Sakurajima over Kagoshima
Photo: Sakurajima over Kagoshima · Tuan P. / Unsplash

Kirishima City Housing Market Report 2026

Data updated 2026-11-11 · Source: MLIT transaction price survey, 2005 Q3–2026 Q2 · Transactions in 2025: 344

In short

  1. 1
    The trend has turned down

    After rising earlier, house prices per m² have slipped by about 5.9% a year over the last five years.

  2. 2
    Moving with Kagoshima

    Per m², houses here are 20% below the Kagoshima average.

  3. 3
    Station distance barely matters

    Houses 11–15 minutes from a station sell for similar or higher prices than those near one, which usually means buyers here drive or value quiet residential streets.

  4. 4
    Sales are thinning out

    Transactions are down about 12% on the previous three years.

The answers, compared

What does a home cost?

¥8.8M

median house · ¥84k/m²

11% below the Kagoshima median

4 of 12 areas in Kagoshima, highest first

Are prices rising?

-25.0%

over 5 years

Slower than Kagoshima (+1.2%)

8 of 12 areas in Kagoshima, highest first

Can local earners afford it?

2.8× income

median price ÷ average taxable income

Easier than Kagoshima (6.9×)

7 of 13 areas in Kagoshima, highest first

Rent or buy?

21years of rent

median price ÷ a year of median rent

Shorter than Kagoshima (43)

5 of 12 areas in Kagoshima, highest first

Are people moving in?

-2.2%

population, 2020–25

Shrinking slower than Kagoshima (-4.7%)

3 of 15 areas in Kagoshima, highest first

How risky is it?

26%

chance of strong shaking (6-lower+) in 30 years

Higher than Kagoshima (16%)

2 of 15 areas in Kagoshima, highest first

Rent in Kirishima City

The average private rental costs ¥42k a month (2023), +2.9% since 2018. Kagoshima: ¥47k

Floor areaAverage rent / month
under 30 m²
studio / 1K
¥30k
vs 2018 +6.5% · Kagoshima: ¥39k
30–49 m²
1LDK / 2DK
¥40k
vs 2018 +0.1% · Kagoshima: ¥47k
50–69 m²
2LDK / 3DK
¥49k
vs 2018 -0.5% · Kagoshima: ¥52k
70–99 m²
3LDK / family
¥53k
vs 2018 +11.3% · Kagoshima: ¥52k
100–149 m²
mostly houses
¥46k
vs 2018 -4.3% · Kagoshima: ¥53k
Rent per m²
¥963
median, per month · Kagoshima: ¥1,190

Source: Statistics Bureau of Japan, Housing and Land Survey 2023. Privately owned rentals (excluding rent-free homes), monthly rent without management fees. These averages include older homes, so they run below asking rents for newly listed units. 15,040 rented homes.

What the data says

The trend has turned down

After rising earlier, house prices per m² have slipped by about 5.9% a year over the last five years. That often reflects weaker local demand, so check vacancy and population trends before buying.

Moving with Kagoshima

Per m², houses here are 20% below the Kagoshima average. That position has barely changed in ten years, so it moves with the wider market.

Station distance barely matters

Houses 11–15 minutes from a station sell for similar or higher prices than those near one, which usually means buyers here drive or value quiet residential streets.

Sales are thinning out

Transactions are down about 12% on the previous three years. Fewer sales mean less choice and slower resale, so allow more time to sell later.

What a typical purchase costs

Half of all house sales last year were between ¥3.5M and ¥22.0M. Listings outside that range are either unusual properties or worth a closer look.

A shrinking population

The population fell 2.2% between 2020 and 2025 (−4.7% for the wider area). Moves in and out roughly balanced in 2025. Households still grew 1.7% as people live in smaller households, which supports demand for smaller homes even as the population shrinks.

Many abandoned homes

22.7% of homes were empty in 2023 (20.5% for the wider area), and 12.4% were empty without being for rent, for sale or used as second homes. That is a high share of truly abandoned homes (akiya), a sign of weak demand. Cheap houses are easy to find, but resale can be slow.

Moderate earthquake risk

The government's seismic model gives a 26% chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or stronger in the next 30 years (16% for the wider area). Post-1981 buildings are designed for this level of shaking, but check ground conditions and insurance.

