Ayase City Housing Market Report 2026
Data updated 2026-11-11 · Source: MLIT transaction price survey, 2005 Q3–2026 Q2 · Transactions in 2025: 188
In short
- 1Price growth is speeding up
House values per m² have risen about 4% a year over the past five years, faster than the 1.6% a year of the five years before.
- 2Outperforming Kanagawa
Per m², houses here are 20% below the Kanagawa average.
- 3What a typical purchase costs
Half of all house sales last year were between ¥26.0M and ¥42.0M.
- 4A shrinking population
The population fell 1.1% between 2020 and 2025 (−0.5% for the wider area).
The answers, compared
What does a home cost?
¥33.0M
median house · ¥350k/m²
14% below the Kanagawa median
2 of 10 areas in Kanagawa, highest first
Are prices rising?
+33.3%
over 5 years
Faster than Kanagawa (+28.6%)
16 of 49 areas in Kanagawa, highest first
Can local earners afford it?
8.8× income
median price ÷ average taxable income
Harder than Kanagawa (6.6×)
5 of 51 areas in Kanagawa, highest first
Rent or buy?
43years of rent
median price ÷ a year of median rent
Longer than Kanagawa (35)
6 of 50 areas in Kanagawa, highest first
Are people moving in?
-1.1%
population, 2020–25
Shrinking faster than Kanagawa (-0.5%)
27 of 51 areas in Kanagawa, highest first
How risky is it?
55%
chance of strong shaking (6-lower+) in 30 years
In line with Kanagawa (56%)
28 of 51 areas in Kanagawa, highest first
Rent in Ayase City
The average private rental costs ¥64k a month (2023), +7.5% since 2018. Kanagawa: ¥76k
| Floor area | Typical layout | Average rent / month | Ayase CityKanagawa |
|---|---|---|---|
| under 30 m² studio / 1K | studio / 1K | ¥43k vs 2018 -4.4% · Kanagawa: ¥59k | |
| 30–49 m² 1LDK / 2DK | 1LDK / 2DK | ¥59k vs 2018 +3.2% · Kanagawa: ¥76k | |
| 50–69 m² 2LDK / 3DK | 2LDK / 3DK | ¥72k vs 2018 +6.9% · Kanagawa: ¥93k |
- Rent per m²
- ¥1,373
- median, per month · Kanagawa: ¥2,085
Source: Statistics Bureau of Japan, Housing and Land Survey 2023. Privately owned rentals (excluding rent-free homes), monthly rent without management fees. These averages include older homes, so they run below asking rents for newly listed units. 5,350 rented homes.
What the data says
Price growth is speeding up
House values per m² have risen about 4% a year over the past five years, faster than the 1.6% a year of the five years before. Buyers waiting for a dip have so far been paying more each year, and that has not yet changed.
Outperforming Kanagawa
Per m², houses here are 20% below the Kanagawa average. The discount has shrunk from 27% ten years ago, so Ayase City is catching up with its surroundings.
What a typical purchase costs
Half of all house sales last year were between ¥26.0M and ¥42.0M. Listings outside that range are either unusual properties or worth a closer look.
A shrinking population
The population fell 1.1% between 2020 and 2025 (−0.5% for the wider area). More people moved in than out in 2025, a net gain of about 3.7 per 1,000 residents, so demand for homes is being topped up by newcomers. Households still grew 0.1% as people live in smaller households, which supports demand for smaller homes even as the population shrinks.
Few abandoned homes
8.1% of homes were empty in 2023 (9.8% for the wider area), and 3% were empty without being for rent, for sale or used as second homes. Most empty homes here are rentals between tenants, not abandoned houses, a sign of a healthy market.
High earthquake risk
The government's seismic model gives a 55% chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or stronger in the next 30 years (56% for the wider area). Check the building's earthquake standard (post-1981, ideally post-2000 for wooden houses) and consider earthquake insurance.
Local incomes are below average
Taxpayers here reported an average taxable income of ¥3.8m in 2023 (¥4.4m for the wider area). That is +19% since 2014. Averages are pulled up by a few very high earners, so a typical household earns less than this.
Official land prices are rising fast
On the government's fixed benchmark sites, which are valued the same way every year, residential land prices changed +3% in the year to January 2026 and +11% over five years. Because these sites don't change, this is the cleanest measure of land value trends.
Little exposure to flooding
Very few of the official benchmark sites here fall in flood, tsunami or landslide zones, so most typical neighbourhoods are outside mapped hazard areas.
