Sakurajima over Kagoshima
Photo: Sakurajima over Kagoshima · Tuan P. / Unsplash

Kanoya City Housing Market Report 2026

Data updated 2026-11-11 · Source: MLIT transaction price survey, 2005 Q3–2026 Q2 · Transactions in 2025: 214

In short

  1. 1
    The trend has turned down

    After rising earlier, house prices per m² have slipped by about 1% a year over the last five years.

  2. 2
    Outperforming Kagoshima

    Per m², houses here are 22% below the Kagoshima average.

  3. 3
    What a typical purchase costs

    Half of all house sales last year were between ¥4.2M and ¥23.0M.

  4. 4
    A shrinking population

    The population fell 5% between 2020 and 2025 (−4.7% for the wider area).

The answers, compared

What does a home cost?

¥11.0M

median house · ¥86k/m²

10% below the Kagoshima median

3 of 12 areas in Kagoshima, highest first

Are prices rising?

-44.5%

over 5 years

Slower than Kagoshima (+1.2%)

12 of 12 areas in Kagoshima, highest first

Can local earners afford it?

3.6× income

median price ÷ average taxable income

Easier than Kagoshima (6.9×)

4 of 13 areas in Kagoshima, highest first

Rent or buy?

23years of rent

median price ÷ a year of median rent

Shorter than Kagoshima (43)

4 of 12 areas in Kagoshima, highest first

Are people moving in?

-5.0%

population, 2020–25

Shrinking faster than Kagoshima (-4.7%)

6 of 15 areas in Kagoshima, highest first

How risky is it?

13%

chance of strong shaking (6-lower+) in 30 years

In line with Kagoshima (16%)

8 of 15 areas in Kagoshima, highest first

Rent in Kanoya City

The average private rental costs ¥42k a month (2023), +5.0% since 2018. Kagoshima: ¥47k

Floor areaAverage rent / month
under 30 m²
studio / 1K
¥34k
vs 2018 +10.1% · Kagoshima: ¥39k
30–49 m²
1LDK / 2DK
¥41k
vs 2018 +2.8% · Kagoshima: ¥47k
50–69 m²
2LDK / 3DK
¥45k
vs 2018 +2.3% · Kagoshima: ¥52k
70–99 m²
3LDK / family
¥48k
vs 2018 +0.5% · Kagoshima: ¥52k
100–149 m²
mostly houses
¥41k
vs 2018 +7.2% · Kagoshima: ¥53k
150 m² +
mostly houses
¥48k
vs 2018 -0.8% · Kagoshima: ¥49k
Rent per m²
¥937
median, per month · Kagoshima: ¥1,190

Source: Statistics Bureau of Japan, Housing and Land Survey 2023. Privately owned rentals (excluding rent-free homes), monthly rent without management fees. These averages include older homes, so they run below asking rents for newly listed units. 11,120 rented homes.

What the data says

The trend has turned down

After rising earlier, house prices per m² have slipped by about 1% a year over the last five years. That often reflects weaker local demand, so check vacancy and population trends before buying.

Outperforming Kagoshima

Per m², houses here are 22% below the Kagoshima average. The discount has shrunk from 40% ten years ago, so Kanoya City is catching up with its surroundings.

What a typical purchase costs

Half of all house sales last year were between ¥4.2M and ¥23.0M. Listings outside that range are either unusual properties or worth a closer look.

A shrinking population

The population fell 5% between 2020 and 2025 (−4.7% for the wider area). More people moved out than in during 2025 (about 3 per 1,000 residents), which weakens long-term housing demand.

Many abandoned homes

19.3% of homes were empty in 2023 (20.5% for the wider area), and 9.9% were empty without being for rent, for sale or used as second homes. That is a high share of truly abandoned homes (akiya), a sign of weak demand. Cheap houses are easy to find, but resale can be slow.

Lower earthquake risk

The government's seismic model gives a 13% chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or stronger in the next 30 years (16% for the wider area). This is low by Japanese standards, although no part of Japan is free of earthquake risk.