Local incomes are close to average

Taxpayers here reported an average taxable income of ¥3.2m in 2023 (¥3.2m for the wider area). That is +16% since 2014. Averages are pulled up by a few very high earners, so a typical household earns less than this.

Official land prices are still falling

On the government's fixed benchmark sites, which are valued the same way every year, residential land prices changed 0% in the year to January 2026 and -4% over five years. Because these sites don't change, this is the cleanest measure of land value trends.

Some flood or landslide exposure

Of the official land-price benchmark sites here, which sit in typical neighbourhoods, 20% are inside the worst-case flood zone (5% with expected depths of 3 m or more). Most worst-case flood zones are shallow (under 0.5 m) at the edges, so depth matters as much as the share. Check the hazard map for any specific address before buying.

Living in Kirishima City: people, homes and risks

Population 2025
120,429
-2.2% since 2020
Kagoshima: -4.7%
Net moves in 2025
+49
+0.41 per 1,000 residents
Kagoshima: -3.31
Vacant homes (2023)
22.7%
12.4% empty and not for rent or sale
Kagoshima: 20.5%
Median rent (2023)
¥34k
per month, all rented homes
Kagoshima: ¥42k
Strong earthquake risk
26.3%
chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or more within 30 years
Kagoshima: 15.6%
Average income per taxpayer
¥3.2M
taxable income in 2023
Kagoshima: ¥3.2M
Daytime population
101
people here by day per 100 residents (2020 census)
Foreign residents
1.0%
1,257 registered residents in 2024
Kagoshima: 1.2%
Clinics
8.5
per 10,000 residents; 15 hospitals, 59 dental clinics (2020)
Kagoshima: 9.4
Official land price 2026
¥14k/m²
-0.3% in a year · -4.2% in 5 years
Kagoshima: ¥19k/m²
Flood exposure
20.0%
of 20 benchmark sites in a worst-case flood zone (5.0% 3 m or deeper)
Kagoshima: 27.0%
Landslide exposure
0.0%
of 20 benchmark sites in a landslide warning area
Kagoshima: 4.6%

Check flood, landslide and tsunami zones for a specific address on the government hazard map ↗

Sources: 2025 Census (preliminary), 2025 Internal Migration Report, 2023 Housing and Land Survey (Statistics Bureau of Japan); J-SHIS seismic hazard model (NIED, 2024); Land Price Publication (MLIT); recorded crime: Tokyo Metropolitan Police Department (Tokyo only); incomes: Ministry of Internal Affairs taxation survey via the Statistics Bureau's municipal indicators; foreign residents: Basic Resident Register; medical facilities and station passengers: MLIT National Land Numerical Information. Earthquake probability is measured at the municipal center.

Example sales in Kirishima City

Real transactions from the last four quarters, picked near the lower (20th percentile), middle and upper (80th percentile) price points. Locations are shown at district level, as published by MLIT.

House

Lower-priced2025 Q4

¥3.5M

¥30k/m²

  • Hayatochouchiyamada
  • Hayato(Kagoshima) · 15 min walk
  • Land 330 m² · floor 115 m²
  • Built 1976 (49 yrs) · Wood
Typical2025 Q4

¥11.0M

¥122k/m²

  • Hayatochohimegi
  • Hinatayama · 15 min walk
  • Land 300 m² · floor 90 m²
  • Built 1977 (48 yrs) · Wood
Higher-priced2026 Q1