Living in Ayase City: people, homes and risks
- Population 2025
- 82,952
- -1.1% since 2020
- Kanagawa: -0.5%
- Net moves in 2025
- +309
- +3.73 per 1,000 residents
- Kanagawa: +3.05
- Vacant homes (2023)
- 8.1%
- 3.0% empty and not for rent or sale
- Kanagawa: 9.8%
- Median rent (2023)
- ¥64k
- per month, all rented homes
- Kanagawa: ¥70k
- Strong earthquake risk
- 54.9%
- chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or more within 30 years
- Kanagawa: 56.2%
- Average income per taxpayer
- ¥3.8M
- taxable income in 2023
- Kanagawa: ¥4.4M
- Daytime population
- 96
- people here by day per 100 residents (2020 census)
- Foreign residents
- 6.2%
- 5,203 registered residents in 2024
- Kanagawa: 3.1%
- Clinics
- 3.6
- per 10,000 residents; 1 hospitals, 25 dental clinics (2020)
- Kanagawa: 7.6
- Official land price 2026
- ¥138k/m²
- +3.3% in a year · +10.6% in 5 years
- Kanagawa: ¥198k/m²
- Flood exposure
- 0.0%
- of 14 benchmark sites in a worst-case flood zone (0.0% 3 m or deeper)
- Kanagawa: 25.9%
- Landslide exposure
- 0.0%
- of 14 benchmark sites in a landslide warning area
- Kanagawa: 2.4%
Check flood, landslide and tsunami zones for a specific address on the government hazard map ↗
Sources: 2025 Census (preliminary), 2025 Internal Migration Report, 2023 Housing and Land Survey (Statistics Bureau of Japan); J-SHIS seismic hazard model (NIED, 2024); Land Price Publication (MLIT); recorded crime: Tokyo Metropolitan Police Department (Tokyo only); incomes: Ministry of Internal Affairs taxation survey via the Statistics Bureau's municipal indicators; foreign residents: Basic Resident Register; medical facilities and station passengers: MLIT National Land Numerical Information. Earthquake probability is measured at the municipal center.
Example sales in Ayase City
Real transactions from the last four quarters, picked near the lower (20th percentile), middle and upper (80th percentile) price points. Locations are shown at district level, as published by MLIT.
Condo
¥5.0M
¥77k/m²
- Ogami
- Sagami Otsuka · 19 min walk
- 3LDK · 65 m²
- Built 1985 (40 yrs) · RC
¥11.0M
¥147k/m²
- Kamitsuchidanaminami
- Chogo · 23 min walk
- 3LDK · 75 m²
- Built 1979 (46 yrs) · RC
¥17.0M
¥213k/m²
- Kamitsuchidananaka
- Chogo · 16 min walk
- 4LDK · 80 m²
- Built 1998 (27 yrs) · RC
House
¥25.0M
¥313k/m²
- Fukayakami
- Sagamino
- Land 100 m² · floor 80 m²
- Built 2002 (24 yrs) · Wood
¥34.0M
¥567k/m²
- Kamitsuchidananaka
- Chogo · 23 min walk
- Land 75 m² · floor 60 m²
- Built 1986 (40 yrs) · Wood
¥45.0M
¥450k/m²
- Tatekawa
- Sagami Otsuka · 9 min walk
- Land 115 m² · floor 100 m²
- Built 2025 (0 yrs) · Wood
Show data table
| Year | Condo | House |
|---|---|---|
| 2007 | – | ¥27.0M |
| 2008 | – | ¥28.5M |
| 2009 | – | ¥26.0M |
| 2010 | ¥9.4M | ¥25.0M |
| 2011 | ¥14.5M | ¥26.0M |
| 2012 | – | ¥25.5M |
| 2013 | – | ¥24.0M |
| 2014 | – | ¥26.0M |
| 2015 | ¥9.0M | ¥24.0M |
| 2016 | – | ¥27.0M |
| 2017 | – | ¥25.0M |
| 2018 | – | ¥27.0M |
| 2019 | – | ¥27.0M |
| 2020 | ¥8.1M | ¥28.0M |
| 2021 | – | ¥28.0M |
| 2022 | – | ¥32.0M |
| 2023 | – | ¥34.0M |
| 2024 | – | ¥30.5M |
| 2025 | – | ¥33.0M |
| 2026 (partial) | – | ¥36.0M |
Show data table
