k/m²
2026 (partial)¥700k/m²––
Price per m² by building age (2021–2025 sales)How condos age here — In recent sales, condos lose about a quarter of their per-m² value by around 17 years old and half by around 31. Prices keep falling by roughly 3.1% a year even after 25 years, so older condos here are cheap for a reason. Check the repair fund and rebuild plans.
¥0¥500k¥1.0M05101520253035404550
Show data table
Building age (years)CondoHouse
0–¥482k/m²
1–¥451k/m²
2–¥517k/m²
3¥770k/m²–
4¥800k/m²–
5¥857k/m²–
6¥877k/m²–
7¥971k/m²–
8¥893k/m²–
9¥806k/m²–
11¥789k/m²–
13¥650k/m²–
14¥615k/m²–
15¥588k/m²–
16¥627k/m²–
17¥661k/m²–
18¥580k/m²–
19¥579k/m²–
20¥615k/m²–
21¥500k/m²–
22¥573k/m²–
23¥623k/m²–
24¥547k/m²–
25¥600k/m²–
26¥528k/m²–
27¥452k/m²–
28¥523k/m²¥250k/m²
29¥538k/m²–
30¥417k/m²–
31¥350k/m²¥276k/m²
32¥340k/m²¥276k/m²
33¥347k/m²–
34¥380k/m²¥300k/m²
35¥333k/m²–
36¥382k/m²¥397k/m²
37¥358k/m²–
38¥333k/m²–
39¥343k/m²–
48¥255k/m²–
49¥283k/m²–
50¥257k/m²¥250k/m²
Condo price per m² by construction period
¥0¥500k¥1.0M20052007200920112013201520172019202120232025

Each line follows buildings from one construction period over time. 1981 is when Japan's current earthquake-resistance standard (shin-taishin) took effect.

Show data table
Year1981-20002001-20102011-2020
2005¥250k/m²––
2006¥339k/m²¥557k/m²–
2007¥317k/m²¥462k/m²–
2008¥304k/m²¥447k/m²–
2009¥285k/m²¥388k/m²–
2010¥314k/m²¥446k/m²–
2011¥318k/m²¥462k/m²–
2012¥289k/m²¥462k/m²–
2013¥320k/m²¥443k/m²¥682k/m²
2014¥280k/m²¥426k/m²–
2015¥300k/m²¥446k/m²¥700k/m²
2016¥369k/m²¥429k/m²¥767k/m²
2017¥357k/m²¥492k/m²¥785k/m²
2018¥383k/m²¥538k/m²–
2019¥385k/m²¥529k/m²¥677k/m²
2020¥371k/m²¥480k/m²¥693k/m²
2021¥372k/m²¥554k/m²¥830k/m²
2022¥438k/m²¥541k/m²¥800k/m²
2023¥400k/m²¥615k/m²¥950k/m²
2024¥432k/m²¥680k/m²¥923k/m²
2025¥433k/m²¥613k/m²¥907k/m²
House price per m² by construction period
¥0¥200k¥400k¥600k20052007200920112013201520172019202120232025

Each line follows buildings from one construction period over time. 1981 is when Japan's current earthquake-resistance standard (shin-taishin) took effect.

Show data table
Year1971-19801981-20002001-20102011-2020
2005––¥381k/m²–
2006–¥292k/m²¥410k/m²–
2007–¥272k/m²¥432k/m²–
2008–¥271k/m²¥430k/m²–
2009–¥231k/m²¥390k/m²–
2010–¥236k/m²¥375k/m²–
2011–¥250k/m²–¥411k/m²
2012–¥267k/m²–¥380k/m²
2013–¥235k/m²–¥371k/m²
2014–¥277k/m²–¥390k/m²
2015¥268k/m²¥247k/m²–¥389k/m²
2016–¥278k/m²–¥415k/m²
2017–¥217k/m²–¥400k/m²
2018–¥333k/m²–¥429k/m²
2019–¥318k/m²–¥400k/m²
2020–¥267k/m²–¥411k/m²
2021–¥278k/m²–¥405k/m²
2022–¥250k/m²––
2023–¥378k/m²––
2024–¥368k/m²––
2025–¥280k/m²––

Prices near train stations in Minami Ward, Saitama City

Sales from 2023–2025, grouped by nearest station.

StationMedian used condo priceCondo price per m²Median house price (land + building)Walk (min)SalesDaily passengers (2023)
Musashi Urawa (武蔵浦和)¥34.0M¥571k/m²¥57.0M1134097,354-10% vs 2019
Minami Urawa (南浦和)¥33.0M¥550k/m²¥50.0M15318107,616-11% vs 2019
Kita Toda (北戸田)¥23.0M¥400k/m²¥53.0M147643,570-1% vs 2019
Nishi Urawa (西浦和)¥22.5M¥360k/m²¥40.0M146027,500-8% vs 2019
Naka Urawa (中浦和)¥36.0M¥616k/m²¥60.5M75624,998-6% vs 2019
Higashi Urawa (東浦和)––¥38.0M235653,940-7% vs 2019
Urawa (浦和)––¥52.0M1649176,426-7% vs 2019

Used condo prices by layout in Minami Ward, Saitama City

Sales from 2023–2025.

LayoutMedian used condo priceTypical sizeSales
3LDK¥35.0M65 m²284
2LDK¥31.0M55 m²80
4LDK¥41.5M80 m²40
1K¥7.0M20 m²28
1LDK¥31.0M35 m²21
2DK¥22.0M60 m²11

How much does an apartment cost in Minami Ward, Saitama City?

The median used condo (mansion) in Minami Ward, Saitama City sold for ¥33.0M in 2025, about ¥527k/m², based on 157 recorded sales.

How much does a house cost in Minami Ward, Saitama City?

The median house sale, including the land, was ¥51.0M in 2025 across 144 sales.

Are property prices in Minami Ward, Saitama City going up?

Over the five years to 2025, condo prices per m² changed +21.7% and residential land prices changed +50.0%.

About this data

Figures are medians of real transactions reported to Japan's Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism (MLIT) through its quarterly price survey. House prices per m² divide the total price (land and building) by the floor area. Medians based on fewer than 20 sales are not shown. The latest quarters are preliminary and are revised as more survey responses arrive.

Information only, not investment advice.