Chino City Housing Market Report 2026
Data updated 2026-11-11 · Source: MLIT transaction price survey, 2005 Q3–2026 Q2 · Transactions in 2025: 151
In short
- 1Price growth is speeding up
House values per m² have risen about 0.6% a year over the past five years, faster than the 2% a year of the five years before.
- 2Lagging Nagano
Per m², houses here are 21% below the Nagano average.
- 3Sales are thinning out
Transactions are down about 13% on the previous three years.
- 4What a typical purchase costs
Half of all house sales last year were between ¥5.5M and ¥21.0M.
The answers, compared
What does a home cost?
¥13.0M
median house · ¥104k/m²
15% below the Nagano median
11 of 22 areas in Nagano, highest first
Are prices rising?
+13.0%
over 5 years
Slower than Nagano (+19.2%)
11 of 28 areas in Nagano, highest first
Can local earners afford it?
3.8× income
median price ÷ average taxable income
Easier than Nagano (7.0×)
14 of 24 areas in Nagano, highest first
Rent or buy?
23years of rent
median price ÷ a year of median rent
Shorter than Nagano (41)
14 of 22 areas in Nagano, highest first
Are people moving in?
-3.4%
population, 2020–25
Shrinking slower than Nagano (-4.5%)
11 of 30 areas in Nagano, highest first
How risky is it?
37%
chance of strong shaking (6-lower+) in 30 years
Higher than Nagano (20%)
6 of 30 areas in Nagano, highest first
Rent in Chino City
The average private rental costs ¥49k a month (2023), +4.3% since 2018. Nagano: ¥52k
| Floor area | Typical layout | Average rent / month | Chino CityNagano |
|---|---|---|---|
| under 30 m² studio / 1K | studio / 1K | ¥38k vs 2018 +0.0% · Nagano: ¥42k | |
| 30–49 m² 1LDK / 2DK | 1LDK / 2DK | ¥46k vs 2018 -9.1% · Nagano: ¥51k | |
| 50–69 m² 2LDK / 3DK | 2LDK / 3DK | ¥59k vs 2018 +4.5% · Nagano: ¥59k |
- Rent per m²
- ¥1,204
- median, per month · Nagano: ¥1,269
Source: Statistics Bureau of Japan, Housing and Land Survey 2023. Privately owned rentals (excluding rent-free homes), monthly rent without management fees. These averages include older homes, so they run below asking rents for newly listed units. 5,030 rented homes.
What the data says
Price growth is speeding up
House values per m² have risen about 0.6% a year over the past five years, faster than the 2% a year of the five years before. Buyers waiting for a dip have so far been paying more each year, and that has not yet changed.
Lagging Nagano
Per m², houses here are 21% below the Nagano average. Ten years ago the gap was 3%, so Chino City has been falling behind the rest of Nagano.
Sales are thinning out
Transactions are down about 13% on the previous three years. Fewer sales mean less choice and slower resale, so allow more time to sell later.
What a typical purchase costs
Half of all house sales last year were between ¥5.5M and ¥21.0M. Listings outside that range are either unusual properties or worth a closer look.
A shrinking population
The population fell 3.4% between 2020 and 2025 (−4.5% for the wider area). Moves in and out roughly balanced in 2025. Households still grew 4.5% as people live in smaller households, which supports demand for smaller homes even as the population shrinks.
Typical vacancy
41.5% of homes were empty in 2023 (20.1% for the wider area), and 5.5% were empty without being for rent, for sale or used as second homes. The level of abandoned homes is around the national norm. About 31% of homes are second homes, which points to a resort or holiday-home market.
Moderate earthquake risk
The government's seismic model gives a 37% chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or stronger in the next 30 years (20% for the wider area). Post-1981 buildings are designed for this level of shaking, but check ground conditions and insurance.
Local incomes are close to average
Taxpayers here reported an average taxable income of ¥3.4m in 2023 (¥3.4m for the wider area). That is +19% since 2014. Averages are pulled up by a few very high earners, so a typical household earns less than this.
Significant flood risk
Of the official land-price benchmark sites here, which sit in typical neighbourhoods, 100% are inside the worst-case flood zone (40% with expected depths of 3 m or more). Most worst-case flood zones are shallow (under 0.5 m) at the edges, so depth matters as much as the share. Check the hazard map for any specific address before buying.