| Year | Condo | House | Land |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 | – | ¥284k/m² | ¥140k/m² |
| 2008 | – | ¥306k/m² | ¥135k/m² |
| 2009 | – | ¥267k/m² | ¥115k/m² |
| 2010 | ¥156k/m² | ¥263k/m² | ¥110k/m² |
| 2011 | ¥194k/m² | ¥272k/m² | ¥120k/m² |
| 2012 | – | ¥261k/m² | ¥120k/m² |
| 2013 | – | ¥250k/m² | ¥110k/m² |
| 2014 | – | ¥260k/m² | ¥110k/m² |
| 2015 | ¥158k/m² | ¥228k/m² | ¥120k/m² |
| 2016 | – | ¥259k/m² | ¥95k/m² |
| 2017 | – | ¥270k/m² | ¥110k/m² |
| 2018 | – | ¥262k/m² | ¥120k/m² |
| 2019 | – | ¥250k/m² | ¥97k/m² |
| 2020 | ¥134k/m² | ¥278k/m² | ¥105k/m² |
| 2021 | – | ¥305k/m² | ¥105k/m² |
| 2022 | – | ¥321k/m² | ¥130k/m² |
| 2023 | – | ¥344k/m² | ¥120k/m² |
| 2024 | – | ¥293k/m² | ¥120k/m² |
| 2025 | – | ¥350k/m² | ¥140k/m² |
| 2026 (partial) | – | ¥353k/m² | – |
Show data table
| Building age (years) | House |
|---|---|
| 0 | ¥371k/m² |
| 1 | ¥365k/m² |
| 30 | ¥265k/m² |
| 32 | ¥163k/m² |
| 50 | ¥279k/m² |
Each line follows buildings from one construction period over time. 1981 is when Japan's current earthquake-resistance standard (shin-taishin) took effect.
Show data table
| Year | 1981-2000 | 2001-2010 | 2011-2020 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 | – | ¥316k/m² | – |
| 2008 | – | ¥326k/m² | – |
| 2009 | ¥173k/m² | ¥311k/m² | – |
| 2010 | ¥182k/m² | ¥300k/m² | – |
| 2011 | ¥182k/m² | – | ¥303k/m² |
| 2012 | ¥140k/m² | – | ¥295k/m² |
| 2013 | ¥187k/m² | – | ¥294k/m² |
| 2014 | ¥190k/m² | – | ¥300k/m² |
| 2015 | ¥168k/m² | – | ¥278k/m² |
| 2016 | – | – | ¥325k/m² |
| 2017 | – | – | ¥300k/m² |
| 2018 | – | – | ¥310k/m² |
| 2019 | ¥183k/m² | – | ¥300k/m² |
| 2020 | – | – | ¥302k/m² |
| 2021 | ¥200k/m² | – | – |
| 2022 | ¥172k/m² | – | – |
| 2023 | ¥213k/m² | – | – |
| 2025 | ¥211k/m² | – | – |
Prices near train stations in Ayase City
Sales from 2023–2025, grouped by nearest station.
| Station | Median used condo price | Condo price per m² | Median house price (land + building) | Walk (min) | Sales | Daily passengers (2023) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chogo (長後) | ¥6.6M | ¥119k/m² | ¥33.0M | 23 | 122 | 31,436-8% vs 2019 |
| Ebina (海老名) | – | – | ¥29.0M | 26 | 68 | 267,512-12% vs 2019 |
| Kashiwadai (かしわ台) | – | – | ¥34.0M | 15 | 50 | 17,194-8% vs 2019 |
| Sagamino (さがみ野) | – | – | ¥35.0M | 13 | 48 | 33,545-10% vs 2019 |
| Sagami Otsuka (相模大塚) | – | – | ¥32.0M | 12 | 14 | 14,151-1% vs 2019 |
Used condo prices by layout in Ayase City
Sales from 2023–2025.
| Layout | Median used condo price | Typical size | Sales |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3LDK | ¥9.8M | 65 m² | 20 |
How much does a house cost in Ayase City?
The median house sale, including the land, was ¥33.0M in 2025 across 101 sales.
Are property prices in Ayase City going up?
Over the five years to 2025, residential land prices changed +33.3%.
About this data
Figures are medians of real transactions reported to Japan's Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism (MLIT) through its quarterly price survey. House prices per m² divide the total price (land and building) by the floor area. Medians based on fewer than 20 sales are not shown. The latest quarters are preliminary and are revised as more survey responses arrive.
Information only, not investment advice.