Local incomes are close to average

Taxpayers here reported an average taxable income of ¥3.1m in 2023 (¥3.2m for the wider area). That is +17% since 2014. Averages are pulled up by a few very high earners, so a typical household earns less than this.

Official land prices are flat

On the government's fixed benchmark sites, which are valued the same way every year, residential land prices changed 0% in the year to January 2026 and -3% over five years. Because these sites don't change, this is the cleanest measure of land value trends.

Some flood or landslide exposure

Of the official land-price benchmark sites here, which sit in typical neighbourhoods, 46% are inside the worst-case flood zone. Most worst-case flood zones are shallow (under 0.5 m) at the edges, so depth matters as much as the share. Check the hazard map for any specific address before buying.

Living in Kanoya City: people, homes and risks

Population 2025
96,073
-5.0% since 2020
Kagoshima: -4.7%
Net moves in 2025
-284
-2.96 per 1,000 residents
Kagoshima: -3.31
Vacant homes (2023)
19.3%
9.9% empty and not for rent or sale
Kagoshima: 20.5%
Median rent (2023)
¥39k
per month, all rented homes
Kagoshima: ¥42k
Strong earthquake risk
13.0%
chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or more within 30 years
Kagoshima: 15.6%
Average income per taxpayer
¥3.1M
taxable income in 2023
Kagoshima: ¥3.2M
Daytime population
101
people here by day per 100 residents (2020 census)
Foreign residents
1.3%
1,287 registered residents in 2024
Kagoshima: 1.2%
Clinics
7.6
per 10,000 residents; 14 hospitals, 46 dental clinics (2020)
Kagoshima: 9.4
Official land price 2026
¥12k/m²
0.0% in a year · -2.6% in 5 years
Kagoshima: ¥19k/m²
Flood exposure
46.2%
of 13 benchmark sites in a worst-case flood zone (0.0% 3 m or deeper)
Kagoshima: 27.0%
Landslide exposure
0.0%
of 13 benchmark sites in a landslide warning area
Kagoshima: 4.6%

Check flood, landslide and tsunami zones for a specific address on the government hazard map ↗

Sources: 2025 Census (preliminary), 2025 Internal Migration Report, 2023 Housing and Land Survey (Statistics Bureau of Japan); J-SHIS seismic hazard model (NIED, 2024); Land Price Publication (MLIT); recorded crime: Tokyo Metropolitan Police Department (Tokyo only); incomes: Ministry of Internal Affairs taxation survey via the Statistics Bureau's municipal indicators; foreign residents: Basic Resident Register; medical facilities and station passengers: MLIT National Land Numerical Information. Earthquake probability is measured at the municipal center.

Example sales in Kanoya City

Real transactions from the last four quarters, picked near the lower (20th percentile), middle and upper (80th percentile) price points. Locations are shown at district level, as published by MLIT.

House

Lower-priced2026 Q1

¥2.5M

¥31k/m²

  • Imasakacho
  • Land 380 m² · floor 80 m²
  • Built 1987 (39 yrs) · Wood
Typical2026 Q2

¥9.1M

¥91k/m²

  • Kasanoharacho
  • Shibushi
  • Land 490 m² · floor 100 m²
  • Built 2016 (10 yrs) · Wood
Higher-priced2025 Q3