Living in Chino City: people, homes and risks
- Population 2025
- 54,467
- -3.4% since 2020
- Nagano: -4.5%
- Net moves in 2025
- +31
- +0.57 per 1,000 residents
- Nagano: -0.72
- Vacant homes (2023)
- 41.5%
- 5.5% empty and not for rent or sale
- Nagano: 20.1%
- Median rent (2023)
- ¥48k
- per month, all rented homes
- Nagano: ¥49k
- Strong earthquake risk
- 36.5%
- chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or more within 30 years
- Nagano: 19.8%
- Average income per taxpayer
- ¥3.4M
- taxable income in 2023
- Nagano: ¥3.4M
- Daytime population
- 98
- people here by day per 100 residents (2020 census)
- Foreign residents
- 2.2%
- 1,212 registered residents in 2024
- Nagano: 2.3%
- Clinics
- 6.8
- per 10,000 residents; 1 hospitals, 21 dental clinics (2020)
- Nagano: 8.3
- Official land price 2026
- ¥41k/m²
- -0.1% in a year · – in 5 years
- Nagano: ¥30k/m²
- Flood exposure
- 100.0%
- of 5 benchmark sites in a worst-case flood zone (40.0% 3 m or deeper)
- Nagano: 55.7%
- Landslide exposure
- 0.0%
- of 5 benchmark sites in a landslide warning area
- Nagano: 7.5%
Check flood, landslide and tsunami zones for a specific address on the government hazard map ↗
Sources: 2025 Census (preliminary), 2025 Internal Migration Report, 2023 Housing and Land Survey (Statistics Bureau of Japan); J-SHIS seismic hazard model (NIED, 2024); Land Price Publication (MLIT); recorded crime: Tokyo Metropolitan Police Department (Tokyo only); incomes: Ministry of Internal Affairs taxation survey via the Statistics Bureau's municipal indicators; foreign residents: Basic Resident Register; medical facilities and station passengers: MLIT National Land Numerical Information. Earthquake probability is measured at the municipal center.
Example sales in Chino City
Real transactions from the last four quarters, picked near the lower (20th percentile), middle and upper (80th percentile) price points. Locations are shown at district level, as published by MLIT.
House
¥5.5M
¥50k/m²
- Tamagawa
- Chino
- Land 310 m² · floor 110 m²
- Built 1973 (52 yrs)
¥15.0M
¥115k/m²
- Izumino
- Chino
- Land 250 m² · floor 130 m²
- Built 2005 (21 yrs) · Wood
¥29.0M
¥138k/m²
- Miyagawa
- Chino · 26 min walk
- Land 270 m² · floor 210 m²
- Built 2007 (19 yrs) · Wood
Show data table
| Year | House |
|---|---|
| 2007 | ¥15.0M |
| 2008 | ¥12.0M |
| 2009 | ¥8.5M |
| 2010 | ¥9.9M |
| 2011 | ¥16.5M |
| 2012 | ¥12.0M |
| 2013 | ¥12.5M |
| 2014 | ¥13.0M |
| 2015 | ¥15.0M |
| 2016 | ¥11.0M |
| 2017 | ¥11.0M |
| 2018 | ¥9.4M |
| 2019 | ¥11.5M |
| 2020 | ¥14.0M |
| 2021 | ¥16.0M |
| 2022 | ¥14.0M |
| 2023 | ¥13.0M |
| 2024 | ¥9.0M |
| 2025 | ¥13.0M |
| 2026 (partial) | ¥16.0M |
Show data table
| Year | House | Land |
|---|---|---|
| 2007 | ¥120k/m² | ¥19k/m² |
| 2008 | ¥87k/m² | ¥21k/m² |
| 2009 | ¥75k/m² | ¥23k/m² |
| 2010 | ¥82k/m² | ¥17k/m² |
| 2011 | ¥119k/m² | ¥23k/m² |
| 2012 | ¥109k/m² | ¥20k/m² |
| 2013 | ¥80k/m² | ¥20k/m² |
| 2014 | ¥88k/m² | ¥23k/m² |
| 2015 | ¥115k/m² | ¥19k/m² |
| 2016 | ¥88k/m² | ¥11k/m² |
| 2017 | ¥89k/m² | ¥9k/m² |
| 2018 | ¥90k/m² | ¥15k/m² |
| 2019 | ¥94k/m² | ¥14k/m² |
| 2020 | ¥90k/m² | ¥9k/m² |
| 2021 | ¥92k/m² | ¥11k/m² |
| 2022 | ¥93k/m² | ¥12k/m² |
| 2023 | ¥107k/m² | ¥15k/m² |
| 2024 | ¥86k/m² | ¥15k/m² |
| 2025 | ¥104k/m² | ¥10k/m² |
| 2026 (partial) | ¥119k/m² | ¥13k/m² |
Show data table
| Building age (years) | House |
|---|---|
| 0 | ¥355k/m² |
| 45 | ¥67k/m² |
| 46 | ¥60k/m² |
| 50 | ¥48k/m² |
Prices near train stations in Chino City
Sales from 2023–2025, grouped by nearest station.
| Station | Median used condo price | Condo price per m² | Median house price (land + building) | Walk (min) | Sales | Daily passengers (2023) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chino (茅野) | – | – | ¥12.0M | 19 | 172 | 6,704-11% vs 2019 |
How much does a house cost in Chino City?
The median house sale, including the land, was ¥13.0M in 2025 across 56 sales.
Are property prices in Chino City going up?
Over the five years to 2025, residential land prices changed +13.0%.
About this data
Figures are medians of real transactions reported to Japan's Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism (MLIT) through its quarterly price survey. House prices per m² divide the total price (land and building) by the floor area. Medians based on fewer than 20 sales are not shown. The latest quarters are preliminary and are revised as more survey responses arrive.
Information only, not investment advice.