¥29.0M

¥290k/m²

  • Kokubukiyomizu
  • Kokubu(Kagoshima) · 23 min walk
  • Land 320 m² · floor 100 m²
  • Built 2026 (0 yrs) · Wood
Median transaction price by year2026 so far: treat with caution — The 2026 figure (shaded) is 60% above 2025, but it covers only part of the year and 38 house sales so far. Early-year numbers are often revised and are easily skewed by a few large deals.
¥0¥5.0M¥10.0M¥15.0M2007200920112013201520172019202120232025
Show data table
YearHouse
2007¥11.0M
2008¥12.0M
2009¥10.0M
2010¥12.0M
2011¥13.5M
2012¥9.9M
2013¥11.5M
2014¥12.0M
2015¥11.5M
2016¥11.0M
2017¥9.0M
2018¥11.0M
2019¥13.0M
2020¥11.0M
2021¥13.0M
2022¥11.0M
2023¥13.0M
2024¥11.0M
2025¥8.8M
2026 (partial)¥14.0M
Median price per m² by year
¥0¥50k¥100k¥150k2007200920112013201520172019202120232025
Show data table
YearHouseLand
2007¥93k/m²¥23k/m²
2008¥94k/m²¥21k/m²
2009¥99k/m²¥22k/m²
2010¥100k/m²¥23k/m²
2011¥94k/m²¥18k/m²
2012¥95k/m²¥20k/m²
2013¥88k/m²¥21k/m²
2014¥85k/m²¥21k/m²
2015¥78k/m²¥21k/m²
2016¥85k/m²¥19k/m²
2017¥79k/m²¥23k/m²
2018¥92k/m²¥21k/m²
2019¥106k/m²¥19k/m²
2020¥105k/m²¥18k/m²
2021¥105k/m²¥13k/m²
2022¥91k/m²¥12k/m²
2023¥106k/m²¥15k/m²
2024¥72k/m²¥15k/m²
2025¥84k/m²¥14k/m²
2026 (partial)¥123k/m²¥11k/m²
Price per m² by building age (2021–2025 sales)
¥0¥100k¥200k¥300k05101520253035404550
Show data table
Building age (years)House
0¥263k/m²
1¥263k/m²
2¥252k/m²
16¥130k/m²
17¥140k/m²
24¥82k/m²
25¥85k/m²
26¥91k/m²
27¥77k/m²
29¥76k/m²
30¥74k/m²
32¥78k/m²
33¥58k/m²
34¥50k/m²
35¥56k/m²
36¥45k/m²
37¥60k/m²
38¥92k/m²
40¥50k/m²
41¥33k/m²
42¥44k/m²
43¥38k/m²
44¥34k/m²
45¥45k/m²
50¥29k/m²
House price per m² by construction period
¥0¥100k¥200k¥300k2007200920112013201520172019202120232025

Each line follows buildings from one construction period over time. 1981 is when Japan's current earthquake-resistance standard (shin-taishin) took effect.

Show data table
Year1971-19801981-20002001-20102011-2020
2007–¥78k/m²––
2008–¥80k/m²¥200k/m²–
2009–¥93k/m²¥230k/m²–
2010–¥83k/m²¥186k/m²–
2011–¥94k/m²––
2012–¥89k/m²––
2013–¥75k/m²––
2014–¥74k/m²––
2015–¥63k/m²–¥204k/m²
2016–¥67k/m²–¥226k/m²
2017–¥75k/m²––
2018–¥66k/m²–¥230k/m²
2019–¥66k/m²–¥233k/m²
2020¥43k/m²¥75k/m²–¥229k/m²
2021–¥65k/m²¥107k/m²¥211k/m²
2022–¥68k/m²––
2023–¥71k/m²––
2024–¥59k/m²––
2025¥53k/m²¥50k/m²––

Prices near train stations in Kirishima City

Sales from 2023–2025, grouped by nearest station.

StationMedian used condo priceCondo price per m²Median house price (land + building)Walk (min)SalesDaily passengers (2023)
Kokubu(Kagoshima) (国分(鹿児島))¥21.0M¥278k/m²¥14.0M182405,258-12% vs 2019
Hayato(Kagoshima) (隼人)––¥17.0M18903,228-2% vs 2019
Kirishima Jingu (霧島神宮)––¥3.3M368–
Hinatayama (日当山)––¥11.0M1552–
Kirishima Onsen (霧島温泉)––¥3.0M1117–
Kareigawa (嘉例川)––¥3.5M–13–

Used condo prices by layout in Kirishima City

Sales from 2023–2025.

LayoutMedian used condo priceTypical sizeSales
3LDK¥21.0M75 m²19

How much does a house cost in Kirishima City?

The median house sale, including the land, was ¥8.8M in 2025 across 180 sales.

Are property prices in Kirishima City going up?

Over the five years to 2025, residential land prices changed -25.0%.

About this data

Figures are medians of real transactions reported to Japan's Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism (MLIT) through its quarterly price survey. House prices per m² divide the total price (land and building) by the floor area. Medians based on fewer than 20 sales are not shown. The latest quarters are preliminary and are revised as more survey responses arrive.

Information only, not investment advice.