¥25.0M

¥172k/m²

  • Kyoeicho
  • Land 185 m² · floor 145 m²
  • Built 1978 (47 yrs) · Wood
Median transaction price by yearA sharp recent rise — The median house price rose 28% between 2023 and 2025. Prices per m² rose 18%, so most of it is a real increase, with the rest coming from larger homes selling. With only 132 house sales in 2025, a handful of expensive deals can move the median a lot.2026 so far: treat with caution — The 2026 figure (shaded) is 59% below 2025, but it covers only part of the year and 35 house sales so far. Early-year numbers are often revised and are easily skewed by a few large deals.
¥0¥5.0M¥10.0M¥15.0M2007200920112013201520172019202120232025
Show data table
YearHouse
2007¥9.9M
2008¥7.7M
2009¥9.5M
2010¥9.0M
2011¥7.5M
2012¥8.8M
2013¥7.3M
2014¥10.0M
2015¥6.4M
2016¥8.7M
2017¥10.0M
2018¥7.0M
2019¥8.6M
2020¥12.0M
2021¥14.0M
2022¥10.3M
2023¥8.6M
2024¥7.5M
2025¥11.0M
2026 (partial)¥4.5M
Median price per m² by year
¥0¥50k¥100k¥150k2007200920112013201520172019202120232025
Show data table
YearHouseLand
2007¥83k/m²¥9k/m²
2008¥83k/m²¥8k/m²
2009¥80k/m²¥12k/m²
2010¥84k/m²¥12k/m²
2011¥75k/m²¥11k/m²
2012¥59k/m²¥10k/m²
2013¥76k/m²¥10k/m²
2014¥69k/m²¥10k/m²
2015¥57k/m²¥8k/m²
2016¥62k/m²¥11k/m²
2017¥75k/m²¥11k/m²
2018¥70k/m²¥10k/m²
2019¥60k/m²¥10k/m²
2020¥100k/m²¥11k/m²
2021¥106k/m²¥10k/m²
2022¥71k/m²¥11k/m²
2023¥72k/m²¥7k/m²
2024¥67k/m²¥5k/m²
2025¥86k/m²¥6k/m²
2026 (partial)¥47k/m²–
Price per m² by building age (2021–2025 sales)Houses bottom out at around 34 years — House prices per m² drop about 85% from new by age 34, then flatten, because by then buyers are mostly paying for the land. A house older than that costs little more than its plot, a good option if you plan to renovate or rebuild.
¥0¥100k¥200k¥300k05101520253035404550
Show data table
Building age (years)House
0¥188k/m²
1¥247k/m²
26¥60k/m²
27¥73k/m²
28¥75k/m²
29¥61k/m²
30¥79k/m²
32¥66k/m²
33¥35k/m²
34¥61k/m²
35¥35k/m²
36¥36k/m²
38¥43k/m²
40¥25k/m²
41¥71k/m²
43¥44k/m²
44¥34k/m²
45¥32k/m²
47¥29k/m²
48¥25k/m²
49¥25k/m²
50¥27k/m²
House price per m² by construction period
¥0¥50k¥100k¥150k¥200k2007200920112013201520172019202120232025

Each line follows buildings from one construction period over time. 1981 is when Japan's current earthquake-resistance standard (shin-taishin) took effect.

Show data table
Year1971-19801981-20002001-20102011-2020
2007–¥64k/m²––
2008–¥75k/m²––
2009–¥52k/m²¥138k/m²–
2010–¥55k/m²¥138k/m²–
2011–¥68k/m²––
2013–¥66k/m²––
2015–¥42k/m²–¥160k/m²
2017–¥57k/m²–¥150k/m²
2018–¥57k/m²–¥150k/m²
2019–¥50k/m²––
2020–¥54k/m²––
2021–¥47k/m²––
2022–¥56k/m²––
2023¥26k/m²¥65k/m²––
2024¥32k/m²¥56k/m²––
2025¥35k/m²¥52k/m²––

Prices near train stations in Kanoya City

Sales from 2023–2025, grouped by nearest station.

StationMedian used condo priceCondo price per m²Median house price (land + building)Walk (min)Sales
Shibushi (志布志)––¥9.5M–156

How much does a house cost in Kanoya City?

The median house sale, including the land, was ¥11.0M in 2025 across 132 sales.

Are property prices in Kanoya City going up?

Over the five years to 2025, residential land prices changed -44.5%.

About this data

Figures are medians of real transactions reported to Japan's Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism (MLIT) through its quarterly price survey. House prices per m² divide the total price (land and building) by the floor area. Medians based on fewer than 20 sales are not shown. The latest quarters are preliminary and are revised as more survey responses arrive.

Information only, not investment advice.